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Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia prediction 26.02.2026 | Conference League

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

Kick off:

Date:

Jagiellonia Białystok

Jagiellonia Białystok

1

1.53

X

4.49

2

6.40

  • Competition: Conference League, 1/16 Finals, 2nd Leg
  • Date: Thursday, 26th February, 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:45 UK / 18:45 CET
  • Venue: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence)

After a 3:0 win for Fiorentina against Jagiellonia in the first leg of the Conference League 1/16 Finals, these teams will face off in the second leg in Italy. Fiorentina are coming to the game on a three-game winning streak across competitions, while Jagiellonia are trying to end their three-game winless run. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Conference League tie.

Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia Białystok Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Jagiellonia Białystok

    0 : 3

    Fiorentina

    Europa Conference League

The only H2H game between the two teams was in the first leg, a week ago. Fiorentina won the duel 3:0, but it was a truly strange game where Jagiellonia had 71% ball possession but zero shots on goal. 

Fiorentina

Fiorentina team overview

Fiorentina's season has been an absolute disaster, as they spent most of the season in the relegation zone in Serie A. However, with two straight Serie A wins over Como and Pisa, they have escaped the relegation zone but are still on level points with Lecce (18th) and Cremonese (17th). So, even though it has been a massively underwhelming season thus far, it seems Viola are consolidating, and we expect them to continue improving and move closer to the middle of the league table. 

In the Conference League, a deep run is expected, given they reached two Finals and one Semi-Final over the previous three years! 

For the previous game, Fiorentina were forced to play without several important players due to fitness or injury problems - David De Gea, Manor Solomon, Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean, and Dodo. They will most likely be ready for the upcoming match, at least for a limited time. The only injured player on the team should be Tariq Lamptey. 

Last matches of Fiorentina

  1. Fiorentina

    1 : 0

    Pisa

    Serie A

  2. Jagiellonia Białystok

    0 : 3

    Fiorentina

    Europa Conference League

  3. Como

    1 : 2

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  4. Fiorentina

    2 : 2

    Torino

    Serie A

  5. Napoli

    2 : 1

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

Fiorentina lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 43

    David de Gea

Defenders

  • 2

    Dodô

  • 5

    Marin Pongracic

  • 6

    Luca Ranieri

  • 65

    Fabiano Parisi

Midfielders

  • 44

    Nicolò Fagioli

  • 27

    Cher Ndour

  • 22

    Jacopo Fazzini

Forwards

  • 19

    Manor Solomon

  • 20

    Moise Kean

  • 10

    Albert Gudmundsson

Jagiellonia Białystok

Jagiellonia team overview

Jagiellonia have been among the best teams in Poland in recent seasons. They won the Ekstraklasa title in the 2023/24 season and finished 3rd last season. This year, the team from Białystok are once again one of the main contenders for the title as they are at the top of the league with 37 points from 21 rounds - two points above the second place and with one game played less. Still, with only two points in the past three games across competitions, we can safely say they are in a bit of a slump.

In the Conference League, Jagiellonia hoped for a similar run to last season, when they reached the quarter-finals. Still, that seems very unlikely after a massive 3:0 loss in the first leg. 

For the second leg game, coach Adrian Siemieniec will have striker Afimico Pululu back after serving a one-game suspension. The 26-year-old has been excellent this season, scoring 15 goals in 33 appearances across competitions.

Last matches of Jagiellonia Białystok

  1. Jagiellonia Białystok

    1 : 1

    Radomiak Radom

    Ekstraklasa

  2. Jagiellonia Białystok

    0 : 3

    Fiorentina

    Europa Conference League

  3. Cracovia Krakow

    0 : 0

    Jagiellonia Białystok

    Ekstraklasa

  4. Jagiellonia Białystok

    4 : 1

    Motor Lublin

    Ekstraklasa

  5. Widzew Lodz

    1 : 3

    Jagiellonia Białystok

    Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia Białystok lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 50

    Slawomir Abramowicz

Defenders

  • 15

    Norbert Wojtuszek

  • 44

    Apostolos Konstantopoulos

  • 70

    Andy Pelmard

  • 27

    Bartlomiej Wdowik

Midfielders

  • 6

    Taras Romanczuk

  • 11

    Jesus Imaz

  • 86

    Bartosz Mazurek

Forwards

  • 7

    Alejandro Pozo

  • 10

    Afimico Pululu

  • 72

    Kamil Jozwiak

Prediction

Fiorentina have been almost perfect for this type of bet lately. Viola went over 2.5 goals in seven of the past eight games across competitions - 87.5%. Meanwhile, Jagiellonia weren't as great for this bet but still went over the mentioned line in three of the past five games since the winter break - 60%.

In the first leg, Fiorentina won 3:0, proving they can score easily against Jagiellonia even without several key players. Now, Jagiellonia will have to open up from the very start of the game, since they have nothing to lose. That could easily backfire, and we might see another high-scoring match. 

Considering all the above, we firmly believe that an over 2.5 goals bet is the safest option for this Conference League tie. 

3 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Fiorentina won the first leg 3:0
  2. Fiorentina went over 2.5 goals in seven of the past eight games across competitions
  3. Jagiellonia went over 2.5 goals in three of the past five games

Main prediction Fiorentina - Jagiellonia Białystok

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

6 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.74

Bet here

Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia Białystok standings in Europa Conference League

League Stage P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Strasbourg 6 5 1 0 11 - 5 +6 16
2 Raków Częstochowa 6 4 2 0 9 - 2 +7 14
3 AEK Athens 6 4 1 1 14 - 7 +7 13
4 Sparta Praha 6 4 1 1 10 - 3 +7 13
5 Rayo Vallecano 6 4 1 1 13 - 7 +6 13
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6 4 1 1 10 - 5 +5 13
7 FSV Mainz 05 6 4 1 1 7 - 3 +4 13
8 AEK Larnaca 6 3 3 0 7 - 1 +6 12
9 Lausanne Sport 6 3 2 1 6 - 3 +3 11
10 Crystal Palace 6 3 1 2 11 - 6 +5 10
11 Lech Poznań 6 3 1 2 12 - 8 +4 10
12 Samsunspor 6 3 1 2 10 - 6 +4 10
13 Celje 6 3 1 2 8 - 7 +1 10
14 AZ 6 3 1 2 7 - 7 0 10
15 Fiorentina 6 3 0 3 8 - 5 +3 9
16 Rijeka 6 2 3 1 5 - 2 +3 9
17 Jagiellonia Białystok 6 2 3 1 5 - 4 +1 9
18 Omonia Nicosia 6 2 2 2 5 - 4 +1 8
19 Noah 6 2 2 2 6 - 7 -1 8
20 Drita 6 2 2 2 4 - 8 -4 8
21 KuPS 6 1 4 1 6 - 5 +1 7
22 Skendija 79 6 2 1 3 4 - 5 -1 7
23 Zrinjski 6 2 1 3 8 - 10 -2 7
24 Sigma Olomouc 6 2 1 3 7 - 9 -2 7
25 Universitatea Craiova 6 2 1 3 6 - 8 -2 7
26 Lincoln Red Imps 6 2 1 3 7 - 15 -8 7
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6 2 0 4 9 - 9 0 6
28 Legia Warszawa 6 2 0 4 8 - 8 0 6
29 Slovan Bratislava 6 2 0 4 5 - 9 -4 6
30 Breidablik 6 1 2 3 6 - 11 -5 5
31 Shamrock Rovers 6 1 1 4 7 - 13 -6 4
32 Häcken 6 0 3 3 5 - 8 -3 3
33 Hamrun Spartans 6 1 0 5 4 - 11 -7 3
34 Shelbourne 6 0 2 4 0 - 7 -7 2
35 Aberdeen 6 0 2 4 3 - 14 -11 2
36 SK Rapid 6 0 1 5 3 - 14 -11 1

Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Fiorentina this season?

The average xG for Fiorentina in the Conference League this season is 1.50.

? How much is the average xG for Jagiellonia this season?

The average xG for Jagiellonia in the Conference League this season is 1.34.