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Inter Milan vs AC Milan prediction 23.11.2025 | Serie A

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1

1.95

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3.42

2

4.00

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Sunday, 23rd November, 2025
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

On Sunday evening, the 245th Derby della Madonnina between Inter Milan and AC Milan will take place in the 12th round of the Serie A. Both teams have started the season well and are coming to this game with good momentum. Inter won four straight across the competitions, while AC Milan are undefeated in the past 11 games.

Let's break down the match and find the best possible bet for this Serie A tie.

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. AC Milan

    1 : 1

    Inter Milan

    Coppa Italia

  2. AC Milan

    1 : 1

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  3. Inter Milan

    2 : 3

    AC Milan

    Super Cup

  4. Inter Milan

    1 : 2

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  5. AC Milan

    1 : 2

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  6. Inter Milan

    5 : 1

    AC Milan

    Serie A

Last season, these teams met five times! Twice in the Serie A, twice in the Coppa Italia semi-finals, and once in the Super Cup. Despite Inter having a lot better season, they failed to win in all of those matches, as we saw two draws and three wins for AC Milan.

When it comes to the number of goals, three out of those five games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in four out of five matches - 80%. 

Inter Milan team overview

Inter Milan won their 20th Scudetto in the 2023/24 season and came super close to repeating in the next season. They finished just one point behind the eventual champs, Napoli. Nerazzurri also reached the Champions League finals, but were blown out by PSG. So, despite finishing the season without a trophy, we cannot really say the season was bad. 

This year, Nerazzurri are doing great in all competitions, sitting at the top of Serie A and having won all four Champions League games. 

According to Italian media reports, Piotr Zielinski is dealing with a minor fitness problem, while Denzel Dumfries is dealing with an ankle injury and will most likely be out for the upcoming game. On the other hand, Hakan Calhanoglu will be ready after suffering a minor hand injury while playing for the Turkish national team. Additionally, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Matteo Darmian, and Tomas Palacios will remain sidelined with their injuries.

Last matches of

  1. Inter Milan

    2 : 0

    Lazio

    Serie A

  2. Inter Milan

    2 : 1

    Kairat Almaty

    Champions League

  3. Hellas Verona

    1 : 2

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  4. Inter Milan

    3 : 0

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  5. Napoli

    3 : 1

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Yann Sommer

Defenders

  • 15

    Francesco Acerbi

  • 25

    Manuel Akanji

  • 95

    Alessandro Bastoni

Midfielders

  • 30

    Carlos Augusto

  • 23

    Nicolò Barella

  • 20

    Hakan Çalhanoğlu

  • 8

    Petar Sučić

  • 32

    Federico Dimarco

Forwards

  • 9

    Marcus Thuram

  • 10

    Lautaro Martínez

AC Milan team overview

AC Milan had a terrible last season, finishing eighth and missing out on Europe! However, after changing the squad drastically and the arrival of Massimiliano Allegri, the Rossoneri are doing a lot better. After the first ten rounds, they were at the top spot with Inter, but dropped to third place after drawing with Parma. Still, they are only two points away from Inter, and a potential win here would put them back at the top. 

According to credible sources, Adrien Rabiot recovered from his calf injury and will be available after missing the previous five games. On the other hand, Santiago Tomas Gimenez will remain sidelined with his injury.

Last matches of

  1. Parma

    2 : 2

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  2. AC Milan

    1 : 0

    AS Roma

    Serie A

  3. Atalanta

    1 : 1

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  4. AC Milan

    2 : 2

    Pisa

    Serie A

  5. AC Milan

    2 : 1

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Mike Maignan

Defenders

  • 46

    Matteo Gabbia

  • 31

    Strahinja Pavlović

  • 5

    Koni De Winter

Midfielders

  • 56

    Alexis Saelemaekers

  • 19

    Youssouf Fofana

  • 12

    Adrien Rabiot

  • 14

    Luka Modrić

  • 2

    Pervis Estupiñán

Forwards

  • 10

    Rafael Leão

  • 11

    Christian Pulisic

Prediction

Inter Milan won four in a row across the competition, while scoring two or more goals each time. They also scored at least one goal in all 16 games across the competitions and should score against AC Milan as well.

AC Milan were excellent for this bet as we saw both teams scoring in four out of the last five games - 80%. We also saw them scoring at least one goal in 12 out of 13 games this year. 

Last season, we saw both teams scoring in four out of five h2h games. Considering all the above, we expect an exciting Derby della Madonnina with both teams scoring. 

4 Reasons why both teams should score

  1. Inter won four in a row
  2. Inter scored in all 16 games across the competitions
  3. AC Milan scored in 12 out of 13 games
  4. Both teams scored in four out of five h2h games last season

Main prediction -

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

6 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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1.75

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vs standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 11 8 0 3 26 - 12 +14 24
2 Roma 11 8 0 3 12 - 5 +7 24
3 Milan 11 6 4 1 17 - 9 +8 22
4 Napoli 11 7 1 3 16 - 10 +6 22
5 Bologna 11 6 3 2 18 - 8 +10 21
6 Juventus 11 5 4 2 14 - 10 +4 19
7 Como 11 4 6 1 12 - 6 +6 18
8 Sassuolo 11 5 1 5 14 - 12 +2 16
9 Lazio 11 4 3 4 13 - 9 +4 15
10 Udinese 11 4 3 4 12 - 17 -5 15
11 Cremonese 11 3 5 3 12 - 13 -1 14
12 Torino 11 3 5 3 10 - 16 -6 14
13 Atalanta 11 2 7 2 13 - 11 +2 13
14 Cagliari 11 2 4 5 9 - 14 -5 10
15 Lecce 11 2 4 5 8 - 14 -6 10
16 Pisa 11 1 6 4 8 - 14 -6 9
17 Parma 11 1 5 5 7 - 14 -7 8
18 Genoa 11 1 4 6 8 - 16 -8 7
19 Hellas Verona 11 0 6 5 6 - 16 -10 6
20 Fiorentina 11 0 5 6 9 - 18 -9 5

Inter Milan vs AC Milan – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Inter Milan this season?

The average xG for Inter Milan in the Serie A this season is 1.93.

? How much is the average xG for AC Milan this season?

The average xG for AC Milan in the Serie A this season is 1.52.