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Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao prediction 14.12.2025 | La Liga

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

Kick off:

Date:

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

2.86

X

3.25

2

2.80

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: Sunday, 14th December, 2025
  • Kickoff: 15:15 UK / 16:15 CET
  • Venue: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo)

After Celta Vigo's Europa League loss to Bologna (2:1), the Galician side now turns their focus to hosting Athletic Bilbao, who are coming off a hard-fought goalless draw against PSG in the Champions League. Both teams sit outside the European places and are pushing to close the gap on the top six.

Let's break down the match and find the best possible bet for this La Liga tie.

Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Celta Vigo

    1 : 2

    Athletic Bilbao

    La Liga

  2. Athletic Bilbao

    3 : 1

    Celta Vigo

    La Liga

  3. Celta Vigo

    2 : 1

    Athletic Bilbao

    La Liga

  4. Athletic Bilbao

    4 : 3

    Celta Vigo

    La Liga

  5. Athletic Bilbao

    2 : 1

    Celta Vigo

    La Liga

  6. Celta Vigo

    1 : 0

    Athletic Bilbao

    La Liga

In the previous h2h games, Athletic Bilbao have been much better, winning four of the past five games. Looking further back, in the past ten h2h games, Celta Vigo secured four wins, while Bilbao managed to win five. 

Regarding the number of goals, the last five h2h games ended with three or more goals, with both teams scoring each time.

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo team overview

Celta Vigo are playing their 14th consecutive season in La Liga, and the last one was one of their best, finishing seventh and securing the Europa League. This season, the Sky Blues had a rough start, failing to win in the opening eight matches. However, they slowly improved over the season and are now sitting in 10th place with 19 points from 15 matches. Interestingly, Celta Vigo searches for their first home La Liga win this season and in order to battle for Europe, the Sky Blues have to start winning points at Estadio de Balaídos.

After a 2:1 loss to Bologna in the Europa League, coach Claudio Giráldez spoke to the media. He said the Italian team showed better intensity, rhythm, and superiority in individual duels, which eventually led them to three points. The coach also said that defensive collapses were the turning points in this EL game. 

Last matches of Celta Vigo

  1. Celta Vigo

    1 : 2

    Bologna

    Europa League

  2. Real Madrid

    0 : 2

    Celta Vigo

    La Liga

  3. Sant Andreu

    6 : 7

    Celta Vigo

    Copa Del Rey

  4. Celta Vigo

    0 : 1

    Espanyol

    La Liga

  5. Ludogorets Razgrad

    3 : 2

    Celta Vigo

    Europa League

Celta Vigo lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Ionuț Radu

Defenders

  • 20

    Marcos Alonso

  • 2

    Carl Starfelt

  • 32

    Javi Rodríguez

Midfielders

  • 5

    Sergio Carreira

  • 6

    Ilaix Moriba

  • 3

    Óscar Mingueza

  • 16

    Miguel Román

Forwards

  • 7

    Borja Iglesias

  • 15

    Bryan Zaragoza

  • 18

    Pablo Durán

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao team overview

Athletic Bilbao came to this season after one of their best finishes in La Liga, securing fourth spot and qualifying for the Champions League main phase. Even though the Basque team won just five points in six rounds there, they are still in position to secure the next phase with good results in the last two games. In La Liga, the popular Lions are doing a mediocre job. Yes, they are in seventh place (23 points in 16 rounds) with only one point away from Europe. However, the Champions League is pretty far away, considering they are already eight points behind.

After a goalless draw in the previous game vs PSG, coach Ernesto Valverde spoke to the media. He was very happy with a draw against an excellent team, saying they showed collective effort, pressing, and combativeness throughout the matches. The coach also singled out goalkeeper Unai Simon, acknowledging his outstanding performance. 

Last matches of Athletic Bilbao

  1. Athletic Bilbao

    0 : 0

    PSG

    Champions League

  2. Athletic Bilbao

    1 : 0

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  3. Athletic Bilbao

    0 : 3

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  4. Levante

    0 : 2

    Athletic Bilbao

    La Liga

  5. Slavia Praha

    0 : 0

    Athletic Bilbao

    Champions League

Athletic Bilbao lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Unai Simón

Defenders

  • 12

    Jesús Areso

  • 3

    Dani Vivian

  • 17

    Yuri Berchiche

  • 19

    Adama Boiro

Midfielders

  • 18

    Mikel Jauregizar

  • 8

    Oihan Sancet

  • 16

    Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta

Forwards

  • 7

    Álex Berenguer

  • 11

    Gorka Guruzeta

  • 10

    Nico Williams

Prediction

Celta Vigo are the best team in La Liga for this type of bet as they went under 2.5 goals in 11 out of 15 rounds - 73%! Also, at home, they are definitely not among the best offensive teams, considering they scored just seven goals in eight rounds, and it is hard to expect a great offensive performance against a team that has had four clean sheets in the past five games.

Athletico Bilbao have been really good defensively in recent matches, and because of it, have been under 2.5 goals in four of the past five matches across the competitions. Also, away from home, the Basque team struggled scoring goals - seven goals in ten games across the competitions - 0.7 per game. 

Considering all the above, an under 2.5 goals seems like the best option for this La Liga tie.

3 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. Celta Vigo went under 2.5 goals in 11 out of 15 La Liga rounds
  2. Celta Vigo scored seven goals in eight home La Liga games
  3. Athletic Bilbao scored seven goals in ten road games across the competitions

Main prediction Celta Vigo - Athletic Bilbao

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.76

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Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao standings in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 16 13 1 2 47 - 20 +27 40
2 Real Madrid 16 11 3 2 32 - 15 +17 36
3 Villarreal 15 11 2 2 31 - 13 +18 35
4 Atlético Madrid 16 9 4 3 28 - 15 +13 31
5 Espanyol 15 8 3 4 19 - 16 +3 27
6 Real Betis 15 6 6 3 25 - 19 +6 24
7 Athletic Club 16 7 2 7 15 - 20 -5 23
8 Getafe 15 6 2 7 13 - 17 -4 20
9 Elche 15 4 7 4 18 - 17 +1 19
10 Celta de Vigo 15 4 7 4 18 - 19 -1 19
11 Deportivo Alavés 15 5 3 7 13 - 15 -2 18
12 Rayo Vallecano 15 4 5 6 13 - 16 -3 17
13 Sevilla 15 5 2 8 20 - 24 -4 17
14 Real Sociedad 16 4 4 8 20 - 24 -4 16
15 Osasuna 15 4 3 8 14 - 18 -4 15
16 Valencia 15 3 6 6 14 - 23 -9 15
17 Girona 16 3 6 7 15 - 30 -15 15
18 Mallorca 15 3 5 7 15 - 22 -7 14
19 Real Oviedo 15 2 4 9 7 - 22 -15 10
20 Levante 15 2 3 10 16 - 28 -12 9

Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Celta Vigo this season?

The average xG for Celta Vigo in La Liga this season is 1.29.

? How much is the average xG for Athletic Bilbao this season?

The average xG for Athletic Bilbao in La Liga this season is 1.48.