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Everton vs Sunderland prediction 10.01.2026 | FA Cup

Kick off:

Date:

1

2.16

X

3.12

2

3.52

  • Competition: FA Cup
  • Date: 10th January 2026
  • Kick-off: 12:15 UK / 13:15 CET
  • Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium

Everton host Sunderland in Liverpool on Saturday afternoon, and both sides will want a calm, convincing start in the FA Cup. The Toffees have slipped past the third round in each of the last two seasons, often without much fuss. The Black Cats have not enjoyed that luxury, doing it only once in six years. The odds favour Moyes’ side, which feels logical. Still, Sunderland’s league position hints this could be trickier than it looks.

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Sunderland

    1 : 1

    Everton

    Premier League

  2. Everton

    2 : 0

    Sunderland

    Premier League

  3. Sunderland

    0 : 3

    Everton

    Premier League

  4. Sunderland

    3 : 0

    Everton

    Premier League

  5. Everton

    6 : 2

    Sunderland

    Premier League

  6. Everton

    0 : 2

    Sunderland

    Premier League

Since 2013, the two sides have met 11 times—10 in the Premier League and once in the Carabao Cup. Everton hold a slight edge with five wins and six clean sheets. Sunderland have won just twice, and four games ended all square. On average, there have been 1.9 goals per meeting, so tight contests are not unusual.

Everton team overview

The Toffees will be keen to shake off back-to-back fourth-round exits in this competition. That said, form is an obvious concern.

Moyes’ side have won just once in their last six matches, losing three and drawing two. Even at home, results have been flat, with no wins in their last three at Goodison.

There is, however, a small positive. Five of Everton’s eight wins this season have come in front of their own fans. Their last league outing against Wolves ended badly, though, with Jack Grealish and Michael Keane both sent off.

Both miss this one, alongside Jarrad Branthwaite, Séamus Coleman, and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, who remain sidelined through injury.

Last matches of

  1. Everton

    1 : 1

    Wolverhampton Wanderers

    Premier League

  2. Everton

    2 : 4

    Brentford

    Premier League

  3. Nottingham Forest

    0 : 2

    Everton

    Premier League

  4. Burnley

    0 : 0

    Everton

    Premier League

  5. Everton

    0 : 1

    Arsenal

    Premier League

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Jordan Pickford

Defenders

  • 15

    Jake O'Brien

  • 6

    James Tarkowski

  • 2

    Nathan Patterson

  • 16

    Vitalii Mykolenko

Midfielders

  • 37

    James Garner

  • 42

    Tim Iroegbunam

  • 7

    Dwight McNeil

Forwards

  • 45

    Harrison Armstrong

  • 9

    Beto

  • 11

    Thierno Barry

Sunderland team overview

Sunderland’s recent FA Cup record is hard to dress up. The Black Cats have exited in the third round in each of the last two seasons, including last year’s extra-time loss to Stoke City.

This time feels slightly different, though. Sitting two places above Everton in the league, Régis Le Bris’ side arrive with some quiet belief.

That confidence took a hit last weekend, mind you. A heavy 3-0 defeat ended a five-game unbeaten run across all competitions.

Brian Brobbey remains the main goal threat, with three strikes in all competitions so far. He should lead the line again, while Enzo Le Fée is expected to operate just behind him.

Last matches of

  1. Brentford

    3 : 0

    Sunderland

    Premier League

  2. Tottenham Hotspur

    1 : 1

    Sunderland

    Premier League

  3. Sunderland

    0 : 0

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  4. Sunderland

    1 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  5. Brighton & Hove Albion

    0 : 0

    Sunderland

    Premier League

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 22

    Robin Roefs

Defenders

  • 15

    Omar Alderete

  • 5

    Daniel Ballard

  • 20

    Nordi Mukiele

  • 32

    Trai Hume

Midfielders

  • 34

    Granit Xhaka

  • 28

    Enzo Le Fée

  • 6

    Lutsharel Geertruida

Forwards

  • 24

    Simon Adingra

  • 9

    Brian Brobbey

  • 11

    Chris Rigg

Prediction

This feels like a game where both sides tread carefully. Everton are short on confidence going forward, with only one win in six, and the Toffees tend to start games slowly. Sunderland are hardly reckless either, usually keeping things controlled rather than chaotic. With nine of the last 12 meetings finishing under 2.5 goals, a goalless draw makes sense. Worth watching, sure. Just don’t expect fireworks.

Three reasons we expect under 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Five of Everton’s last six matches finished with under three goals.
  2. Only one of Sunderland’s last six games went over two goals.
  3. Nine of the last 12 meetings between these sides ended under 2.5 goals.

Main prediction -

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

6 wins in a row

Strategic Betting Analyst: Expert in Developing and Implementing Data-Driven, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.66

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Everton vs Sunderland – FAQ

? Where to watc⁠h?

Camel1 Live i⁠s free and a good alternati⁠ve to stream Saturday’s FA Cup tie between Everton and Sunderland.

? What⁠ is Sunderland’s average number⁠ of corners in their last five competitive matches?

3.40

? What is Everton’s average num⁠ber of yellow c⁠ards received in their last five outings?

2.60