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Benfica vs Napoli prediction 10.12.2025 | Champions League

Benfica

Benfica

Kick off:

Date:

Napoli

Napoli

1

2.45

X

3.36

2

3.23

  • Competition: Champions League
  • Date: Wednesday, 10th December, 2025
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon)

Benfica welcomes Napoli for a promising and high-stakes Champions League duel that could decide both clubs' European future. Benfica enters the game sitting 30th in the standings with just three points, while Napoli are in 20th place with seven points after five rounds. Despite both sides arriving in good (overall) form, their Champions League campaigns have been far from impressive, and each needs points to stay in the hunt for the next stage of the competition.

Benfica vs Napoli Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Benfica

    1 : 2

    Napoli

    Champions League

  2. Napoli

    4 : 2

    Benfica

    Champions League

  3. Benfica

    2 : 0

    Napoli

    Europa League

  4. Napoli

    3 : 2

    Benfica

    Europa League

The last time these teams met was in 2016, in the Champions League Group stage. That time, Napoli secured a 4:2 win at home and a 2:1 win on the road at Estádio da Luz in Lisbon. In total, they've met five times, with Napoli securing four wins and Benfica only one. 

Regarding the number of goals, four out of the last five ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in the same number of games (four).

Benfica

Benfica team overview

Last year, Benfica finished their season trophyless, even though they came really close to winning the double. Unfortunately, they lost the Taça de Portugal final to Sporting and also finished second to Sporting by two points in Liga Portugal. This season, the popular Eagles have been inconsistent by their standards and are sitting in third place in the domestic league, already trailing first-placed FC Porto by eight points. 

In the Champions League, they opened the season with four straight losses before finally winning their last match vs Ajax. After the Napoli game, the Eagles will have two more challenging games vs Juventus and Real Madrid, and it is really hard to expect them to qualify for the next stage without a positive result in this match.

After a 1:1 draw with Sporting in the previous game, coach Jose Mourinho spoke to the media. He said they started the match badly but completely dominated the second half, and eventually said they deserved to win. The famous coach emphasized they remained in the title race despite being eight points away from the top.

Last matches of Benfica

  1. Benfica

    1 : 1

    Sporting CP

    Liga Portugal

  2. CD Nacional

    1 : 2

    Benfica

    Liga Portugal

  3. Ajax

    0 : 2

    Benfica

    Champions League

  4. Atlético CP

    0 : 2

    Benfica

    Taça De Portugal

  5. Benfica

    2 : 2

    Casa Pia

    Liga Portugal

Benfica lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Anatoliy Trubin

Defenders

  • 17

    Amar Dedić

  • 30

    Nicolás Otamendi

  • 4

    António Silva

  • 26

    Samuel Dahl

Midfielders

  • 20

    Richard Ríos

  • 18

    Leandro Barreiro

  • 5

    Enzo Barrenechea

  • 8

    Fredrik Aursnes

Forwards

  • 14

    Vangelis Pavlidis

  • 10

    Georgiy Sudakov

Napoli

Napoli team overview

Napoli came to this season after winning their fourth Scudetto, their second in the past three years. This year, despite being ravaged by injuries, they are doing well in Serie A, currently sitting in first place with 31 points in 14 rounds.However, their CL performance could have been better, but are still in a much better position than Benfica to secure the next phase. After the Benfica game, Napoli will face FC Copenhagen, a match they are expected to win. 

For the Benfica game, the team could miss up to six important players due to injuries: Frank Anguissa, Kevin De Bruyne, Billy Gilmour, Miguel Gutierrez, Alex Meret, and the newest name on the injury list - Stanislav Lobotka

Last matches of Napoli

  1. Napoli

    2 : 1

    Juventus

    Serie A

  2. Napoli

    9 : 8

    Cagliari

    Coppa Italia

  3. AS Roma

    0 : 1

    Napoli

    Serie A

  4. Napoli

    2 : 0

    Qarabag FK

    Champions League

  5. Napoli

    3 : 1

    Atalanta

    Serie A

Napoli lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 32

    Vanja Milinković-Savić

Defenders

  • 31

    Sam Beukema

  • 4

    Alessandro Buongiorno

  • 13

    Amir Rrahmani

Midfielders

  • 22

    Giovanni Di Lorenzo

  • 8

    Scott McTominay

  • 20

    Eljif Elmas

  • 17

    Mathías Olivera

Forwards

  • 7

    David Neres

  • 19

    Rasmus Højlund

  • 70

    Noa Lang

Prediction

Benfica have been excellent for this type of bet, with three out of the past four games finishing with fewer than three goals. In the Champions League, they have had massive problems scoring goals. They have only scored four in five rounds - 0.8 per game.

Napoli went under 2.5 goals in seven out of the past nine games across the competitions. They have also been pretty bad on the road in recent games, winning only two games in the last seven and scoring only five goals - 0.71 per game. So, offering a great offensive performance against Mourinho's Benfica seems unreal. 

Considering all the above, an under 2.5 goals bet seems like the best possible bet for this Champions League tie.

3 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. Benfica went under 2.5 goals in three out of the last four games
  2. Benfica scored four goals in five CL rounds
  3. Napoli went under 2.5 goals in the last three road games

Main prediction Benfica - Napoli

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.83

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Benfica vs Napoli standings in Champions League

League Stage P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 5 5 0 0 14 - 1 +13 15
2 Paris Saint Germain 5 4 0 1 19 - 8 +11 12
3 FC Bayern München 5 4 0 1 15 - 6 +9 12
4 Inter 5 4 0 1 12 - 3 +9 12
5 Real Madrid 5 4 0 1 12 - 5 +7 12
6 Borussia Dortmund 5 3 1 1 17 - 11 +6 10
7 Chelsea 5 3 1 1 12 - 6 +6 10
8 Sporting CP 5 3 1 1 11 - 5 +6 10
9 Manchester City 5 3 1 1 10 - 5 +5 10
10 Atalanta 5 3 1 1 6 - 5 +1 10
11 Newcastle United 5 3 0 2 11 - 4 +7 9
12 Atlético Madrid 5 3 0 2 12 - 10 +2 9
13 Liverpool 5 3 0 2 10 - 8 +2 9
14 Galatasaray 5 3 0 2 8 - 7 +1 9
15 PSV 5 2 2 1 13 - 8 +5 8
16 Tottenham Hotspur 5 2 2 1 10 - 7 +3 8
17 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5 2 2 1 8 - 10 -2 8
18 FC Barcelona 5 2 1 2 12 - 10 +2 7
19 Qarabağ 5 2 1 2 8 - 9 -1 7
20 Napoli 5 2 1 2 6 - 9 -3 7
21 Olympique Marseille 5 2 0 3 8 - 6 +2 6
22 Juventus 5 1 3 1 10 - 10 0 6
23 Monaco 5 1 3 1 6 - 8 -2 6
24 Pafos FC 5 1 3 1 4 - 7 -3 6
25 Union Saint-Gilloise 5 2 0 3 5 - 12 -7 6
26 Club Brugge 5 1 1 3 8 - 13 -5 4
27 Athletic Club 5 1 1 3 4 - 9 -5 4
28 Eintracht Frankfurt 5 1 1 3 7 - 14 -7 4
29 FC København 5 1 1 3 7 - 14 -7 4
30 Benfica 5 1 0 4 4 - 8 -4 3
31 Slavia Praha 5 0 3 2 2 - 8 -6 3
32 Bodø / Glimt 5 0 2 3 7 - 11 -4 2
33 Olympiacos F.C. 5 0 2 3 5 - 13 -8 2
34 Villarreal 5 0 1 4 2 - 10 -8 1
35 Kairat 5 0 1 4 4 - 14 -10 1
36 Ajax 5 0 0 5 1 - 16 -15 0

Benfica vs Napoli – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Benfica this season?

The average xG for Benfica in the Champions League this season is 1.43.

? How much is the average xG for Napoli this season?

The average xG for Napoli in the Champions League this season is 1.32.