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Birmingham vs Blackburn prediction 03.04.2026 | Championship

Birmingham City

Birmingham City

Kick off:

Date:

Blackburn Rovers

Blackburn Rovers

1

1.85

X

3.35

2

4.40

  • Competition: Championship
  • Date: Friday, 3rd April, 2026
  • Kickoff: 15:00 UK / 16:00 CEST
  • Venue: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)

On Friday, all Championship sides will play in the 40th round. In one of the duels, Birmingham will host Blackburn. While Birmingham will hardly move drastically up or down, Blackburn are trying to create some space between them and the danger zone.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Championship tie.

Birmingham City vs Blackburn Rovers Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Blackburn Rovers

    1 : 2

    Birmingham City

    Championship

  2. Birmingham City

    1 : 0

    Blackburn Rovers

    Championship

  3. Blackburn Rovers

    4 : 2

    Birmingham City

    Championship

  4. Birmingham City

    1 : 0

    Blackburn Rovers

    Championship

  5. Birmingham City

    0 : 1

    Blackburn Rovers

    FA Cup

  6. Blackburn Rovers

    2 : 2

    Birmingham City

    FA Cup

In the first H2H game this season, Birmingham won 2:1. It was a deserved win for the popular Blues, where they should probably have won by a bigger margin. Looking further back, in the past ten H2H games, Birmingham won three times, while Blackburn won five times.

When it comes to the number of goals, seven out of the past ten ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in six of them. 

Birmingham City

Birmingham team overview

Birmingham suffered relegation from the Championship in 2023/24 and instantly returned the following season. Even before the relegation, the Blues struggled and constantly floated around the danger zone. However, this year, they are doing a much better job. At one point, it looked like they could make the playoffs, but the last month and a half were pretty bad. Still, the Blues are in 11th place with 53 points - ten points away from the playoffs and will try to make a push to reach it. 

After a 1:0 loss to Derby, coach Chris Davies spoke to the media. He was unhappy with the result, saying they delivered a very disappointing performance. The coach added they "deserved nothing from the game", noting there weren't any positives from the match.

Three players who missed the previous games with injuries should remain sidelined - Kai Wagner, Alexander Cochrane, and Lee Buchanan.

Last matches of Birmingham City

  1. Derby County

    1 : 0

    Birmingham City

    Championship

  2. Birmingham City

    1 : 1

    Sheffield United

    Championship

  3. Birmingham City

    1 : 0

    Queens Park Rangers

    Championship

  4. Charlton Athletic

    1 : 0

    Birmingham City

    Championship

  5. Birmingham City

    1 : 3

    Middlesbrough

    Championship

Birmingham City lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 25

    James Beadle

Defenders

  • 4

    Christoph Klarer

  • 37

    Jonathan Panzo

  • 6

    Jack Robinson

Midfielders

  • 2

    Ethan Laird

  • 24

    Tomoki Iwata

  • 8

    Seung-ho Paik

  • 17

    Ibrahim Osman

Forwards

  • 10

    Demarai Gray

  • 33

    Marvin Ducksch

  • 28

    Jay Stansfield

Blackburn Rovers

Blackburn team overview

Blackburn are playing eight consecutive seasons in the Championship and are once again set to miss the playoffs. In some of the seasons, they were close to reaching it, but this one, they couldn't be further away from it. With seven rounds left, the Rovers are sitting in 19th place with 43 points - only four points away from the danger zone. So, an overall terrible season from them, and at this point, they are only looking to survive. However, the bookies aren't too convinced of their chances and are offering odds of around 2.5-2.6 on them being relegated.  

After a goalless draw with Middlesbrough in the previous game, coach Michael O'Neill spoke to the media. He was very proud of the effort of his players in securing a point against a strong team. He said they could have been better with the ball, but called the players' effort magnificent and focused mostly on that. 

The team should have no new injuries, but the players who missed the previous games should remain sidelined - Sondre Tronstad, Lewis Miller, Augustus Kargbo, Ryan Hedges, Andri Gudjohnsen, and Jake Garrett. 

Last matches of Blackburn Rovers

  1. Blackburn Rovers

    0 : 0

    Middlesbrough

    Championship

  2. Millwall

    1 : 2

    Blackburn Rovers

    Championship

  3. Oxford United

    1 : 0

    Blackburn Rovers

    Championship

  4. Blackburn Rovers

    1 : 1

    Portsmouth

    Championship

  5. Derby County

    3 : 1

    Blackburn Rovers

    Championship

Blackburn Rovers lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 22

    Balázs Tóth

Defenders

  • 15

    Sean McLoughlin

  • 20

    Eiran Cashin

  • 38

    Tom Atcheson

Midfielders

  • 2

    Ryan Alebiosu

  • 24

    Moussa Baradji

  • 5

    Taylor Gardner-Hickman

  • 28

    Adam Forshaw

  • 4

    Yuri Ribeiro

Forwards

  • 29

    Mathias Jørgensen

  • 25

    Ryoya Morishita

Prediction

Birmingham went under 2.5 goals in the past four games. They really struggled offensively in those matches, having scored just two goals. That is well below their season's average of 1.23 goals per game.

Blackburn also mostly played low-scoring games lately, going under 2.5 goals in three of the past four matches. They are, in fact, the second-best team in the league with 59% of their matches finishing with fewer than three goals. Similarly to Birmingham, they also struggled to score goals lately. Looking at the past seven matches, they scored one or zero goals in six games. 

Considering all the above, but especially both teams' poor offensive form in recent games, we believe that an under 2.5 goals bet is the safest option for this Championship tie.

3 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. Birmingham went under 2.5 goals in the past four games
  2. Blackburn went under 2.5 goals in 23 out of 39 Championship games
  3. Blackburn scored one or zero goals in six of the past seven games

Main prediction Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.66

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Birmingham City vs Blackburn Rovers standings in Championship

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Coventry City 39 24 8 7 81 - 40 +41 80
2 Middlesbrough 39 20 11 8 59 - 37 +22 71
3 Ipswich Town 38 19 12 7 67 - 39 +28 69
4 Millwall 39 20 9 10 53 - 44 +9 69
5 Hull City 39 20 6 13 62 - 57 +5 66
6 Southampton 39 17 12 10 63 - 48 +15 63
7 Wrexham 39 17 12 10 60 - 51 +9 63
8 Derby County 39 17 9 13 56 - 48 +8 60
9 Watford 39 14 14 11 50 - 46 +4 56
10 Norwich City 39 16 6 17 52 - 46 +6 54
11 Birmingham City 39 14 11 14 48 - 49 -1 53
12 Queens Park Rangers 39 15 8 16 55 - 61 -6 53
13 Preston North End 39 13 13 13 45 - 49 -4 52
14 Swansea City 39 15 7 17 44 - 49 -5 52
15 Stoke City 39 14 9 16 46 - 43 +3 51
16 Bristol City 39 14 9 16 49 - 50 -1 51
17 Sheffield United 39 15 5 19 54 - 54 0 50
18 Charlton Athletic 39 12 12 15 36 - 46 -10 48
19 Blackburn Rovers 39 11 10 18 36 - 49 -13 43
20 West Bromwich Albion 39 11 10 18 40 - 54 -14 43
21 Portsmouth 38 10 10 18 37 - 54 -17 40
22 Leicester City 39 11 12 16 51 - 60 -9 39
23 Oxford United 39 9 12 18 36 - 51 -15 39
24 Sheffield Wednesday 39 1 9 29 24 - 79 -55 -6

Birmingham vs Blackburn – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Sky Sports+ (UK/Irl) channel.

? How much is the average xG for Birmingham this season?

The average xG for Birmingham in the Championship this season is 1.50.

? How much is the average xG for Blackburn this season?

The average xG for Blackburn in the Championship this season is 1.33.