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Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia AC prediction 20.03.2026 | Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora

Estrela Amadora

Kick off:

Date:

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

1

2.64

X

3.14

2

2.99

  • Competition: Liga Portugal
  • Date: 20th March 2026
  • Kick-off: 20:15 UK / 21:15 CET
  • Venue: Estádio José Gomes

This one already feels tense, even before kickoff. Estrela da Amadora and Casa Pia are both still glancing down the table, stuck in the bottom six. The Tricolours sit 13th, while the Geese are 15th, just five points above danger. Not exactly safe. You can imagine a cautious approach here. Bookmakers do not seem fully convinced either way, which fits. Neither side has shown enough lately, so it may turn into a tight, slightly nervy game.

Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Casa Pia

    3 : 5

    Estrela Amadora

    Liga Portugal

  2. Casa Pia

    1 : 0

    Estrela Amadora

    Liga Portugal

  3. Estrela Amadora

    0 : 1

    Casa Pia

    Liga Portugal

  4. Estrela Amadora

    3 : 1

    Casa Pia

    Liga Portugal

  5. Casa Pia

    0 : 1

    Estrela Amadora

    Liga Portugal

  6. Estrela Amadora

    1 : 1

    Casa Pia

    Club Friendlies 3

There is a bit of recent history between these sides, though it is not exactly fierce. Since 2021, the Tricolours and the Geese have faced off seven times. Estrela da Amadora have four wins, Casa Pia three. Pretty even, all things considered. What catches the eye, though, is the goals. Roughly 2.7 per game, which hints these matches can loosen up a little.

Estrela Amadora

Estrela da Amadora team overview

Estrela da Amadora have been walking a bit of a tightrope since coming back up. The Tricolours finished around 14th or 15th in the past two seasons, and, honestly, this year feels much the same. Sitting 14th again, you start to wonder if this is just their level for now.

Form has dipped, though. João Nuno’s side are winless in five, with three defeats in that run. That usually brings nerves, especially when the table is so crowded. At home, it has not been much better. Just four points from the last four at Estádio José Gomes, which is not exactly reassuring.

Jovane Cabral has offered some spark with five goals. You will likely see him alongside Rodrigo Pinho again. On the plus side, no injuries or suspensions, so at least selection stays predictable.

Last matches of Estrela Amadora

  1. Rio Ave

    2 : 1

    Estrela Amadora

    Liga Portugal

  2. Estrela Amadora

    2 : 2

    Gil Vicente

    Liga Portugal

  3. AVS

    0 : 0

    Estrela Amadora

    Liga Portugal

  4. Estrela Amadora

    0 : 2

    Tondela

    Liga Portugal

  5. Vitoria Guimaraes

    2 : 1

    Estrela Amadora

    Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 40

    Renan Ribeiro

Defenders

  • 24

    Bruno Langa

  • 83

    Otavio

  • 30

    Luan Patrick

  • 21

    Max Scholze

Midfielders

  • 10

    Ianis Stoica

  • 6

    Kevin Höög Jansson

  • 19

    Paulo Moreira

  • 99

    Abraham Marcus

Forwards

  • 9

    Rodrigo Pinho

  • 11

    Jovane Cabral

Casa Pia

Casa Pia AC team overview

Casa Pia’s journey in the top flight has been quietly impressive, though this season feels slightly different. The Geese finished 10th in their first campaign and then improved to ninth in the following two seasons. This time, however, things have dipped a little. Sitting 15th, Casa Pia are uncomfortably close to the relegation zone.

That said, recent form offers some encouragement. Álvaro Pacheco’s side have lost just one of the last seven matches. Wins over Porto and Arouca stand out, which suggests the Geese can compete when things click. Still, away form raises a question. Casa Pia have not won any of the last four matches on the road.

Jérémy Livolant has been influential, contributing three goals and six assists this season. He should feature again in attack. Like their opponents, Casa Pia come into this match without injury or suspension concerns.

Last matches of Casa Pia

  1. Estoril

    0 : 0

    Casa Pia

    Liga Portugal

  2. Casa Pia

    1 : 1

    Moreirense

    Liga Portugal

  3. Famalicao

    2 : 0

    Casa Pia

    Liga Portugal

  4. Casa Pia

    3 : 2

    Arouca

    Liga Portugal

  5. CD Nacional

    0 : 0

    Casa Pia

    Liga Portugal

Casa Pia lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Patrick Sequeira

Defenders

  • 4

    João Goulart

  • 3

    Kaly

  • 18

    André Geraldes

Midfielders

  • 5

    Abdu Conté

  • 42

    Sebastián Pérez

  • 8

    Rafael Brito

  • 72

    Gaizka Larrazabal

Forwards

  • 13

    Korede Osundina

  • 90

    Cassiano Dias Moreira

  • 29

    Jérémy Livolant

Prediction

A goalless draw would not really shock anyone here. Estrela da Amadora have gone five games without a win, and chances have been hard to come by. You can almost picture those slow, careful attacks breaking down early. Casa Pia, however, tend to keep things tight. Four of the last five stayed under two goals. With both sides tense near the bottom, a 0-0 feels quite believable.

Three reasons we expect under 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Six of the last eight meetings between Estrela da Amadora and Casa Pia ended with under 2.5 goals.
  2. Four of the last five games of Casa Pia ended with two or fewer goals.
  3. Bets on under 2.5 goals won in four of the last six games of Estrela da Amadora.

Main prediction Estrela Amadora - Casa Pia

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Strategic Betting Analyst: Expert in Developing and Implementing Data-Driven, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.66

Bet here

Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia standings in Liga Portugal

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Porto 26 22 3 1 52 - 10 +42 69
2 Sporting CP 25 19 5 1 64 - 14 +50 62
3 Benfica 26 18 8 0 55 - 17 +38 62
4 Sporting Braga 25 13 7 5 52 - 25 +27 46
5 Gil Vicente 26 11 9 6 39 - 27 +12 42
6 Famalicão 26 12 6 8 32 - 22 +10 42
7 Estoril 26 10 7 9 47 - 42 +5 37
8 Moreirense 26 10 5 11 31 - 38 -7 35
9 Vitória Guimarães 26 9 5 12 29 - 39 -10 32
10 Alverca 26 7 8 11 26 - 41 -15 29
11 Rio Ave 26 6 9 11 26 - 45 -19 27
12 Arouca 26 7 5 14 33 - 55 -22 26
13 Santa Clara 26 6 7 13 23 - 31 -8 25
14 Estrela Amadora 26 5 10 11 29 - 45 -16 25
15 Casa Pia 25 5 9 11 26 - 44 -18 24
16 Nacional 26 5 7 14 29 - 38 -9 22
17 Tondela 25 4 7 14 19 - 39 -20 19
18 AVS 26 1 7 18 18 - 58 -40 10

Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia AC – FAQ

? Where to watc⁠h?

Camel1 Live i⁠s free and a good alternati⁠ve to stream Friday’s Liga Portugal contest⁠ between Estrela da Amadora and Casa Pia.

? What⁠ is Estrela da Amadora’s average number⁠ of corners in their league home matches this season?

3.69

? What is Casa Pia’s average num⁠ber of yellow c⁠ards received in their Liga Portugal away encounters this season?

3.31