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Chapecoense vs Gremio prediction 16.03.2026 | Brazil Serie A

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

1 - 1

Half time: 1 - 1

Full time: 1 - 1

Kick off:

Date:

Gremio

Gremio

1

3.15

X

3.51

2

2.33

  • Competition: Brazil Serie A
  • Date: Monday, 16th March 2026
  • Kickoff: 23:00 UK / 00:00 CET
  • Venue: Arena Condá (Chapecó)

Two teams with completely different ambitions for the 2025 season, Chapecoense and Gremio, will meet in the upcoming Serie A round. Although ambitions differ, the first few weeks of the campaigns were pretty similar. Can Chapecoense win? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Chapecoense vs Gremio Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Chapecoense

    0 : 0

    Gremio

    Serie B

  2. Gremio

    0 : 1

    Chapecoense

    Serie B

  3. Chapecoense

    1 : 3

    Gremio

    Serie A

  4. Gremio

    2 : 1

    Chapecoense

    Serie A

  5. Chapecoense

    0 : 1

    Gremio

    Serie A

  6. Gremio

    3 : 3

    Chapecoense

    Serie A

Gremio won four of the last seven H2H matches, while Chapecoense triumphed only once, with two draws. The teams met for the last time in 2022 in Serie B, when it was 0-0 in Chapeco. 

Chapecoense

Chapecoense team overview

After four years in Serie B, Chapecoense returned to the Brazilian top flight this season. However, according to reports, Gilmar Dal Pozzo's team has the smallest budget in the competition, and avoiding relegation will be quite an achievement. Chapecoense started Serie A with five points in four matches. In the previous round, they lost 2-0 on the road against Sao Paulo. The visitors ended with only 37% ball possession and 11 shots on goal fewer than the opponent, highlighting the gap in quality.

The biggest problem for Chapecoense at the start of the 2025 season is their defense. They conceded eight goals in the opening four Serie A rounds and will have to do much better to have realistic chances of surviving in the competition. 

Chapecoense have some problems with missing players. They will be without Bruno Matias, Mancha, Marcos Vinicius, Camilo, and Mauricio Garcez, while Robert Conceicao is questionable, and his status will be clearer closer to the kickoff. 

Last matches of Chapecoense

  1. Chapecoense

    1 : 0

    Barra FC

    Catarinense 1

  2. Barra FC

    3 : 1

    Chapecoense

    Catarinense 1

  3. Chapecoense

    3 : 0

    Brusque

    Catarinense 1

  4. Brusque

    1 : 0

    Chapecoense

    Catarinense 1

  5. Criciúma

    1 : 2

    Chapecoense

    Catarinense 1

Chapecoense lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Leo Vieira

Defenders

  • 3

    Doma

  • 25

    Victor Caetano

  • 33

    Bruno Leonardo

Midfielders

  • 26

    Everton

  • 99

    Carvalheira

  • 22

    Higor Meritao

  • 37

    Walter Clar

Forwards

  • 20

    Jean Carlos

  • 11

    Yannick Bolaise

  • 7

    Marcinho

Gremio

Gremio team overview

After two mid-table seasons, Gremio are hoping to make a step forward this year. However, seven points from the first five matches weren't particularly encouraging, and it seems Gremio still needs to improve to stand a chance against the best Brazilian teams. Luis Castro's team are undefeated in the last six matches across all competitions. In the previous game, they played 1-1 at home against Bragantino. The teams were pretty even throughout the tie, so a draw seems the fairest outcome.

After a defeat in the previous round, Gremio's head coach, Luis Castro, was clear that his team is still far from their best form. He said, "We are in the process of forming a team, and today (Thursday), this formation as a team could not be done in the best way due to the absence of several players who are crucial to this improvement."

Arthur Melo, Mathias Villasanti, and Willian are unavailable for the trip to Chapeco. Martin Braithwaite and Francis Amuzu are injured too, but they could recover in time for the upcoming clash.

Last matches of Gremio

  1. Gremio

    1 : 1

    Red Bull Bragantino

    Serie A

  2. SC Internacional

    1 : 1

    Gremio

    Gaucho 1

  3. Gremio

    3 : 0

    SC Internacional

    Gaucho 1

  4. Gremio

    2 : 1

    Atletico Mineiro

    Serie A

  5. Juventude

    1 : 4

    Gremio

    Gaucho 1

Gremio lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Weverton

Defenders

  • 7

    Cristian Pavon

  • 6

    Gustavo Martins

  • 44

    Viery

  • 23

    Marlon

Midfielders

  • 99

    Jose Enamorado

  • 5

    Juan Nardoni

  • 19

    Erick Noriega

  • 11

    Miguel Monsalve

  • 37

    Gabriel Mec

Forwards

  • 95

    Carlos Vinicius

Prediction

Both these teams are scoring goals pretty regularly in 2026. Chapecoense scored at least one goal in 11 of the last 14 matches, while Gremio scored in every one of the previous six games. The last meeting between these two teams ended in a goalless draw, but the upcoming tie should be very different, with goals on both sides. 

4 Reasons why we should expect both teams to score in this match

  1. Chapecoense scored at least one goal in 11 of the last 14 matches across all competitions
  2. Chapecoense conceded eight goals in four Serie A games
  3. Gremio scored in every one of the last six games
  4. Gremio allowed at least one goal in six of the previous seven matches

Main prediction Chapecoense - Gremio

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

52% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Melbet

1.70

Bet here

Chapecoense vs Gremio standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 São Paulo 6 5 1 0 10 - 3 +7 16
2 Palmeiras 6 4 1 1 14 - 7 +7 13
3 Fluminense 6 4 1 1 10 - 6 +4 13
4 Bahia 5 3 2 0 6 - 3 +3 11
5 Flamengo 5 3 1 1 9 - 4 +5 10
6 Coritiba 6 3 1 2 8 - 6 +2 10
7 Grêmio 6 2 2 2 10 - 10 0 8
8 Corinthians 6 2 2 2 6 - 6 0 8
9 Bragantino 6 2 2 2 5 - 6 -1 8
10 Athletico PR 5 2 1 2 6 - 6 0 7
11 Vitória 5 2 1 2 7 - 8 -1 7
12 Chapecoense 5 1 3 1 9 - 9 0 6
13 Mirassol 5 1 3 1 8 - 8 0 6
14 Santos 6 1 3 2 9 - 11 -2 6
15 Vasco da Gama 6 1 2 3 8 - 10 -2 5
16 Atlético Mineiro 6 1 2 3 7 - 10 -3 5
17 Botafogo 4 1 0 3 7 - 9 -2 3
18 Remo 6 0 3 3 6 - 11 -5 3
19 Cruzeiro 6 0 3 3 7 - 14 -7 3
20 Internacional 6 0 2 4 3 - 8 -5 2

Chapecoense vs Gremio – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Chapecoense this season?

The average xG for Chapecoense in Serie A this season is 1.07.

? How much is the average xG for Gremio this season?

The average xG for Gremio in Serie A this season is 1.41.