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Burnley vs Everton prediction 27.12.2025 | English Premier League

Burnley

Burnley

Kick off:

Date:

Everton

Everton

1

4.04

X

3.48

2

2.08

  • Competition: English Premier League
  • Date: 27th December, 2025
  • Kickoff: 15:00 UK / 16:00 CET
  • Venue: Turf Moor

Burnley and Everton meet in a festive Premier League Round 18 fixture with contrasting objectives. Burnley sit precariously in the relegation zone, seeking vital points to preserve any hope of potentially staying in the Premier League for next season, while Everton occupy mid-table territory and aim to consolidate their position after a mixed sequence of results.

Burnley vs Everton Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Everton

    1 : 0

    Burnley

    Premier League

  2. Burnley

    0 : 2

    Everton

    Premier League

  3. Everton

    3 : 0

    Burnley

    Carabao Cup

  4. Burnley

    3 : 2

    Everton

    Premier League

  5. Everton

    3 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

  6. Everton

    1 : 2

    Burnley

    Premier League

Historically, Everton have held the upper hand in this fixture. Across all competitions, the clubs have met over 120 times, with Everton winning more than 50 matches compared to Burnley’s sub-40 victories and a notable number of draws. The trend extends into recent encounters: Everton have won the last three head-to-head league meetings, including away at Turf Moor.

Burnley

Burnley team overview

Burnley’s 2025/26 campaign has been defined by a chronic inability to accumulate points. After 17 matches, the Clarets have collected just 11 points, stemming from three wins and two draws, alongside 12 defeats, leaving them with a goal difference of -15. Offensively, Burnley have scored 19 goals (approximately 1.12 per game) but have conceded at a league-high rate of 2.00 goals per match, underlining systemic defensive issues.

Recent form statistics paint a bleak picture. Burnley have managed only one draw in their last eight matches and have lost four consecutive home games. Their scoring output has been inconsistent, finding the net in some fixtures but frequently conceding clean sheets at the other end. On an individual level, Zian Flemming leads Burnley’s scoring charts with five goals, though his contributions alone have been insufficient to alter the team’s overall results trend.

Injury and availability concerns further complicate Scott Parker’s selection options. Lyle Foster, Axel Tuanzebe and Hannibal Mejbri are all away at the Africa Cup of Nations and will not return for at least a couple more weeks, while Jordan Beyer and Zeki Amdouni remain sidelined with injury.

Last matches of Burnley

  1. AFC Bournemouth

    1 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

  2. Burnley

    2 : 3

    Fulham

    Premier League

  3. Newcastle United

    2 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

  4. Burnley

    0 : 1

    Crystal Palace

    Premier League

  5. Brentford

    3 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

Burnley lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Martin Dúbravka

Defenders

  • 29

    Josh Laurent

  • 4

    Joe Worrall

  • 18

    Hjalmar Ekdal

  • 2

    Kyle Walker

  • 23

    Lucas Pires

Midfielders

  • 8

    Lesley Ugochukwu

  • 24

    Josh Cullen

  • 7

    Jacob Bruun Larsen

  • 11

    Jaidon Anthony

Forwards

  • 27

    Armando Broja

Everton

Everton team overview

Everton arrive with a more balanced statistical profile, though vulnerabilities remain. With 24 points from 17 matches, they sit comfortably ahead of Burnley in the table, having recorded seven wins, three draws and seven defeats. Everton’s defensive record is notably superior, conceding just 20 goals this season - the seventh-best record in the league - while their attacking output has been modest, with 18 goals scored. Clean sheets and defensive organisation remain key strengths, with the majority of their fixtures producing under 2.5 goals.

Everton’s recent five-match sequence includes only two wins, interspersed with defeats to league heavyweights Arsenal and Chelsea. They have also failed to score in several of those outings, highlighting an inconsistent attacking pattern. Squad depth is currently affected by absences through injury and international duty. Idrissa Gueye and Iliman Ndiaye are both away on AFCON duty, while Seamus Coleman, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Jarrad Branthwaite are ruled out due to injury.

Last matches of Everton

  1. Everton

    0 : 1

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  2. Chelsea

    2 : 0

    Everton

    Premier League

  3. Everton

    3 : 0

    Nottingham Forest

    Premier League

  4. AFC Bournemouth

    0 : 1

    Everton

    Premier League

  5. Everton

    1 : 4

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

Everton lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Jordan Pickford

Defenders

  • 15

    Jake O'Brien

  • 6

    James Tarkowski

  • 5

    Michael Keane

  • 16

    Vitaliy Mykolenko

Midfielders

  • 37

    James Garner

  • 42

    Tim Iroegbunam

  • 24

    Carlos Alcaraz

Forwards

  • 7

    Dwight McNeil

  • 18

    Jack Grealish

  • 11

    Thierno Barry

Prediction

Statistical indicators strongly favour an Everton victory. Superior metrics across most performance areas, combined with Burnley’s prolonged winless run and persistent defensive fragility, position the visitors as marginal favourites. A controlled and disciplined Everton display could be sufficient to secure a narrow away win for the Toffees.

Prediction: Everton to Win.

Three reasons we expect Everton to Win

  1. Burnley have failed to win eight consecutive Premier League matches.
  2. Everton have collected three successive wins vs Burnley across all competitions.
  3. Excluding defeats to the league’s big names Arsenal and Chelsea, Everton had collected four wins from a possible five prior to those fixtures against the London-based clubs.

Main prediction Burnley - Everton

Everton to win

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

I have been familiar with sports betting and football betting in particular for 10 years, so I have a good knowledge of analysing and researching football bets to make the best possible predictions.

Best Odds:

22bet

2.08

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Burnley vs Everton standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 17 12 3 2 31 - 10 +21 39
2 Manchester City 17 12 1 4 41 - 16 +25 37
3 Aston Villa 17 11 3 3 27 - 18 +9 36
4 Chelsea 17 8 5 4 29 - 17 +12 29
5 Liverpool 17 9 2 6 28 - 25 +3 29
6 Sunderland 17 7 6 4 19 - 17 +2 27
7 Manchester United 17 7 5 5 31 - 28 +3 26
8 Crystal Palace 17 7 5 5 21 - 19 +2 26
9 Brighton & Hove Albion 17 6 6 5 25 - 23 +2 24
10 Everton 17 7 3 7 18 - 20 -2 24
11 Newcastle United 17 6 5 6 23 - 22 +1 23
12 Brentford 17 7 2 8 24 - 25 -1 23
13 Fulham 17 7 2 8 24 - 26 -2 23
14 Tottenham Hotspur 17 6 4 7 26 - 23 +3 22
15 AFC Bournemouth 17 5 7 5 26 - 29 -3 22
16 Leeds United 17 5 4 8 24 - 31 -7 19
17 Nottingham Forest 17 5 3 9 17 - 26 -9 18
18 West Ham United 17 3 4 10 19 - 35 -16 13
19 Burnley 17 3 2 12 19 - 34 -15 11
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 17 0 2 15 9 - 37 -28 2

Burnley vs Everton – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Burnley take on Everton on the Sofascore app.

? What is the average number of corners Burnley have won in the English Premier League 2025/26?

3.6

? What is the average number of corners Everton have won in the English Premier League 2025/26?

4.4