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Hull vs Derby prediction 24.02.2026 | Championship

Hull City

Hull City

Kick off:

Date:

Derby County

Derby County

1

2.38

X

3.20

2

2.99

  • Competition: Championship
  • Date: Tuesday, 24th February, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: MKM Stadium (Hull)

On Tuesday evening, two teams battling to secure a spot in the Championship playoffs, Hull and Derby, will face off. Both teams are coming to the match with a pretty bad momentum. The hosts lost three games in a row (including the FA Cup loss to Chelsea), while the visitors lost their last game 2:0 against Watford and also lost two of the past three. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Championship tie.

Hull City vs Derby County Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Derby County

    2 : 1

    Hull City

    Championship

  2. Hull City

    0 : 1

    Derby County

    Championship

  3. Derby County

    1 : 1

    Hull City

    Championship

  4. Derby County

    3 : 1

    Hull City

    Championship

  5. Hull City

    0 : 1

    Derby County

    Championship

  6. Derby County

    1 : 0

    Hull City

    Championship

In the first H2H game this season, we saw a 2:1 win for Derby. It was a really close match, which could have gone either way. Looking at the previous ten H2H games, Hull won only once, while Derby have won eight.

Regarding the number of goals, four of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in the same number of games (four). 

Hull City

Hull team overview

Hull City had a terrible last season, almost getting relegated. However, this season, the Tigers bounced back and are in a good position to secure a Playoff spot. They were super close to second place and direct promotion, but after winning only one point in the past three league games against mediocre competition, they dropped to 5th place. The Tigers heavily complicated their lives, especially with a demanding run of fixtures ahead. They will face fellow playoff contenders in the coming weeks, meaning a poor week or two could easily see them drop out of the playoff positions.

After a 3:1 loss to QPR, coach Sergej Jakirovic spoke to the media. He said it was a bad game for them, saying they lost balance and discipline, especially late on. The coach was especially unhappy with how they defended throw-ins, saying they worked on that, but the players did not execute well. 

Last matches of Hull City

  1. Hull City

    1 : 3

    Queens Park Rangers

    Championship

  2. Hull City

    0 : 4

    Chelsea

    FA Cup

  3. Hull City

    2 : 3

    Bristol City

    Championship

  4. Hull City

    0 : 0

    Watford

    Championship

  5. Blackburn Rovers

    0 : 1

    Hull City

    Championship

Hull City lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Ivor Pandur

Defenders

  • 2

    Lewie Coyle

  • 15

    John Egan

  • 37

    Paddy McNair

  • 3

    Ryan Giles

Midfielders

  • 20

    Amir Hadziahmetovic

  • 27

    Regan Slater

  • 7

    Liam Millar

Forwards

  • 13

    Yu Hirakawa

  • 21

    Joe Gelhardt

  • 9

    Oli McBurnie

Derby County

Derby team overview

Like Hull, Derby also had a terrible last season but bounced back this year and is in a position to secure a playoff spot. After 33 rounds, Derby are only three points away from the playoffs. The Rams have been exceptional on the road, but will have to start playing better at home to secure a playoff spot. However, considering the Rams aimed for a mid-table finish before the start of the season, the fans should be satisfied with their campaign so far. 

After a 2:0 loss to Watford in the previous game, coach John Eustace spoke to the media. He was very disappointed with the team's performance, saying, "Watford wanted the game more". However, the coach said they cannot get carried away with either the highs or the lows and must look forward. 

Last matches of Derby County

  1. Watford

    2 : 0

    Derby County

    Championship

  2. Derby County

    2 : 0

    Swansea City

    Championship

  3. Derby County

    1 : 2

    Ipswich Town

    Championship

  4. Bristol City

    0 : 5

    Derby County

    Championship

  5. Derby County

    1 : 1

    West Bromwich Albion

    Championship

Derby County lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 31

    Josh Vickers

Defenders

  • 23

    Joe Ward

  • 28

    Dion Sanderson

  • 5

    Matt Clarke

  • 20

    Callum Elder

Midfielders

  • 27

    Lewis Travis

  • 18

    David Ozoh

  • 19

    Sammie Szmodics

Forwards

  • 25

    Ben Brereton Díaz

  • 7

    Patrick Agyemang

  • 10

    Rhian Brewster

Prediction

Hull are on a mini-bad run, losing three in a row across competitions, with ten conceded goals - 3.33 per game! The Tigers truly had problems keeping their net intact at home, doing that just once in the past five league games. So, we doubt they can keep it against Deby, which scored at least one goal in 10 of the past 11 road matches. Meanwhile, on the offensive end, Hull were solid in the Championship, scoring at least one goal in six of the past seven matches. 

Derby are one of the best teams in the league for this type of bet. Right now, they are the 4th-best team in the league in that department, with 67% of their games finishing with both teams scoring. Additionally, the Rams are one of the rare teams that score more on the road than at home - 1.63 goals per game on the road, and 1.24 at home. 

The last H2H game ended as a 2:1 win for Derby, and three of the past four H2H games finished with both teams scoring. Considering the trend in the previous games and all the above, we believe that a BTTS - YES bet is the safest option for this Championship tie. 

4 Reasons why both teams should score

  1. Hull allowed ten goals in the past three matches
  2. Hull scored at least one goal in six of the past seven league games
  3. Derby scored in 10 of the past 11 road matches
  4. Both teams scored in three of the past four H2H games

Main prediction Hull City - Derby County

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.83

Bet here

Hull City vs Derby County standings in Championship

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Coventry City 33 19 8 6 68 - 36 +32 65
2 Middlesbrough 33 18 8 7 50 - 33 +17 62
3 Millwall 33 16 8 9 42 - 40 +2 56
4 Ipswich Town 31 15 9 7 54 - 34 +20 54
5 Hull City 32 16 6 10 51 - 46 +5 54
6 Wrexham 33 13 12 8 51 - 44 +7 51
7 Birmingham City 33 13 10 10 45 - 40 +5 49
8 Derby County 33 13 9 11 47 - 41 +6 48
9 Watford 33 12 12 9 43 - 38 +5 48
10 Preston North End 33 12 12 9 40 - 37 +3 48
11 Southampton 33 12 11 10 49 - 45 +4 47
12 Bristol City 33 13 8 12 45 - 41 +4 47
13 Queens Park Rangers 33 13 8 12 46 - 47 -1 47
14 Sheffield United 33 14 3 16 47 - 46 +1 45
15 Swansea City 33 13 6 14 39 - 39 0 45
16 Stoke City 33 12 8 13 36 - 31 +5 44
17 Charlton Athletic 33 10 10 13 32 - 42 -10 40
18 Norwich City 33 11 6 16 43 - 44 -1 39
19 Portsmouth 32 10 9 13 33 - 41 -8 39
20 Blackburn Rovers 33 10 8 15 31 - 41 -10 38
21 West Bromwich Albion 33 9 7 17 32 - 49 -17 34
22 Leicester City 33 10 9 14 46 - 53 -7 33
23 Oxford United 33 6 11 16 28 - 44 -16 29
24 Sheffield Wednesday 33 1 8 24 20 - 66 -46 -7

Hull vs Derby – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on Sky Sports+ (UK/Irl).

? How much is the average xG for Hull this season?

The average xG for Hull in the Championship this season is 1.30.

? How much is the average xG for Derby this season?

The average xG for Derby in the Championship this season is 1.16.