Contents
- Competition: Serie A
- Date: Sunday, 11th January 2026
- Kickoff: 14:00 UK / 15:00 CET
- Venue: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence)
Two teams in completely different positions, Fiorentina and AC Milan, will meet on Sunday afternoon in a potentially very intriguing tie. The team from Florence has improved in recent weeks and could be very tough for guests who struggled for consistency in the previous weeks. Can Fiorentina hurt AC Milan's scudetto chances? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option.
Fiorentina vs AC Milan Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
AC Milan
2 : 1
Fiorentina
Serie A
-
AC Milan
2 : 2
Fiorentina
Serie A
-
Fiorentina
2 : 1
AC Milan
Serie A
-
Fiorentina
1 : 2
AC Milan
Serie A
-
AC Milan
1 : 0
Fiorentina
Serie A
-
Fiorentina
2 : 1
AC Milan
Serie A
AC Milan are usually better than Fiorentina, having won five of the last eight H2H matches. La Viola won two games during the span, while one ended in a draw. The only meeting this season between the two teams was in October when AC Milan won 2-1.
Fiorentina team overview
Fiorentina are terrible this season. They secured their first victory in the campaign only a few weeks ago and will need to have a much better second half of the season to fulfill at least some goals for the 2025/26 season. However, things seem significantly brighter lately as Fiorentina have lost only one of the previous four games. In the most recent outing, Paolo Vanoli's team played 2-2 on the road against Lazio. The home side ended with an xG of 2.73, while the guests had only 1.72, but Fiorentina defended well and secured a valuable point.
Fiorentina are active in the transfer market. After acquiring Manor Solomon, they also added Marco Bresciani on loan from Atalanta. The midfielder appeared in only nine Serie A matches this season.
Tariq Lamptey is injured and will not play on Sunday against AC Milan. Also, Edin Dzeko, Jacopo Fazzini, Amir Richardson, and Mattia Viti are questionable, and their status will be clearer closer to the kickoff.
Last matches of Fiorentina
-
Lazio
2 : 2
Fiorentina
Serie A
-
Fiorentina
1 : 0
Cremonese
Serie A
-
Parma
1 : 0
Fiorentina
Serie A
-
Fiorentina
5 : 1
Udinese
Serie A
-
Lausanne Sport
1 : 0
Fiorentina
Europa Conference League
Fiorentina lineup
Goalkeeper
-
43
David de Gea
Defenders
-
2
Dodo
-
15
Pietro Comuzzo
-
5
Marin Pongracic
-
21
Robin Gosens
Midfielders
-
8
Rolando Mandragora
-
44
Nicolo Fagioli
-
27
Cher Ndour
Forwards
-
65
Fabiano Parisi
-
91
Roberto Piccoli
-
10
Albert Gudmundsson
AC Milan team overview
After only a Serie A mid-table team last season, AC Milan returned to the title race. They are three points behind league leader Inter Milan and hope to win their first scudetto since 2022. AC Milan are unbeaten in their last three matches. However, their previous game, a disappointing 1-1 home draw against Genoa, left fans and pundits far from satisfied. The hosts could easily have left empty-handed, but the guests' Nicolae Stanciu missed a penalty in stoppage time at the end of the second half.
AC Milan's head coach, Massimiliano Allegri, was obviously disappointed with one point against Genoa. He said, "It's a lesson in maturity if we want to achieve our goal, which is to finish in the top four. We have to improve. We didn't have enough patience, we were too hasty, and haste leads nowhere."
Santiago Gimenez and Christopher Nkunku are injured and will not travel to Florence this weekend.
Last matches of AC Milan
-
AC Milan
1 : 1
Genoa
Serie A
-
Cagliari
0 : 1
AC Milan
Serie A
-
AC Milan
3 : 0
Hellas Verona
Serie A
-
Napoli
2 : 0
AC Milan
Super Cup
-
AC Milan
2 : 2
Sassuolo
Serie A
AC Milan lineup
Goalkeeper
-
16
Mike Maignan
Defenders
-
31
Strahinja Pavlovic
-
23
Fikayo Tomori
-
46
Matteo Gabbia
Midfielders
-
56
Alexis Saelemaekers
-
19
Youssouf Fofana
-
12
Adrien Rabiot
-
14
Luka Modric
-
33
Davide Bartesaghi
Forwards
-
10
Rafael Leao
-
11
Christian Pulisic
Prediction
The biggest improvement for Fiorentina in the last few weeks was their defense. They conceded only four goals in the previous four matches. On the other hand, AC Milan allowed only one goal in the last three games. We shouldn't expect more than two goals in the upcoming clash.
3 Reasons why we shouldn't expect more than two goals in this match
- Fiorentina conceded four goals in the last four matches
- There were two or fewer goals in two of the previous three Fiorentina games
- AC Milan allowed only one goal in the last two matches
Main prediction Fiorentina - AC Milan
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
Fiorentina vs AC Milan standings in Serie A
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 40 - 15 | +25 | 42 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 29 - 14 | +15 | 39 |
| 3 | Roma | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 24 - 12 | +12 | 39 |
| 4 | Napoli | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 28 - 15 | +13 | 38 |
| 5 | Juventus | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 27 - 16 | +11 | 36 |
| 6 | Como | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 27 - 13 | +14 | 34 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 25 - 19 | +6 | 31 |
| 8 | Bologna | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26 - 20 | +6 | 27 |
| 9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22 - 32 | -10 | 26 |
| 10 | Lazio | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20 - 16 | +4 | 25 |
| 11 | Torino | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 21 - 32 | -11 | 23 |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 - 27 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Cremonese | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20 - 23 | -3 | 22 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 - 27 | -6 | 19 |
| 15 | Parma | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 - 21 | -9 | 18 |
| 16 | Lecce | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12 - 25 | -13 | 17 |
| 17 | Genoa | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 19 - 29 | -10 | 16 |
| 18 | Hellas Verona | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 - 30 | -15 | 13 |
| 19 | Pisa | 20 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 15 - 30 | -15 | 13 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 20 - 30 | -10 | 13 |