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Crvena Zvezda vs Lille prediction 26.02.2026 | Europa League

Crvena Zvezda

Crvena Zvezda

Kick off:

Date:

Lille

Lille

1

2.74

X

3.52

2

2.72

  • Competition: Europa League, 1/16 Finals, 2nd Leg
  • Date: Thursday, 26th February, 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:45 UK / 18:45 CET
  • Venue: Stadion Rajko Mitić (Belgrade)

After a 1:0 win for Crvena Zvezda over Lille in France in the first leg, these teams will face off in the second leg of the Europa League 1/16 Finals. Crvena Zvezda are on a superb six-game winning streak, with their last victory coming against arch-rivals Partizan (3:0). Meanwhile, Lille finally ended their four-game winless streak with a 1:0 win over Angers in the previous game. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Europa League tie.

Crvena Zvezda vs Lille Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Lille

    0 : 1

    Crvena Zvezda

    Europa League

  2. Crvena Zvezda

    1 : 0

    Lille

    Europa League

Interestingly, these teams met twice this season, once in the Europa League league phase and then in the 1/16 Finals. Those two H2H games are the only ones in history. Crvena Zvezda won both h2h duels by 1:0. While the first game was close, the Serbian champs completely dominated the first leg of the 1/16 Finals and probably deserved to win by a bigger margin. 

Crvena Zvezda

Crvena Zvezda team overview

Crvena Zvezda have been super dominant in Serbia, winning the past nine Serbian league titles. This season, the Red and Whites weren't as dominant as we are used to them, but with the win over Partizan in the previous round, they created a comfortable four-point lead in the league table. However, in Europe, this is their best showing in a long time, especially on the road, where they had massive problems in recent years. After a 1:0 win on the road against Lille, the bookies see them as a clear favorite to advance, with the odds of only 1.3 on that bet.

Winger Vladimir Lucic received his third yellow card and will serve his one-game suspension. Despite starting in the previous game against Lille, Lucic isn't in the greatest form, and his absence might not be such a bad thing for Crvena Zvezda. Also, besides suspended Lucic, Mirko Ivanic will remain sidelined with an injury, and Nemanja Radonjic is still out with a club suspension. 

Last matches of Crvena Zvezda

  1. Crvena Zvezda

    3 : 0

    Partizan

    Super Liga

  2. Lille

    0 : 1

    Crvena Zvezda

    Europa League

  3. Železničar Pančevo

    0 : 3

    Crvena Zvezda

    Super Liga

  4. Budućnost Dobanovci

    1 : 4

    Crvena Zvezda

    Serbian Cup

  5. Crvena Zvezda

    5 : 0

    Novi Pazar

    Super Liga

Crvena Zvezda lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Matheus

Defenders

  • 25

    Strahinja Erakovic

  • 5

    Rodrigão

  • 30

    Franklin Tebo Uchenna

Midfielders

  • 66

    Young-woo Seol

  • 20

    Tomás Händel

  • 33

    Rade Krunic

  • 22

    Vasilije Kostov

  • 23

    Nair Tiknizyan

Forwards

  • 17

    Bruno Duarte

  • 42

    Jay Enem

Lille

Lille team overview

Lille have been fourth and fifth (twice) in the past three seasons in Ligue 1. This season, the popular Mastiffs are again around their usual placement, but their results from January have been simply terrible, winning only two games in 11 games across competitions. However, they are still sitting in 5th place in Ligue 1, only three points away from 4th place and the Champions League Qualifiers. Still, their overall form is undoubtedly a major reason for concern. 

For the Crvena Zvezda game, coach Bruno Genesio will have no new absences, but seven players who missed the previous leg due to injury should remain sidelined: Alexsandro, Caillard, Igamane, Ethan Mbappe, Meunier, Sahraoui, and Toure. 

Last matches of Lille

  1. Angers

    0 : 1

    Lille

    Ligue 1

  2. Lille

    0 : 1

    Crvena Zvezda

    Europa League

  3. Lille

    1 : 1

    Brest

    Ligue 1

  4. Metz

    0 : 0

    Lille

    Ligue 1

  5. Lyon

    1 : 0

    Lille

    Ligue 1

Lille lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Berke Özer

Defenders

  • 32

    Ayyoub Bouaddi

  • 23

    Aïssa Mandi

  • 3

    Nathan Ngoy

  • 15

    Romain Perraud

Midfielders

  • 17

    Ngal'ayel Mukau

  • 21

    Benjamin André

  • 10

    Hákon Arnar Haraldsson

Forwards

  • 28

    Gaëtan Perrin

  • 27

    Félix Correia

  • 7

    Matías Fernández-Pardo

Prediction

Even though Crvena Zvezda are scoring a lot in domestic competitions, that is not the case against good teams in the Europa League. However, defensively, they have been simply great and, as a result, went under 2.5 goals in 8 out of 9 EL games - 89%. That is by far the most in the competition. 

Lille have been awesome for this type of bet lately, going under 2.5 goals in six consecutive games across competitions. The Mastiffs had major problems scoring recently, especially on the road, and it is hard to expect a great offensive performance against a team that already kept their net intact twice in H2H games this season. 

Both H2H games ended with a 1:0 win for Crvena Zvezda. Considering the previous H2H games and all the above, an under 2.5 goals bet seems like the best option for this Europa League tie.

4 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. Crvena Zvezda won the first two h2h games this season 1:0
  2. Crvena Zvezda went under 2.5 goals in 8 out of 9 games in the Europa League
  3. Lille went under 2.5 goals in six consecutive games across competitions
  4. Lille scored three goals in the past six road games

Main prediction Crvena Zvezda - Lille

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

6 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

2.03

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Crvena Zvezda vs Lille standings in Europa League

League Stage P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Olympique Lyonnais 8 7 0 1 18 - 5 +13 21
2 Aston Villa 8 7 0 1 14 - 6 +8 21
3 FC Midtjylland 8 6 1 1 18 - 8 +10 19
4 Real Betis 8 5 2 1 13 - 7 +6 17
5 Porto 8 5 2 1 13 - 7 +6 17
6 Sporting Braga 8 5 2 1 11 - 5 +6 17
7 SC Freiburg 8 5 2 1 10 - 4 +6 17
8 Roma 8 5 1 2 13 - 6 +7 16
9 Genk 8 5 1 2 11 - 7 +4 16
10 Bologna 8 4 3 1 14 - 7 +7 15
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 5 0 3 15 - 9 +6 15
12 Ferencvárosi 8 4 3 1 12 - 11 +1 15
13 Nottingham Forest 8 4 2 2 15 - 7 +8 14
14 Viktoria Plzeň 8 3 5 0 8 - 3 +5 14
15 Crvena Zvezda 8 4 2 2 7 - 6 +1 14
16 Celta de Vigo 8 4 1 3 15 - 11 +4 13
17 PAOK 8 3 3 2 17 - 14 +3 12
18 LOSC Lille 8 4 0 4 12 - 9 +3 12
19 Fenerbahçe 8 3 3 2 10 - 7 +3 12
20 Panathinaikos 8 3 3 2 11 - 9 +2 12
21 Celtic 8 3 2 3 13 - 15 -2 11
22 Ludogorets 8 3 1 4 12 - 15 -3 10
23 Dinamo Zagreb 8 3 1 4 12 - 16 -4 10
24 Brann 8 2 3 3 9 - 11 -2 9
25 Young Boys 8 3 0 5 10 - 16 -6 9
26 Sturm Graz 8 2 1 5 5 - 11 -6 7
27 FCSB 8 2 1 5 9 - 16 -7 7
28 Go Ahead Eagles 8 2 1 5 6 - 14 -8 7
29 Feyenoord 8 2 0 6 11 - 15 -4 6
30 Basel 8 2 0 6 9 - 13 -4 6
31 Salzburg 8 2 0 6 10 - 15 -5 6
32 Rangers 8 1 1 6 5 - 14 -9 4
33 Nice 8 1 0 7 7 - 15 -8 3
34 FC Utrecht 8 0 1 7 5 - 15 -10 1
35 Malmö FF 8 0 1 7 4 - 15 -11 1
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8 0 1 7 2 - 22 -20 1

Crvena Zvezda vs Lille – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Crvena Zvezda this season?

The average xG for Crvena Zvezda in the Europa League this season is 1.21.

? How much is the average xG for Lille this season?

The average xG for Lille in the Europa League this season is 1.63.