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Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid prediction 06.03.2026 | La Liga

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

Kick off:

Date:

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

3.14

X

3.60

2

2.39

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: Friday, 6th March, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo)

In anticipation of their Europa League and Champions League 1/8 Final duels against Lyon and Manchester City, Celta Vigo and Real Madrid will face off in the 27th round of the Spanish top-flight division. The teams are in completely different momentum - the hosts are riding a four-game winning streak, while the visitors lost back-to-back La Liga games and dropped to second place.

Let's break down the match and find the best possible bet for this La Liga tie.

Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Real Madrid

    0 : 2

    Celta Vigo

    La Liga

  2. Real Madrid

    3 : 2

    Celta Vigo

    La Liga

  3. Real Madrid

    3 : 0

    Celta Vigo

    Copa Del Rey

  4. Celta Vigo

    1 : 2

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  5. Real Madrid

    4 : 0

    Celta Vigo

    La Liga

  6. Celta Vigo

    0 : 1

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

In the first H2H game of the season, Celta Vigo unexpectedly won 2:0 at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu. Looking further back, in the past ten H2H duels, Celta Vigo won just once, while RM secured eight victories.

Regarding the number of goals, seven of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in six of those. 

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo team overview

Celta Vigo opened the season terribly, failing to win in nine La Liga games at the start, and everyone thought they could be one of the relegation candidates. However, since then, they improved massively. If we exclude a few setbacks like the one in late December/early January and the elimination from the Cup, the Sky Blues were excellent. At the moment, they are sitting in 6th place in La Liga with 40 points and have reached the Europa League 1/8 Finals. Still, they have a really challenging, tight schedule ahead of them, and it will be interesting to see how well they handle it.

After a 2:1 win over Girona, coach Claudio Giráldez spoke to the media. He said it was a hard-fought victory and that a draw was probably the fairest outcome. When asked about 7th place in the league table and the possibility of European Qualifiers next season, the coach urged the team to keep their feet on the ground. The coach added that their focus was on securing survival and that they mustn't get overconfident about the recent good results. 

Last matches of Celta Vigo

  1. Girona

    1 : 2

    Celta Vigo

    La Liga

  2. Celta Vigo

    1 : 0

    PAOK

    Europa League

  3. Celta Vigo

    2 : 0

    Mallorca

    La Liga

  4. PAOK

    1 : 2

    Celta Vigo

    Europa League

  5. Espanyol

    2 : 2

    Celta Vigo

    La Liga

Celta Vigo lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Ionuț Radu

Defenders

  • 3

    Óscar Mingueza

  • 4

    Joseph Aidoo

  • 24

    Carlos Domínguez

  • 32

    Javi Rodríguez

  • 5

    Sergio Carreira

Midfielders

  • 8

    Fer López

  • 16

    Miguel Román

  • 6

    Ilaix Moriba

  • 23

    Hugo Álvarez

Forwards

  • 9

    Ferran Jutglà

Real Madrid

Real Madrid team overview

Real Madrid are in a pretty delicate moment, having lost back-to-back La Liga games and dropped from first place. That is their first b2b La Liga loss since May 2019! We must acknowledge they are in a good position to win trophies as they are only two points away from Barcelona and have reached the 1/8 Finals in the Champions League. However, Los Blancos are not as dominant as we are used to, and they have shown that numerous times this year. 

Many football fans attribute their poor season (by their standards) to bad decisions in the offseason, but to a clash between Vicinius and former coach Xabi Alonso. However, a big part of the problem is injuries as well. For the upcoming game, they should miss several key players - Kylian Mbappe, Jude Bellingham, Eduardo Camavinga, Raul Asencio, Eder Militao, and Dani Ceballos. On top of that, they will also miss Dean Huijsen, Alvaro Carreras, and Franco Mastantuono due to one-game suspensions. 

Last matches of Real Madrid

  1. Real Madrid

    0 : 1

    Getafe

    La Liga

  2. Real Madrid

    2 : 1

    Benfica

    Champions League

  3. Osasuna

    2 : 1

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  4. Benfica

    0 : 1

    Real Madrid

    Champions League

  5. Real Madrid

    4 : 1

    Real Sociedad

    La Liga

Real Madrid lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Thibaut Courtois

Defenders

  • 2

    Daniel Carvajal

  • 22

    Antonio Rüdiger

  • 4

    David Alaba

  • 20

    Fran García

Midfielders

  • 14

    Aurélien Tchouaméni

  • 15

    Arda Güler

  • 8

    Federico Valverde

Forwards

  • 21

    Brahim Díaz

  • 16

    Gonzalo Garcia

  • 7

    Vinicius Junior

Prediction

Celta Vigo have been really good offensively in recent matches, scoring two or more goals in four of the past five games. We firmly believe they will continue to perform well offensively against Real Madrid, which kept their net intact only once in the past five games. 

Meanwhile, Real Madrid went over 2.5 goals in 15 of 26 La Liga games, with only Mallorca, Sevilla, and Barcelona having more such games. Also, in recent matches, they had offensive problems, but after watching some of their matches, we can safely say they were simply unlucky, and we expect them to start scoring more regularly.

Moreover, four of the past five H2H games ended with three or more goals. Considering the trend in the previous H2H games and all the above, we expect a high-scoring game, most likely with both teams scoring. 

3 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Celta Vigo scored two or more goals in four of the past five games
  2. Real Madrid went over 2.5 goals in 15 of 25 La Liga games
  3. Four of the past five H2H games ended with three or more goals

Main prediction Celta Vigo - Real Madrid

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

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1.84

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Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid standings in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 26 21 1 4 71 - 26 +45 64
2 Real Madrid 26 19 3 4 54 - 22 +32 60
3 Atlético Madrid 26 15 6 5 43 - 23 +20 51
4 Villarreal 26 16 3 7 48 - 31 +17 51
5 Real Betis 26 11 10 5 42 - 32 +10 43
6 Celta de Vigo 26 10 10 6 36 - 28 +8 40
7 Espanyol 26 10 6 10 33 - 39 -6 36
8 Real Sociedad 26 9 8 9 38 - 38 0 35
9 Athletic Club 26 10 5 11 30 - 36 -6 35
10 Osasuna 26 9 6 11 30 - 30 0 33
11 Getafe 26 9 5 12 21 - 29 -8 32
12 Rayo Vallecano 26 7 9 10 26 - 32 -6 30
13 Sevilla 26 8 6 12 34 - 41 -7 30
14 Girona 26 7 9 10 27 - 42 -15 30
15 Valencia 26 7 8 11 27 - 39 -12 29
16 Deportivo Alavés 26 7 6 13 23 - 34 -11 27
17 Elche 26 5 11 10 34 - 39 -5 26
18 Mallorca 26 6 6 14 29 - 42 -13 24
19 Levante 26 5 6 15 28 - 44 -16 21
20 Real Oviedo 26 3 8 15 16 - 43 -27 17

Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Celta Vigo this season?

The average xG for Celta Vigo in La Liga this season is 1.30.

? How much is the average xG for Real Madrid this season?

The average xG for Real Madrid in the La Liga this season is 2.13.