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Everton vs Burnley prediction 03.03.2026 | Premier League

Everton

Everton

Kick off:

Date:

Burnley

Burnley

1

1.67

X

3.98

2

6.09

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Tuesday, 3rd March, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:30 UK / 20:30 CET
  • Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium (Liverpool)

The Premier League teams are back in action mid-week for the 29th round. On Tuesday evening, Everton will welcome relegation-candidate Burnley. The Toffees snapped their two-game losing streak in the previous game after beating Newcastle 3:2 on the road, while the Clarets lost 4:3 against Brentford on the road.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Premier League tie.

Everton vs Burnley Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Burnley

    0 : 0

    Everton

    Premier League

  2. Everton

    1 : 0

    Burnley

    Premier League

  3. Burnley

    0 : 2

    Everton

    Premier League

  4. Everton

    3 : 0

    Burnley

    Carabao Cup

  5. Burnley

    3 : 2

    Everton

    Premier League

  6. Everton

    3 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

In the first H2H game of the season, we saw a goalless draw at Turf Moor. It was a close match, but Burnley were a bit better and probably deserved a minimal victory. Looking further back, in the past ten H2H games, Everton have won five and Burnley three. 

When it comes to the number of goals, six of the past ten games ended with fewer than three goals, while both teams scored four times. 

Everton

Everton team overview

Everton have had several bad seasons, constantly being in the lower part of the league table. This year, the Toffees are playing better and are finally in a position to maybe secure Europe. After 28 rounds, they won 40 points and are three points away from 7th place, which could mean Europe. However, the Toffees are surprisingly bad at home this year and are a team with the biggest difference between points won on the road and at home. In order to secure Europe, they have to start winning games at Hill Dickinson Stadium.The match against struggling Burnley is the perfect opportunity to finally grab a victory and stop a seven-game winless home streak. 

After a 3:2 win over Newcastle, coach David Moyes spoke to the media. He said it was a really good match, with brilliant performances from his players, especially since it came at St. James' Park. The coach singled out goalkeeper Jordan Pickford, saying his save in the stoppage time eventually secured them three points. 

Last matches of Everton

  1. Newcastle United

    2 : 3

    Everton

    Premier League

  2. Everton

    0 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  3. Everton

    1 : 2

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

  4. Fulham

    1 : 2

    Everton

    Premier League

  5. Brighton & Hove Albion

    1 : 1

    Everton

    Premier League

Everton lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Jordan Pickford

Defenders

  • 15

    Jake O'Brien

  • 6

    James Tarkowski

  • 32

    Jarrad Branthwaite

  • 16

    Vitaliy Mykolenko

Midfielders

  • 37

    James Garner

  • 22

    Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall

  • 27

    Idrissa Gueye

Forwards

  • 7

    Dwight McNeil

  • 9

    Beto

  • 10

    Iliman Ndiaye

Burnley

Burnley team overview

Burnley have constantly moved between the Championship and the Premier League in recent seasons. This year, it seems that Clarets could make another trip to the Championship, as they are in 19th place with just 19 points from 28 rounds. At the moment, they are eight points away from the safe zone and with one game played more than 17th-placed Nottingham. The bookies offer odds of only 1.01-1.05 on them getting relegated! That, on its own, says a lot about their season and their chances of survival.

A part of their terrible results this year is constant injuries. For the upcoming game, they could miss upto seven players with injuries - Zeki Amdouni, Jordan Beyer, Armando Broja, Josh Cullen, Connor Roberts, Mike Tresor Ndayishimiye and Axel Tuanzebe.

Last matches of Burnley

  1. Burnley

    3 : 4

    Brentford

    Premier League

  2. Chelsea

    1 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

  3. Burnley

    1 : 2

    Mansfield Town

    FA Cup

  4. Crystal Palace

    2 : 3

    Burnley

    Premier League

  5. Burnley

    0 : 2

    West Ham United

    Premier League

Burnley lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Martin Dúbravka

Defenders

  • 12

    Bashir Humphreys

  • 4

    Joe Worrall

  • 5

    Maxime Estève

Midfielders

  • 29

    Josh Laurent

  • 20

    James Ward-Prowse

  • 28

    Hannibal

  • 23

    Lucas Pires

Forwards

  • 11

    Jaidon Anthony

  • 7

    Jacob Bruun Larsen

  • 19

    Zian Flemming

Prediction

Everton are coming to the match after a really good win over Newcastle, while also winning two of the past four. Also in the Premier League, Everton had very good results against the bottom four teams. Against Wolves, Burnley, West Ham, and Nottingham, Everton won three and drew three matches in the Premier League. So, a more-than-OK record. 

Burnley are in a poor run of form, having lost four of their past six games, including a FA Cup tie against Manchester. This year, the Clarets have been bad through the season, having lost 17 of 28 rounds - 61%. 

Additionally, Everton won three of the past four H2H games. Considering the trend in the previous H2H games and all the above, we believe Everton should secure a win at Hill Dickinson Stadium. 

3 Reasons why Everton should win

  1. Everton won two of the last four matches
  2. Everton won three of the past four H2H games
  3. Burnley lost 61% of their PL games this season

Main prediction Everton - Burnley

Everton to win

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.67

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Everton vs Burnley standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 29 19 7 3 58 - 22 +36 64
2 Manchester City 28 18 5 5 57 - 25 +32 59
3 Manchester United 28 14 9 5 50 - 38 +12 51
4 Aston Villa 28 15 6 7 38 - 30 +8 51
5 Liverpool 28 14 6 8 47 - 37 +10 48
6 Chelsea 28 12 9 7 49 - 33 +16 45
7 Brentford 28 13 4 11 44 - 40 +4 43
8 Everton 28 11 7 10 32 - 33 -1 40
9 Fulham 28 12 4 12 40 - 42 -2 40
10 AFC Bournemouth 28 9 12 7 44 - 46 -2 39
11 Brighton & Hove Albion 28 9 10 9 38 - 35 +3 37
12 Sunderland 28 9 10 9 29 - 34 -5 37
13 Newcastle United 28 10 6 12 40 - 42 -2 36
14 Crystal Palace 28 9 8 11 30 - 34 -4 35
15 Leeds United 28 7 10 11 37 - 47 -10 31
16 Tottenham Hotspur 28 7 8 13 38 - 43 -5 29
17 Nottingham Forest 28 7 6 15 26 - 41 -15 27
18 West Ham United 28 6 7 15 34 - 54 -20 25
19 Burnley 28 4 7 17 32 - 56 -24 19
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 29 2 7 20 20 - 51 -31 13

Everton vs Burnley – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Everton this season?

The average xG for Everton in the Premier League this season is 1.29.

? How much is the average xG for Burnley this season?

The average xG for Burnley in the Premier League this season is 1.08.