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Cagliari vs Lecce prediction 16.02.2026 | Serie A

Cagliari

Cagliari

Kick off:

Date:

Lecce

Lecce

1

2.29

X

3.06

2

3.96

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Monday, 16th February, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Unipol Domus (Cagliari)

On Monday, the only match on the Serie A schedule will be between two sides that were expected to finish in the lower half of the table before the season began: Cagliari and Lecce. However, the hosts are in a far stronger position, sitting a comfortable ten points clear of the relegation zone. Lecce, on the other hand, are under serious pressure, as they are just three points above the danger line and in desperate need of points.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Serie A tie.

Cagliari vs Lecce Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Lecce

    1 : 2

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  2. Cagliari

    4 : 1

    Lecce

    Serie A

  3. Lecce

    1 : 0

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  4. Cagliari

    1 : 1

    Lecce

    Serie A

  5. Lecce

    1 : 1

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  6. Cagliari

    0 : 0

    Lecce

    Serie A

In the first h2h game, Cagliari won on the road, despite Lecce taking a 1:0 lead early. Looking further back, in the past ten h2h games, Cagliari won three and Lecce two games. 

Regarding the number of goals, five of the past ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored on seven occasions. 

Cagliari

Cagliari team overview

After their return to Serie A, Cagliari had two similar seasons, earning 36 points in each and finishing 15th and 16th. This season, the Islanders are doing a much better job and are deservedly in the middle of the table, currently in 12th place with 28 points, which is around 0.22 points per game more than last season. In the last game, Cagliari lost 2:0 to AS Roma, but were on a superb three-game winning streak before that last loss. So, the Islanders will be looking to get back to winning ways against Lecce, which really struggled on the road this season.

After a 2:0 loss against AS Roma, coach Fabio Pisacane spoke to the media. He said Roma made things difficult for his team and stressed how challenging it is to compete with such a quality team. The coach wasn't too unhappy with a loss since there is a big gap in quality, and said they have to move forward. 

Last matches of Cagliari

  1. AS Roma

    2 : 0

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  2. Cagliari

    4 : 0

    Hellas Verona

    Serie A

  3. Fiorentina

    1 : 2

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  4. Cagliari

    1 : 0

    Juventus

    Serie A

  5. Genoa

    3 : 0

    Cagliari

    Serie A

Cagliari lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Elia Caprile

Defenders

  • 15

    Juan Rodríguez

  • 32

    Zé Pedro

  • 22

    Alberto Dossena

Midfielders

  • 2

    Marco Palestra

  • 4

    Luca Mazzitelli

  • 8

    Michel Adopo

  • 10

    Gianluca Gaetano

Forwards

  • 33

    Adam Obert

  • 94

    Sebastiano Esposito

  • 9

    Semih Kılıçsoy

Lecce

Lecce team overview

Lecce are playing another bad season and are hovering around the relegation zone, as they have in the past three seasons. Initially, it seemed they might avoid that struggle, but an eight-game winless streak made their situation much more precarious, which they managed to stop with a victory over Udinese in the last round. Now, I Giallorossi are sitting in 17th place with 21 points from 24 rounds. At the moment, the bookies offer odds around 2.62 for them to get relegated, with only Cremonese, Pisa, and Verona having lower odds. 

After a 2:1 win over Udinese, coach Eusebio Di Francesco spoke to the media. He acknowledged the fans' criticisms and accepted it, but also called for support in the relegation battle. The coach eventually praised the team's spirit and said the win was a result of a collective performance. 

Last matches of Lecce

  1. Lecce

    2 : 1

    Udinese

    Serie A

  2. Torino

    1 : 0

    Lecce

    Serie A

  3. Lecce

    0 : 0

    Lazio

    Serie A

  4. AC Milan

    1 : 0

    Lecce

    Serie A

  5. Inter Milan

    1 : 0

    Lecce

    Serie A

Lecce lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 30

    Wladimiro Falcone

Defenders

  • 17

    Danilo Veiga

  • 44

    Tiago Gabriel

  • 4

    Gaspar

  • 25

    Antonino Gallo

Midfielders

  • 20

    Ylber Ramadani

  • 29

    Lassana Coulibaly

  • 16

    Omri Gandelman

Forwards

  • 23

    Riccardo Sottil

  • 99

    Walid Cheddira

  • 50

    Santiago Pierotti

Prediction

Cagliari did lost the last game, but had three consecutive wins before that loss. One of those was against the Italian giant, Juventus. Also, at home, the Islanders lost only to AC Milan in the past six games and should do well against Lecce.

Meanwhile, Lecce won only once in the past nine games. On the road, they have won only one point over the past six games, scoring just one goal! They are generally a very poor offensive team and should struggle to score against Cagliari, which have back-to-back home clean sheets against Juventus and Verona.

In the first h2h game of the season, Cagliari won 2:1 on the road. Considering all the above, we firmly believe Cagliari are a better team and should win this game at home at Unipol Domus.

5 Reasons why Cagliari should win

  1. Cagliari won three of the past four games
  2. Cagliari lost once in the past six home games
  3. Lecce won one point in the past six road matches
  4. Lecce scored one goal in the last six road games
  5. Cagliari won the previous h2h game 2:1

Main prediction Cagliari - Lecce

Cagliari to win

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

2.29

Bet here

Cagliari vs Lecce standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 25 20 1 4 60 - 21 +39 61
2 AC Milan 24 15 8 1 40 - 18 +22 53
3 Napoli 24 15 4 5 36 - 23 +13 49
4 Juventus 25 13 7 5 43 - 23 +20 46
5 Roma 24 15 1 8 29 - 14 +15 46
6 Atalanta 25 11 9 5 34 - 21 +13 42
7 Como 24 11 8 5 38 - 18 +20 41
8 Lazio 25 8 9 8 26 - 25 +1 33
9 Udinese 24 9 5 10 27 - 36 -9 32
10 Bologna 24 8 6 10 32 - 31 +1 30
11 Sassuolo 24 8 5 11 27 - 34 -7 29
12 Cagliari 24 7 7 10 28 - 33 -5 28
13 Torino 24 7 6 11 24 - 42 -18 27
14 Parma 24 6 8 10 16 - 30 -14 26
15 Cremonese 24 5 8 11 21 - 33 -12 23
16 Genoa 24 5 8 11 29 - 37 -8 23
17 Lecce 24 5 6 13 15 - 31 -16 21
18 Fiorentina 25 4 9 12 29 - 39 -10 21
19 Pisa 25 1 12 12 20 - 42 -22 15
20 Hellas Verona 24 2 9 13 18 - 41 -23 15

Cagliari vs Lecce – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Cagliari this season?

The average xG for Cagliari in the Serie A this season is 1.08.

? How much is the average xG for Lecce this season?

The average xG for Lecce in the Serie A this season is 1.12.