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Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta prediction 17.02.2026 | Champions League

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

Kick off:

Date:

Atalanta

Atalanta

1

2.05

X

3.80

2

3.78

  • Competition: Champions League, 1/16 Finals
  • Date: Tuesday, 17th February, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)

The Champions League league phase has come to an end, and attention now turns to the knockout stage. On Tuesday evening, one of the standout ties of the round will see Borussia Dortmund host Atalanta in the first leg in Germany. Both sides arrive in excellent form, each riding a three-game winning streak, which sets the stage for a highly competitive and entertaining match.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Champions League tie.

Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Atalanta

    1 : 1

    Borussia Dortmund

    Europa League

  2. Borussia Dortmund

    3 : 2

    Atalanta

    Europa League

  3. Borussia Dortmund

    0 : 1

    Atalanta

    Club Friendlies 1

These two teams met in the Europa League 1/16 Finals in 2018. That time, Borussia Dortmund won 3:2 in Germany, while the game in Italy ended 1:1. Eventually, Borussia Dortmund secured the next phase on a 4:3 aggregate. Besides those two duels, these teams met a year earlier in a friendly match, which Atalanta won 1:0.

Regarding the number of goals, one of the three games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored twice.

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund team overview

Borussia Dortmund have been really good in the previous two Champions League campaigns, reaching the quarter-finals last season and even the finals the season before. This year, the Prussians started the competition well, but after losing the last two games against Tottenham and Inter, they were pushed down and forced to play an extra duel in the knockout phase. But on the other hand, in the Bundesliga, the Prussians are red-hot, having won five in a row and closing the gap with first-placed Bayern Munich to "only" six points. Generally speaking, they are in very good form and will be eager to extend against Atalanta.

After a 4:0 win over Mainz in the previous game, coach Niko Kovac spoke to the media. He said the win was hard-earned and that their efficiency in front of the goal made the difference in this match. The coach emphasized the need to stay focused and noted that, even with such a big win, the team still needs to keep working hard. 

Last matches of Borussia Dortmund

  1. Borussia Dortmund

    4 : 0

    FSV Mainz

    Bundesliga

  2. VfL Wolfsburg

    1 : 2

    Borussia Dortmund

    Bundesliga

  3. Borussia Dortmund

    3 : 2

    Heidenheim

    Bundesliga

  4. Borussia Dortmund

    0 : 2

    Inter Milan

    Champions League

  5. FC Union Berlin

    0 : 3

    Borussia Dortmund

    Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Gregor Kobel

Defenders

  • 26

    Julian Ryerson

  • 3

    Waldemar Anton

  • 5

    Ramy Bensebaini

  • 24

    Daniel Svensson

Midfielders

  • 2

    Yan Couto

  • 8

    Felix Nmecha

  • 7

    Jobe Bellingham

Forwards

  • 14

    Maximilian Beier

  • 10

    Julian Brandt

  • 9

    Serhou Guirassy

Atalanta

Atalanta team overview

Atalanta established themselves as one of the best teams in Italy in the previous seasons and even won the Europa League in the 2023/24 season. However, the popular La Dea weren't as good in the Champions League and never advanced past this round. In this Champions League campaign, Atalanta followed a similar path to Dortmund, losing the last two games in the league phase and finishing 15th. 

In Serie A, Atalanta were really bad at the start, which eventually led to a coaching change in mid-November. After Palladino's appointment, they started playing much better and are now in 6th place - 4 points behind the desired 4th place. They are generally on the rise, even securing Coppa Italia Semi-Finals around two weeks ago by eliminating Juventus 3:0. 

After a 2:0 win over Lazio, coach Raffaele Palladino spoke to the media. He said the game was balanced and competitive, with Lazio starting better but Atalanta improving as the game progressed and being more clinical. The coach praised his players' ambition and self-belief, but stressed the importance of staying humble and keeping their focus. 

Last matches of Atalanta

  1. Lazio

    0 : 2

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  2. Atalanta

    2 : 1

    Cremonese

    Serie A

  3. Atalanta

    3 : 0

    Juventus

    Coppa Italia

  4. Como

    0 : 0

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  5. Union Saint-Gilloise

    1 : 0

    Atalanta

    Champions League

Atalanta lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 29

    Marco Carnesecchi

Defenders

  • 77

    Davide Zappacosta

  • 19

    Berat Djimsiti

  • 4

    Isak Hien

  • 3

    Odilon Kossounou

Midfielders

  • 16

    Raoul Bellanova

  • 13

    Éderson

  • 15

    Marten de Roon

  • 8

    Mario Pašalić

  • 47

    Lorenzo Bernasconi

Forwards

  • 90

    Nikola Krstović

Prediction

Borussia Dortmund won three in a row with nine goals scored - three per game. The Prussians have been strong at home and have scored at least one goal in 14 of 16 games while scoring a total of 36 goals - an average of 2.25 goals per game. So, we expect them to score against Atalanta as well, which only had three clean sheets in eight Champions League games.

Atalanta are also in superb form with three wins and seven goals scored. Two of those three wins were really impressive, beating Lazio (2:0) and Juventus (3:0), and it is fair to expect they will continue scoring against Borussia Dortmund, which has only one clean sheet in eight CL games. 

Considering all the above, but especially both teams' excellent offensive production in recent games, both teams to score bet seems like the best option for this Champions League tie.

3 Reasons why both teams should score

  1. Borussia Dortmund scored nine goals in the past three games
  2. Borussia Dortmund scored at least one goal in 14 of 16 home games
  3. Atalanta scored seven goals in the past three matches

Main prediction Borussia Dortmund - Atalanta

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

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1.58

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Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta standings in Champions League

League Stage P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 8 8 0 0 23 - 4 +19 24
2 FC Bayern München 8 7 0 1 22 - 8 +14 21
3 Liverpool 8 6 0 2 20 - 8 +12 18
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8 5 2 1 17 - 7 +10 17
5 FC Barcelona 8 5 1 2 22 - 14 +8 16
6 Chelsea 8 5 1 2 17 - 10 +7 16
7 Sporting CP 8 5 1 2 17 - 11 +6 16
8 Manchester City 8 5 1 2 15 - 9 +6 16
9 Real Madrid 8 5 0 3 21 - 12 +9 15
10 Inter 8 5 0 3 15 - 7 +8 15
11 Paris Saint Germain 8 4 2 2 21 - 11 +10 14
12 Newcastle United 8 4 2 2 17 - 7 +10 14
13 Juventus 8 3 4 1 14 - 10 +4 13
14 Atlético Madrid 8 4 1 3 17 - 15 +2 13
15 Atalanta 8 4 1 3 10 - 10 0 13
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 3 3 2 13 - 14 -1 12
17 Borussia Dortmund 8 3 2 3 19 - 17 +2 11
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8 3 2 3 10 - 14 -4 11
19 Club Brugge 8 3 1 4 15 - 17 -2 10
20 Galatasaray 8 3 1 4 9 - 11 -2 10
21 Monaco 8 2 4 2 8 - 14 -6 10
22 Qarabağ 8 3 1 4 13 - 21 -8 10
23 Bodø / Glimt 8 2 3 3 14 - 15 -1 9
24 Benfica 8 3 0 5 10 - 12 -2 9
25 Olympique Marseille 8 3 0 5 11 - 14 -3 9
26 Pafos FC 8 2 3 3 8 - 11 -3 9
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8 3 0 5 8 - 17 -9 9
28 PSV 8 2 2 4 16 - 16 0 8
29 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 9 - 14 -5 8
30 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9 - 15 -6 8
31 FC København 8 2 2 4 12 - 21 -9 8
32 Ajax 8 2 0 6 8 - 21 -13 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10 - 21 -11 4
34 Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 5 - 19 -14 3
35 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5 - 18 -13 1
36 Kairat 8 0 1 7 7 - 22 -15 1

Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Borussia Dortmund this season?

The average xG for Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League this season is 1.47.

? How much is the average xG for Atalanta this season?

The average xG for Atalanta in the Champions League this season is 1.55.