Cadiz vs Almería prediction 09.05.2025 | La Liga 2

Cadiz

Cadiz

Kick off:

Date:

Almería

Almería

1

3.30

X

3.30

2

2.20

  • Competition: La Liga 2
  • Date: Friday, 9th May, 2025
  • Kickoff: 19:30 UK / 20:30 CEST
  • Venue: Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla (Cadiz)

After four years in the Spanish top-flight division, Cadiz suffered relegation last year. Even though most football pundits expected they would be one of the candidates for promotion, they won't even be able to reach the playoffs. Right now, they are sitting in 13th place with 49 points in 38 matches. In fact, they are much closer to the relegation zone (nine points) than the playoffs (13). Now, in these remaining two rounds, the Andalusian team has no motive because they cannot significantly move up or down on the league's table.

Almeria, just like Cadiz, got relegated last year. Throughout this season, it seemed they were one of the best teams, and promotion looked pretty inevitable. After 23 rounds, the popular Cowboys held the top spot and played fantastic football. Unfortunately for them, since then, they have been too inconsistent, especially away from home, and are now in danger of dropping out of the playoff spots. Currently, they sit in 6th place with 62 points from 38 rounds. However, they are only three points away from 7th placed Granada and will have to keep winning points to secure the Playoffs.

Cadiz vs Almeria pick: Over 2.5 goals

Cadiz haven't been great for this bet throughout the season as they were over 2.5 goals in 47% of La Liga 2 games. However, their defense looked pretty bad in recent matches, keeping a clean sheet just once in the last five games nad allowing eight goals in total - 1.6 per game. That poor defensive performance could easily mean more goals in this game where Almeria needs points.

Almeria, on the other hand, are the best team in the league for this bet, as 66% of their La Liga 2 games ended with three or more goals. And away from home, that number is even higher - 74%. Also, away from home, they have been terrible defensively, allowing three or more goals in the previous three matches.

In the previous h2h game, we saw a 1:1 draw. However, there were a lot of opportunities for the third goal, especially for Almeria, which had 20 goal attempts. Considering all the above, we believe that an over 2.5 goals bet is the safest option for this La Liga 2 tie.

Cadiz vs Almería Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Almería

    1 : 1

    Cadiz

    La Liga 2

  2. Almería

    6 : 1

    Cadiz

    La Liga

  3. Cadiz

    1 : 1

    Almería

    La Liga

  4. Almería

    1 : 1

    Cadiz

    La Liga

  5. Cadiz

    1 : 1

    Almería

    La Liga

  6. Cadiz

    1 : 2

    Almería

    Club Friendlies 1

Cadiz

Cadiz team news

In the previous game against Cordoba, goalkeeper David Gil received a straight red card and will be suspended. The 31-year-old has been crucial for this team as he started in 36 out of 38 La Liga rounds - 95%. During those 36 appearances, Gil had 12 clean sheets, and his absence could be a massive problem for Cadiz. 

Meanwhile, a backup striker, Carlos Fernandez, served his one-game suspension in the previous game and will be available.

When it comes to injuries, the players who missed the previous games should remain sidelined - Francisco Mwepu, Brian Ocampo, and Chris Ramos.

Last matches of Cadiz

  1. Córdoba

    4 : 2

    Cadiz

    La Liga 2

  2. Cadiz

    1 : 0

    Sporting Gijon

    La Liga 2

  3. Cadiz

    0 : 1

    Elche

    La Liga 2

  4. Deportivo La Coruña

    1 : 0

    Cadiz

    La Liga 2

  5. Tenerife

    2 : 1

    Cadiz

    La Liga 2

Cadiz lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Jose Caro

Defenders

  • 2

    Joseba Zaldua

  • 3

    Fali

  • 14

    Bojan Kovacevic

  • 37

    Mario Climent

Midfielders

  • 7

    Ruben Sobrino

  • 8

    Alex Fernandez

  • 27

    Moussa Diakite

  • 22

    Javier Ontiveros

Forwards

  • 9

    Roger Marti

  • 25

    Oscar Melendo

Almería

Almería team news

In the previous game against Eldense, right full-back Marc Pubill suffered an injury and had to leave the field after 72 minutes. With him potentially out, Álex Pozo should get the opportunity to start.

Besides questionable Pubill,  Iddrisu Baba should be the only injured player on the team. The 29-year-old midfielder has been out for some time with a serious knee injury and will not be back this season.

Last matches of Almería

  1. Castellón

    4 : 1

    Almería

    La Liga 2

  2. Granada

    3 : 1

    Almería

    La Liga 2

  3. Almería

    1 : 0

    Levante

    La Liga 2

  4. Burgos

    3 : 1

    Almería

    La Liga 2

  5. Almería

    4 : 1

    Real Zaragoza

    La Liga 2

Almería lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Fernando Martinez

Defenders

  • 17

    Alejandro Pozo

  • 4

    Kaiky

  • 3

    Edgar Gonzalez

  • 20

    Alejandro Centelles Plaza

Midfielders

  • 8

    Gonzalo Melero

  • 11

    Sergio Arribas

  • 6

    Dion Lopy

Forwards

  • 12

    Leo Baptistao

  • 9

    Luis Suarez

  • 10

    Nico Melamed

3 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Cadiz were over 2.5 goals in two of the last three games
  2. Almeria were over 2.5 goals in 74% of their league road games
  3. Almeria allowed three or more goals in the previous three road games

Main prediction Cadiz - Almería

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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Cadiz & Almería current standing in La Liga 2

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Elche 38 20 11 7 51 - 29 +22 71
2 Levante 38 18 13 7 61 - 39 +22 67
3 Racing Santander 38 19 9 10 59 - 44 +15 66
4 Mirandés 38 19 8 11 51 - 36 +15 65
5 Real Oviedo 38 18 11 9 51 - 40 +11 65
6 Almería 38 17 11 10 67 - 53 +14 62
7 Granada 38 16 11 11 59 - 47 +12 59
8 Huesca 38 16 10 12 51 - 39 +12 58
9 Córdoba 38 14 12 12 54 - 53 +1 54
10 Deportivo La Coruña 38 13 14 11 53 - 44 +9 53
11 Albacete 38 13 12 13 51 - 53 -2 51
12 Burgos 38 14 9 15 34 - 40 -6 51
13 Castellón 38 13 10 15 57 - 56 +1 49
14 Cádiz 38 12 13 13 48 - 49 -1 49
15 Málaga 38 11 16 11 38 - 40 -2 49
16 SD Eibar 38 12 13 13 37 - 39 -2 49
17 Sporting Gijón 38 11 14 13 49 - 49 0 47
18 Real Zaragoza 38 11 12 15 51 - 56 -5 45
19 Eldense 38 10 10 18 37 - 56 -19 40
20 Tenerife 38 8 11 19 35 - 51 -16 35
21 Racing Ferrol 38 5 11 22 21 - 60 -39 26
22 FC Cartagena 38 5 5 28 27 - 69 -42 20

Cadiz vs Almería - FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Cadiz this season?

The average xG for Cadiz in La Liga 2 this season is 1.36.

? How much is the average xG for Almeria this season?

The average xG for Almeria in La Liga 2 this season is 1.73.