Brighton vs Burnley prediction 03.01.2026 | Premier League

Brighton’s season reflects mid-table consolidation, with 25 points from 19 games, placing them around 14th in the Premier League standings. Recent league form has been concerning: the Seagulls are winless in six domestic league matches, collecting just three points from a possible 18. Nonetheless, Brighton’s home record lifts them into the top ten of the league’s home standings (W4 D4 L1), as they have lost only once in the first half of the season - an entertaining 4-3 defeat to Aston Villa.

Danny Welbeck is Brighton’s top Premier League scorer with 8 goals, providing a focal point in attack, and the squad’s underlying shot metrics show consistent offensive efforts, tallying more than 12 shots per match on average. However, their goal conversion and defensive lapses have emerged as issues in December, exemplified by defeats and draws against mid-table teams.

Injury and availability concerns persist. Brighton have absentees and squad rotation challenges influenced by AFCON call-ups and light injuries, notably the absence of midfielder Carlos Baleba (AFCON) and defensive contributors such as Solly March and Adam Webster, limiting Fabian Hurzeler’s selection options.

Burnley’s 2025/26 campaign has been a struggle; they sit firmly in the relegation zone with 12 points from 19 games, recording just three wins, three draws, and 13 losses - a −17 goal difference, highlighted by 20 goals scored and 37 conceded. Their recent league form is poor: they are winless in their last 10 fixtures, including a heavy 3-1 home defeat to Newcastle on the final matchday of 2025.

Burnley’s scoring efficiency is modest, averaging just over a goal per game, and defensive frailties remain a central concern, with opponents averaging nearly 2 goals per match against them - the Clarets possess the third-worst defensive record among all 20 teams.

Injuries and absences further complicate Burnley’s prospects. Key midfielder and captain Josh Cullen is sidelined long-term with an ACL injury, and several others, including Joe Worrall, Jordan Beyer and Connor Roberts, are currently unavailable, while additional squad members are away on AFCON duty. This severely limits Scott Parker’s tactical options and depth, especially in defensive stability and midfield cohesion.