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Cagliari vs AC Milan prediction 02.01.2026 | Serie A

Cagliari

Cagliari

Kick off:

Date:

AC Milan

AC Milan

1

6.40

X

4.20

2

1.50

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Friday, 2nd January, 2025
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Unipol Domus (Cagliari)

On Friday evening, on the second day of 2026, the Italian Serie A continues. One of the more interesting games of the round will be between relegation candidates Cagliari and title contenders AC Milan. Both teams are coming into this match having won their last game: Cagliari over Torino and AC Milan over Hellas Verona. However, before those wins, both teams had underwhelming results. 

Cagliari vs AC Milan Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. AC Milan

    1 : 1

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  2. Cagliari

    3 : 3

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  3. AC Milan

    5 : 1

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  4. AC Milan

    4 : 1

    Cagliari

    Coppa Italia

  5. Cagliari

    1 : 3

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  6. Cagliari

    0 : 1

    AC Milan

    Serie A

Last season, both h2h games ended as draws, 1:1 in Milan and 3:3 in Cagliari. Looking further back, in the past ten h2h games, AC Milan have been a much better team, winning seven times, while the remaining three matches ended in draws. 

Regarding the number of goals, four of the last five h2h games ended with three or more goals - 80%. Meanwhile, both teams scored in the last five h2h games. 

Cagliari

Cagliari team overview

Cagliari were one of the weakest teams in Serie A in the previous decade, even spending two seasons in Serie B. This season, Cagliari are once again in the lower part of the league table. Still, they are in a fairly comfortable 14th place with 18 points - six points away from the danger zone. Since their only goal is to survive, we can safely say they are doing a fine job. 

After a 2:1 win over Torino, coach Fabio Pisacane spoke to the media. He was delighted with a win on a very difficult pitch. The coach was generally happy with the performance but also noted there are areas they need to improve, such as managing transitions better and defending better in the later stages of the game.

In the previous game against Torino, midfielder Luca Mazzitelli suffered an injury and had to leave the field around 20 minutes before the end of the match. He will most likely miss the upcoming game, along with Andrea Belotti, Mattia Felici, Michael Folorunsho, Yerry Mina, Juan Rodriguez, and Jose Pedro, who should remain sidelined with their injuries. Additionally, Joseph Liteta and Zito Luvumbo are unavailable since they are at AFCON with their national teams.

Last matches of Cagliari

  1. Torino

    1 : 2

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  2. Cagliari

    2 : 2

    Pisa

    Serie A

  3. Atalanta

    2 : 1

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  4. Cagliari

    1 : 0

    AS Roma

    Serie A

  5. Napoli

    9 : 8

    Cagliari

    Coppa Italia

Cagliari lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Elia Caprile

Defenders

  • 28

    Gabriele Zappa

  • 6

    Sebastiano Luperto

  • 33

    Adam Obert

Midfielders

  • 2

    Marco Palestra

  • 14

    Alessandro Deiola

  • 16

    Matteo Prati

  • 8

    Michel Adopo

  • 3

    Riyad Idrissi

Forwards

  • 94

    Sebastiano Esposito

  • 10

    Gianluca Gaetano

AC Milan

AC Milan team overview

AC Milan came into this season after a terrible one last year, finishing eighth. Rossoneri missed Europe through the league but had a chance to secure it via the Cup, but lost to Bologna in the Finals. Despite being focused only on the domestic competitions, "I Rossoneri" have already suffered elimination from the Coppa Italia. However, in Serie A, they are doing a fine job and are in 2nd place, just one point behind first-placed Inter Milan. 

After a 3:0 win over Verona, coach Massimiliano Allegri spoke to the media. He said it was a great win, but admitted that they could have managed the ball better. The coach said they cannot talk about Scudetto and should instead focus on improving, running more, and remaining humble. 

The team should have no new injuries, but the players who missed the previous matches should remain sidelined - Rafael Leao, Santiago Tomas Gimenez, and Matteo Gabbia.

Last matches of AC Milan

  1. AC Milan

    3 : 0

    Hellas Verona

    Serie A

  2. Napoli

    2 : 0

    AC Milan

    Super Cup

  3. AC Milan

    2 : 2

    Sassuolo

    Serie A

  4. Torino

    2 : 3

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  5. Lazio

    1 : 0

    AC Milan

    Coppa Italia

AC Milan lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Mike Maignan

Defenders

  • 23

    Fikayo Tomori

  • 5

    Koni De Winter

  • 31

    Strahinja Pavlovic

Midfielders

  • 56

    Alexis Saelemaekers

  • 8

    Ruben Loftus-Cheek

  • 14

    Luka Modrić

  • 12

    Adrien Rabiot

  • 33

    Davide Bartesaghi

Forwards

  • 11

    Christian Pulisic

  • 18

    Christopher Nkunku

Prediction

Cagliari went over 2.5 goals in the past three games. They were pretty good offensively lately, scoring four goals in the back-to-back games vs Torino and Cagliari. They have also scored at least a goal in seven consecutive games, against some good teams like Genoa, Juventus, Napoli, AS Roma, Atalanta, and Torino.

Meanwhile, AC Milan went over the mentioned line in the last three Serie A games. Rossoneri are generally one of the best teams in the league for this type of bet, with nine out of their 16 games finishing with three or more goals - 56%. 

Four of the past five h2h games ended with three or more goals. Considering the trend in the previous h2h games and constant high-scoring games from both teams lately, along with all the above, an over 2.5 goals bet seems like the best option for this Serie A tie. 

4 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Cagliari went over 2.5 goals in the last three games
  2. Cagliari scored at least one goal in the last seven matches
  3. AC Milan went over 2.5 goals in three of the last four games
  4. Four out of the last five h2h games ended with three or more goals

Main prediction Cagliari - AC Milan

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.97

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Cagliari vs AC Milan standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 16 12 0 4 35 - 14 +21 36
2 Milan 16 10 5 1 27 - 13 +14 35
3 Napoli 16 11 1 4 24 - 13 +11 34
4 Roma 17 11 0 6 20 - 11 +9 33
5 Juventus 17 9 5 3 23 - 15 +8 32
6 Como 16 7 6 3 22 - 12 +10 27
7 Bologna 16 7 5 4 24 - 14 +10 26
8 Lazio 17 6 6 5 18 - 12 +6 24
9 Sassuolo 17 6 4 7 22 - 21 +1 22
10 Udinese 17 6 4 7 18 - 28 -10 22
11 Atalanta 17 5 7 5 20 - 19 +1 22
12 Cremonese 17 5 6 6 18 - 20 -2 21
13 Torino 17 5 5 7 17 - 28 -11 20
14 Cagliari 17 4 6 7 19 - 24 -5 18
15 Parma 16 4 5 7 11 - 18 -7 17
16 Lecce 16 4 4 8 11 - 22 -11 16
17 Genoa 17 3 5 9 17 - 27 -10 14
18 Hellas Verona 16 2 6 8 13 - 25 -12 12
19 Pisa 17 1 8 8 12 - 24 -12 11
20 Fiorentina 17 1 6 10 17 - 28 -11 9

Cagliari vs AC Milan – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Cagliari this season?

The average xG for Cagliari in the Serie A this season is 1.08.

? How much is the average xG for AC Milan this season?

The average xG for AC Milan in the Serie A this season is 1.50.