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Bristol City vs Derby prediction 30.01.2026 | Championship

Bristol City

Bristol City

Kick off:

Date:

Derby County

Derby County

1

2.02

X

3.35

2

3.64

  • Competition: Championship
  • Date: Friday, 30th January 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol)

Two potential promotion playoff teams, Bristol City and Derby, will meet on Friday night. With both sides fighting to secure a top-six finish, this matchup has all the makings of a classic six-pointer. Can Derby continue their good form and take points from Ashton Gate Stadium? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Bristol City vs Derby County Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Derby County

    1 : 1

    Bristol City

    Championship

  2. Bristol City

    1 : 0

    Derby County

    Championship

  3. Derby County

    3 : 0

    Bristol City

    Championship

  4. Derby County

    1 : 3

    Bristol City

    Championship

  5. Bristol City

    1 : 0

    Derby County

    Championship

  6. Derby County

    1 : 0

    Bristol City

    Championship

Briston City won six of the last nine H2H matches. Derby won only two games in that period, with one draw. The teams met already once this season, when it was 1-1 in Derby. Also, it is worth noting that five of the previous seven H2H games ended with two or fewer goals. 

Bristol City

Bristol City team overview

After losing in the promotion playoff last season, Bristol City could have another try in the current campaign. They are only one point behind the desired spots, and every point could be vital. However, Bristol City didn't play well lately, with only four points in the last four matches. The best game in the period came last weekend, when Bristol City won 2-0 at home against Sheffield Wednesday. Although it took more than an hour to break the deadlock, Bristol City controlled much of the contest and fully deserved the three points.

The transfer window ends next Monday, and Bristol City are still active in the market. They are interested in left winger Middlesbrough's Delano Burgzorg, who has two goals and three assists in 25 Championship matches this season. 

Bristol City have some injury problems. They will be without Joe Williams, Zak Vyner, Luke McNally, Fally Mayulu, and Max Bird on Friday night. 

Last matches of Bristol City

  1. Bristol City

    2 : 0

    Sheffield Wednesday

    Championship

  2. Ipswich Town

    2 : 0

    Bristol City

    Championship

  3. Oxford United

    0 : 0

    Bristol City

    Championship

  4. Bristol City

    5 : 1

    Watford

    FA Cup

  5. Bristol City

    0 : 2

    Preston North End

    Championship

Bristol City lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 23

    Radek Vitek

Defenders

  • 19

    George Tanner

  • 16

    Rob Dickie

  • 5

    Rob Atkinson

Midfielders

  • 2

    Ross McCrorie

  • 4

    Adam Randell

  • 12

    Jason Knight

  • 3

    Cameron Pring

Forwards

  • 10

    Scott Twine

  • 18

    Emil Riis

  • 44

    George Earthy

Derby County

Derby team overview

Derby are two points behind the promotion playoff zone, and while they look more like a mid-table team, the Rams have every right to dream of a return to the English top flight. Derby played well recently, with seven points in the last three matches. In the most recent outing, John Eustace's team played 1-1 at home against WBA. The guests were behind for most of the match, but they finally broke through well-organized Derby's defense and left the hosts with only one point. 

Derby are active in the transfer market, too. In the last few days, there have been reports that the Rams are interested in Shea Lacey (Manchester United U21) and Joe Rothwell (Rangers). Derby needs reinforcements to compete with the best teams in the competition, and surely we should expect some additions from them in the coming days. 

Carlton Morris is injured and will not travel to Bristol, while Max Johnson is questionable and his status will get clearer closer to the kickoff. 

Last matches of Derby County

  1. Derby County

    1 : 1

    West Bromwich Albion

    Championship

  2. Charlton Athletic

    1 : 2

    Derby County

    Championship

  3. Preston North End

    0 : 1

    Derby County

    Championship

  4. Derby County

    1 : 3

    Leeds United

    FA Cup

  5. Derby County

    1 : 2

    Wrexham

    Championship

Derby County lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Jacob Widell Zetterstrom

Defenders

  • 23

    Joe Ward

  • 4

    Danny Batth

  • 6

    Sondre Langas

  • 20

    Callum Elder

Midfielders

  • 27

    Lewis Travis

  • 42

    Bobby Clark

  • 18

    David Ozoh

Forwards

  • 25

    Ben Brereton Diaz

  • 7

    Patrick Agyemang

  • 10

    Rhian Brewster

Prediction

For both these teams, the defense is a better part of their teams. Interestingly, both sides conceded only two goals in the last three matches. Also, in the only H2H game this season, it was 1-1 in Derby. We should expect another low-scoring tie on Friday night. Our prediction: Under 2.5 goals. 

4 Reasons why we shouldn't expect more than two goals in this match

  1. Bristol City have a 2:2 goal difference in the last three matches
  2. Derby conceded two goals in the previous three games
  3. Bristol City and Derby went under 2.5 goals in five of the last seven H2H matches
  4. In the only meeting this season, it was 1-1

Main prediction Bristol City - Derby County

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.73

Bet here

Bristol City vs Derby County standings in Championship

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Coventry City 29 17 7 5 62 - 33 +29 58
2 Middlesbrough 29 16 7 6 46 - 29 +17 55
3 Ipswich Town 28 14 8 6 48 - 27 +21 50
4 Hull City 28 15 5 8 47 - 40 +7 50
5 Millwall 29 14 7 8 36 - 35 +1 49
6 Wrexham 29 11 11 7 43 - 37 +6 44
7 Bristol City 29 12 7 10 40 - 31 +9 43
8 Watford 28 11 10 7 39 - 33 +6 43
9 Preston North End 29 11 10 8 36 - 33 +3 43
10 Stoke City 29 12 6 11 34 - 26 +8 42
11 Derby County 29 11 9 9 39 - 37 +2 42
12 Queens Park Rangers 29 11 7 11 40 - 42 -2 40
13 Birmingham City 29 10 9 10 39 - 38 +1 39
14 Leicester City 29 10 8 11 40 - 43 -3 38
15 Southampton 29 9 10 10 41 - 41 0 37
16 Swansea City 29 10 6 13 32 - 37 -5 36
17 Sheffield United 28 11 2 15 39 - 41 -2 35
18 Norwich City 29 9 6 14 37 - 41 -4 33
19 Charlton Athletic 28 8 8 12 27 - 38 -11 32
20 West Bromwich Albion 29 9 5 15 32 - 44 -12 32
21 Portsmouth 27 7 9 11 24 - 37 -13 30
22 Blackburn Rovers 28 7 8 13 26 - 37 -11 29
23 Oxford United 28 6 9 13 27 - 36 -9 27
24 Sheffield Wednesday 28 1 8 19 18 - 56 -38 -7

Bristol City vs Derby – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Bristol City this season?

The average xG for Bristol City in the Championship this season is 1.45.

? How much is the average xG for Derby this season?

The average xG for Derby in the Championship this season is 1.15.