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Bologna vs Parma prediction 04.12.2025 | Coppa Italia

Kick off:

Date:

1

1.51

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4.00

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7.00

  • Competition: Coppa Italia, 1/8 Finals
  • Date: Thursday, 4th December, 2025
  • Kickoff: 17:00 UK / 18:00 CET
  • Venue: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna)

On Thursday evening, the last season's Coppa Italia winner, Bologna, will welcome Parma in the Coppa Italia 1/8 Finals at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara in Bologna. Both teams are coming into this match after losing their last games - Bologna against Cremonese and Parma against Udinese. 

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Parma

    1 : 3

    Bologna

    Serie A

  2. Parma

    2 : 0

    Bologna

    Serie A

  3. Bologna

    0 : 0

    Parma

    Serie A

  4. Parma

    0 : 3

    Bologna

    Serie A

  5. Bologna

    4 : 1

    Parma

    Serie A

  6. Parma

    2 : 2

    Bologna

    Serie A

These teams have already met this season, only around a month ago, with Bologna winning 3:1 on the road. Looking further back, in the past ten h2h meetings, Bologna won four times, while Parma secured one victory.

When it comes to the number of goals, six out of the last ten h2h games ended with fewer than three goals, while both teams scored in the same number of games (six). 

Bologna team overview

In the previous three seasons, Bologna have constantly been in the upper half of the league's table. However, last season, the Red and Blues were absolutely amazing, winning the Cup. That is their first major title since the 1998/99 season, when they won the Intertoto Cup. This season, they have been absolutely fantastic in Serie A, as they are sitting in 6th place with 24 points from 13 matches - just four points away from the top spot. They are generally on the rise despite losing their last game against Cremonese, which ended their 12-game unbeaten run. 

After a 3:1 loss against Cremonese, coach Vincenzo Italiano spoke to the media. He said they had a bad day and basically gave away the first two goals. The coach wasn't too unhappy with their performance, saying they haven't played poorly. 

Last matches of

  1. Bologna

    1 : 3

    Cremonese

    Serie A

  2. Bologna

    4 : 1

    Red Bull Salzburg

    Europa League

  3. Udinese

    0 : 3

    Bologna

    Serie A

  4. Bologna

    2 : 0

    Napoli

    Serie A

  5. Bologna

    0 : 0

    Brann

    Europa League

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Federico Ravaglia

Defenders

  • 20

    Nadir Zortea

  • 16

    Nicolò Casale

  • 26

    Jhon Lucumí

  • 33

    Juan Miranda

Midfielders

  • 4

    Tommaso Pobega

  • 21

    Jens Odgaard

  • 6

    Nikola Moro

Forwards

  • 7

    Riccardo Orsolini

  • 9

    Santiago Castro

  • 30

    Benja Domínguez

Parma team overview

Parma secured promotion to Serie A in the 2023/24 season and barely escaped relegation in the following season. This year, their relegation battle continued. After 13 rounds, they are in 17th place with 11 points - just one point away from the danger zone. Unlike Bologna, which will start Coppa Italia in this round, Parma have already played in two rounds, eliminating two Serie B teams - Pescara and Spezia. 

After a 2:0 loss against Udinese in the previous game, coach Carlos Cuesta spoke to the media. He said there were things missing today and said they really struggled to escape Udinese's pressing. "We're disappointed because we wanted to celebrate another result with our fans. We gave everything, and it wasn't enough. Now, it's back to work to be ready for Bologna," the coach added.

Last matches of

  1. Parma

    0 : 2

    Udinese

    Serie A

  2. Hellas Verona

    1 : 2

    Parma

    Serie A

  3. Parma

    2 : 2

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  4. Parma

    1 : 3

    Bologna

    Serie A

  5. AS Roma

    2 : 1

    Parma

    Serie A

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 40

    Edoardo Corvi

Defenders

  • 15

    Enrico Delprato

  • 37

    Mariano Troilo

  • 5

    Lautaro Valenti

Midfielders

  • 27

    Sascha Britschgi

  • 22

    Oliver Sørensen

  • 10

    Adrián Bernabé

  • 16

    Mandela Keita

  • 14

    Emanuele Valeri

Forwards

  • 9

    Mateo Pellegrino

  • 32

    Patrick Cutrone

Prediction

Bologna were fantastic before losing the last game, as they won three in a row against really good competition - Salzburg, Udinese, and Napoli. They also won all three of those matches with two or more goals' difference.

Meanwhile, Parma lost six out of 13 Serie A games and have won only two matches. Those wins came against the last-placed Verona and struggling Torino. Also, on the road, they have really been bad offensively, scoring just three goals in six rounds - 0.5 per game. 

Additionally, Bologna won three out of the last five h2h games and covered the -1.5 AH spread each time. Considering all the above, we believe Bologna are a much better team and should comfortably win this Coppa Italia match.

4 Reasons why Bologna should win and cover the -1 AH spread

  1. Bologna won three out of the past four matches
  2. Bologna lost once in the past 13 matches
  3. Parma failed to score in four out of six road games
  4. Bologna won three out of the last five h2h games

Main prediction -

AH1 (-1)

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Melbet

1.90

Bet here

Bologna vs Parma – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Bologna this season?

The average xG for Bologna in the league this season is 1.49.

? How much is the average xG for Parma this season?

The average xG for Parma in the league this season is 1.18.