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Inter vs Juventus prediction 14.02.2026 | Serie A

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

Kick off:

Date:

Juventus

Juventus

1

2.00

X

3.56

2

4.24

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Saturday, 14th February, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

On Saturday evening, Inter Milan will host the 255th edition of the Derby d'Italia, one of Italian football's biggest fixtures. Inter come into the Serie A clash in outstanding form, riding a five-game winning streak and having recently booked their place in the Coppa Italia semi-finals. Juventus, by contrast, arrives under pressure after suffering a heavy 3:0 defeat to Atalanta in the Coppa Italia. They followed that up with a dramatic 2:2 draw against Lazio, salvaging a point despite trailing by two goals after 47 minutes. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for the upcoming Serie A tie.

Inter Milan vs Juventus Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Juventus

    4 : 3

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  2. Juventus

    1 : 0

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  3. Inter Milan

    4 : 4

    Juventus

    Serie A

  4. Inter Milan

    1 : 0

    Juventus

    Serie A

  5. Juventus

    1 : 1

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  6. Inter Milan

    1 : 0

    Juventus

    Coppa Italia

In the first h2h game this season, in Torino, Juventus won 4:3 after Inter had a 3:2 lead with 10 minutes left. Looking further back, in the past ten h2h games, Inter won only twice (in regular time), and Juventus won four times. 

Regarding the number of goals, three of the past ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in four of those ten. 

Inter Milan

Inter team overview

Inter changed the coach in the offseason, and after a mediocre start, Nerazzurri are doing a magnificent job across competitions. They have won ten of the past 12 games and also 11 of the past 12 Serie A matches! At the moment, they are sitting at the top spot with 58 points from 24 matches, eight points above second-placed AC Milan, although they have played one game more. 

According to credible sources, two crucial midfielders, Nicolo Barella and Hakan Calhanoglu, should be ready for the Derby d'Italia. While both should be ready, Barella is looking more likely to return to the starting lineup. With those two back from injuries, the Nerazzurri should only be missing Denzel Dumfries for the upcoming match.

After a 5:0 win over Sassuolo in the previous game, coach Cristian Chivu spoke to the media. He was happy with a win, but said the job is far from done and that they should continue their title push. The coach also added that there is still a lot to improve even after such a massive victory. 

Last matches of Inter Milan

  1. Sassuolo

    0 : 5

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  2. Inter Milan

    2 : 1

    Torino

    Coppa Italia

  3. Cremonese

    0 : 2

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  4. Borussia Dortmund

    0 : 2

    Inter Milan

    Champions League

  5. Inter Milan

    6 : 2

    Pisa

    Serie A

Inter Milan lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Yann Sommer

Defenders

  • 25

    Manuel Akanji

  • 95

    Alessandro Bastoni

  • 31

    Yann Bisseck

Midfielders

  • 11

    Luis Henrique

  • 22

    Henrikh Mkhitaryan

  • 8

    Petar Sučić

  • 23

    Nicolò Barella

  • 32

    Federico Dimarco

Forwards

  • 9

    Marcus Thuram

  • 10

    Lautaro Martínez

Juventus

Juventus team overview

Juventus have been the 3rd or 4th-best team in Italy over the past five seasons, except for the 2022/23 season, when they had points deducted. This season, despite high hopes to get involved in the title battle, the Old Lady is once again around their usual placement, currently sitting in 4th place with 46 points from 24 rounds. Right now, they are 12 points away from the 1st-placed Inter and are in a must-win situation in order to close the gap. With a potential loss here, the Old Lady would have almost no chance to catch up with the Nerazzurri. 

After a 2:2 draw with Lazio, coach Luciano Spalletti spoke to the media. He said they responded well after going 2:0 down, saying they showed great character and personality. When asked about the pressure, the coach said they are Juventus and have to live with it, and noted that he personally enjoys difficult moments. 

For the upcoming tie, Spalletti will have no new injuries, but Arkadiusz Milik and Dusan Vlahovic should remain sidelined with their injuries. 

Last matches of Juventus

  1. Juventus

    2 : 2

    Lazio

    Serie A

  2. Atalanta

    3 : 0

    Juventus

    Coppa Italia

  3. Parma

    1 : 4

    Juventus

    Serie A

  4. Monaco

    0 : 0

    Juventus

    Champions League

  5. Juventus

    3 : 0

    Napoli

    Serie A

Juventus lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Michele Di Gregorio

Defenders

  • 15

    Pierre Kalulu

  • 3

    Bremer

  • 8

    Teun Koopmeiners

  • 32

    Juan Cabal

Midfielders

  • 19

    Khéphren Thuram

  • 22

    Weston McKennie

  • 5

    Manuel Locatelli

  • 27

    Andrea Cambiaso

Forwards

  • 30

    Jonathan David

  • 10

    Kenan Yıldız

Prediction

Inter won five games in a row and scored an incredible 17 goals - 3.4 per game. That is well above their season average in the Serie A of 2.4 gpg. Looking further back, Nerazzurri are playing really good football and have won 10 of 12 games across competitions - 83%. Now with Barella and Calhanoglu back, the Nerazzurri should continue with good performances.

Juventus have been inconsistent. After beating Benfica and Napoli, it seemed they were on the rise, but then they went on to win just one of the next four matches, that win coming against mediocre Parma. Also, this season, Juventus have had some major problems scoring against good teams away from home. The Old Lady failed to score against Como, Real Madrid, Lazio, Monaco, and Atalanta and could struggle at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.

Considering all the above, we believe Inter are much closer to winning the upcoming Derby d' Italia. 

3 Reasons why Inter should win

  1. Inter won five in a row and scored 17 goals - 3.4 per game
  2. Inter won 9 of 12 home Serie A games
  3. Juventus won once in the past four games

Main prediction Inter Milan - Juventus

Inter Milan to win

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

2.00

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Inter Milan vs Juventus standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 24 19 1 4 57 - 19 +38 58
2 AC Milan 23 14 8 1 38 - 17 +21 50
3 Napoli 24 15 4 5 36 - 23 +13 49
4 Juventus 24 13 7 4 41 - 20 +21 46
5 Roma 24 15 1 8 29 - 14 +15 46
6 Como 23 11 8 4 37 - 16 +21 41
7 Atalanta 24 10 9 5 32 - 21 +11 39
8 Lazio 24 8 9 7 26 - 23 +3 33
9 Udinese 24 9 5 10 27 - 36 -9 32
10 Bologna 24 8 6 10 32 - 31 +1 30
11 Sassuolo 24 8 5 11 27 - 34 -7 29
12 Cagliari 24 7 7 10 28 - 33 -5 28
13 Torino 24 7 6 11 24 - 42 -18 27
14 Parma 24 6 8 10 16 - 30 -14 26
15 Cremonese 24 5 8 11 21 - 33 -12 23
16 Genoa 24 5 8 11 29 - 37 -8 23
17 Lecce 24 5 6 13 15 - 31 -16 21
18 Fiorentina 24 3 9 12 27 - 38 -11 18
19 Pisa 24 1 12 11 19 - 40 -21 15
20 Hellas Verona 24 2 9 13 18 - 41 -23 15

Inter vs Juventus – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Inter this season?

The average xG for Inter in the Serie A this season is 2.03.

? How much is the average xG for Juventus this season?

The average xG for Juventus in the Serie A this season is 1.94.