Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich prediction 28.02.2026 | Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
Kick off:
Date:
Bayern Munich
1
4.78
X
4.78
2
1.68
Contents
- Competition: Bundesliga
- Date: 28th February 2026
- Kick-off: 17:30 UK / 18:30 CET
- Venue: Signal Iduna Park
Saturday evening gives us another Klassiker. Dortmund host Bayern in the second league meeting of the 2025–26 season, and yes, it already feels decisive. Eight points separate them. Bayern sit top. Dortmund are chasing in second. If the Black and Yellows want to keep the title race alive, they really cannot afford a polite draw.
Three points are the only convincing statement. Anything less, and the gap starts to look uncomfortable. In this guide, I will walk you through recent form, team news, and a few betting angles that actually make sense when you look closely at the numbers.
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Bayern Munich
2 : 1
Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga
-
Bayern Munich
2 : 2
Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga
-
Borussia Dortmund
1 : 1
Bayern Munich
Bundesliga
-
Bayern Munich
0 : 2
Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga
-
Borussia Dortmund
0 : 4
Bayern Munich
Bundesliga
-
Bayern Munich
4 : 2
Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga
Since 2021, these sides have met 11 times in all competitions. Bayern dominated that stretch with seven wins. Yet interestingly, they managed just one clean sheet in those games. That detail often gets overlooked. Dortmund claimed just one victory. Three matches ended level. The average goals per game in that period sits at 3.73.
Borussia Dortmund team overview
If we’re being honest, Dortmund’s season has wobbled a little. The opening weeks felt tense. Results never quite settled. And yet, lately, something clicked. Before the midweek trip to Atalanta in the Champions League playoff second leg, they were four matches unbeaten and eyeing a fifth.
A 2–0 first-leg win should have given them control. A draw would have done. Instead, Niko Kovač watched his team drift through one of those strangely lifeless European nights. They lost 4–1. Out they went.
In the league, however, the mood shifts. Sixteen Bundesliga games unbeaten. Eleven wins. The last defeat came against Bayern Munich in October, which adds tension here. At home, especially, they look convincing.
As for the squad, Ramy Bensebaini and Nico Schlotterbeck are available. Their suspensions stay in Europe. Julian Ryerson misses out through suspension. Filippo Mané has a muscle issue. Niklas Süle is still battling his hamstring.
Last matches of Borussia Dortmund
-
Atalanta
4 : 1
Borussia Dortmund
Champions League
-
RB Leipzig
2 : 2
Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga
-
Borussia Dortmund
2 : 0
Atalanta
Champions League
-
Borussia Dortmund
4 : 0
FSV Mainz
Bundesliga
-
VfL Wolfsburg
1 : 2
Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Gregor Kobel
Defenders
-
2
Yan Couto
-
5
Ramy Bensebaini
-
3
Waldemar Anton
-
49
Luca Reggiani
Midfielders
-
24
Daniel Svensson
-
10
Julian Brandt
-
20
Marcel Sabitzer
-
7
Jobe Bellingham
Forwards
-
14
Maximilian Beier
-
9
Serhou Guirassy
Bayern Munich team overview
Bayern have been, well, relentless. Not flawless. But relentless. They lead the Bundesliga with 60 points and have lost only once in the league this season. In the Champions League league phase, they were beaten only once as well and finished second behind Arsenal.
Vincent Kompany’s team arrive on a four-match winning run. Thirteen goals scored. Only three conceded. Moreover, seven wins from their last eight away matches suggest they are perfectly comfortable outside the Allianz Arena.
Harry Kane scored twice last weekend and now sits on 28 league goals. He will lead the line again. Behind him, Michael Olise and Luis Díaz have combined for 23 goals this season.
Manuel Neuer remains out with a muscle injury. Konrad Laimer and Bara Sapoko Ndiaye are also unavailable. Even so, the squad depth is considerable.
Last matches of Bayern Munich
-
Bayern Munich
3 : 2
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bundesliga
-
Werder Bremen
0 : 3
Bayern Munich
Bundesliga
-
Bayern Munich
2 : 0
RB Leipzig
DFB Pokal
-
Bayern Munich
5 : 1
Hoffenheim
Bundesliga
-
Hamburger SV
2 : 2
Bayern Munich
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich lineup
Goalkeeper
-
40
Jonas Urbig
Defenders
-
44
Josip Stanišić
-
2
Dayot Upamecano
-
3
Kim Min-jae
-
19
Alphonso Davies
Midfielders
-
6
Joshua Kimmich
-
10
Jamal Musiala
-
45
Aleksandar Pavlović
Forwards
-
17
Michael Olise
-
9
Harry Kane
-
14
Luis Díaz
Prediction
Bayern arrive top with 60 points and 13 goals scored across their last four matches. Dortmund are unbeaten in 16 league games and have scored twice in eight of their last nine at home. The last 11 meetings average 3.73 goals. Bayern rarely keep clean sheets here. A chaotic, high-level 3–2 away win feels right.
Three reasons we expect three or more goals in this game
- Three of the last four games of Dortmund finished with four or more goals.
- Bayern have scored at least twice in each of their last six matches.
- Dortmund scored at least twice in eight of their last nine home encounters.
Main prediction Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich
Over 3.5 goals
Best Odds:
Megapari
1.87
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich standings in Bundesliga
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 85 - 21 | +64 | 60 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 49 - 22 | +27 | 52 |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 49 - 30 | +19 | 46 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 44 - 32 | +12 | 43 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 44 - 32 | +12 | 41 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 43 - 28 | +15 | 39 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 34 - 37 | -3 | 33 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 46 - 49 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | FC Union Berlin | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29 - 37 | -8 | 28 |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 28 - 41 | -13 | 28 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 25 - 32 | -7 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Köln | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 33 - 39 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | FSV Mainz 05 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26 - 38 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26 - 39 | -13 | 22 |
| 15 | VfL Wolfsburg | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 33 - 49 | -16 | 20 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 22 - 40 | -18 | 20 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 - 44 | -21 | 19 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 22 - 51 | -29 | 14 |