Ecuador vs Argentina prediction 10.09.2025 | World Cup Qualifiers

The last time these teams met was in July 2024 in the Copa America Quarter Finals, where Argentina won 2:1. Yet, that was after the penalty shootout in a super close match where Ecuador may have deserved a win more. 

In the last ten h2h games, Argentina secured seven wins (plus one after a penalty shootout), while Ecuador won once. 

Regarding the number of goals, the last four h2h games ended with fewer than three goals, at least in the regular phase. 

Ecuador are a team that constantly plays low-scoring games, as 13 out of 17 WC Qualifiers matches ended with fewer than three goals- 76%. That was especially the case in the latest games, with the last four ending as goalless draws against Chile, Brazil, Peru, and Ecuador. Their defense has been absolutely amazing, allowing only five goals in 17 rounds - 0.29 per game! However, looking at the names at the back, that is hardly a surprise since their defense could be considered one of the best in the World. 

Argentina have been great in the Qualifiers, but most of their good games came at home. On the road, they averaged 0.4 points fewer per game and 0.85 fewer goals per game. In the last five road games, Argentina scored one goal per game every time. So, we do not expect them to offer a much better offensive display against Ecuador.

The last four h2h games ended with fewer than three goals, at least in regular time. Considering all the above, an under 2.5 goals bet seems like the best possible bet for this WC Qualifiers tie. 

1. The last four of Ecuador's games ended as goalless draws
2. Ecuador allowed just five goals in 17 rounds
3. Argentina havent scored over one goal per game in the last five road games
4. The previous four h2h games ended with fewer than three goals