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Bayer Leverkusen vs Arsenal prediction 11.03.2026 | Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

Kick off:

Date:

Arsenal

Arsenal

1

6.40

X

4.20

2

1.52

  • Competition: Champions League
  • Date: Wednesday, 11th March 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:45 UK / 18:45 CET
  • Venue: BayArena (Leverkusen)

Only 16 teams are left in the Champions League and every game will be harder than the previous. Bayer Leverkusen have not been in great form lately, but they are certainly working on a plan to beat Arsenal in the first leg. Can the Bundesliga team win on Wednesday evening? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Bayer Leverkusen vs Arsenal Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Arsenal

    4 : 1

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Club Friendlies 1

Bayer Leverkusen and Arsenal met only twice in the Champions League 2001/2002 season. In the game in Germany, it was 1-1, while the Gunners won 4-1 at the home stadium. 

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen team overview

Although Bayer Leverkusen are not on the level of the previous two seasons, they are still in contention to finish among the best four teams in the Bundesliga. Kasper Hjulmand's side are only three points behind the desired position, and if Leverkusen suffer the expected defeat against Arsenal in the Champions League Round of 16, they could then shift their full focus to domestic competitions.

The last few weeks were tough for Bayer Leverkusen, as they won only one of the last five matches. In the previous game, they played 3-3 on the road against Freiburg. The teams were pretty even, so splitting points seems the fairest outcome. 

Bayer Leverkusen faces an extremely demanding schedule in the coming days. They will play two matches against Arsenal in the Champions League, with a crucial Bundesliga clash against Bayern Munich in between. Those three matches in six days might define Bayer's season. 

Bayer Leverkusen will be without Arthur, Loic Bade, Eliesse Ben Seghir, Mark Flekken, Lucas, Nathan Tella, and Issa Traore on Wednesday evening. Also, Patrik Schick is questionable, and his status will be clearer closer to the kickoff. 

Last matches of Bayer Leverkusen

  1. SC Freiburg

    3 : 3

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Bundesliga

  2. Hamburger SV

    0 : 1

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Bundesliga

  3. Bayer Leverkusen

    1 : 1

    FSV Mainz

    Bundesliga

  4. Bayer Leverkusen

    0 : 0

    Olympiacos Piraeus

    Champions League

  5. FC Union Berlin

    1 : 0

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 28

    Janis Blaswich

Defenders

  • 8

    Robert Andrich

  • 4

    Jarell Quansah

  • 12

    Edmond Tapsoba

Midfielders

  • 19

    Ernest Poku

  • 6

    Equi Fernandez

  • 24

    Aleix Garcia

  • 20

    Alejandro Grimaldo

Forwards

  • 30

    Ibrahim Maza

  • 35

    Christian Kofane

  • 11

    Martin Terrier

Arsenal

Arsenal team overview

Arsenal could have a historic 2025/26 season. They are in contention to win all the competitions they entered this year. Also, Mikel Arteta's team is in excellent form. They won nine of the last 11 matches across all competitions. One of the weakest games in the period was the last one, when the Gunners won only 2-1 on the road in the FA Cup against Mansfield. Arteta used the opportunity to rotate the squad, but they still expected a more dominant victory.

Arsenal's manager, Mikel Arteta, wasn't fully satisfied with the most recent outing. He said, "You have to be much more ruthless in front of the goal. We had four or five big open chances that we didn't convert. Then the margin is smaller, and you give the opponent hope. We also made a mistake with the goal. But we had two 16-year-olds in the starting line-up, I don't think that's ever happened. Everybody feels involved. We have the desire that game by game we are closer to the things we can achieve."

Mikel Merino and Ben White are injured and will not travel to Leverkusen, while Riccardo Calafiori, Ifeoluwa Ibrahim, Martin Odegaard, William Saliba, and Leandro Trossard are questionable.

Last matches of Arsenal

  1. Mansfield Town

    1 : 2

    Arsenal

    FA Cup

  2. Brighton & Hove Albion

    0 : 1

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  3. Arsenal

    2 : 1

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  4. Tottenham Hotspur

    1 : 4

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  5. Wolverhampton Wanderers

    2 : 2

    Arsenal

    Premier League

Arsenal lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    David Raya

Defenders

  • 12

    Jurrien Timber

  • 3

    Cristhian Mosquera

  • 6

    Gabriel Magalhaes

  • 5

    Pedro Hincapie

Midfielders

  • 36

    Martin Zubimendi

  • 10

    Eberechi Eze

  • 41

    Declan Rice

Forwards

  • 7

    Bukayo Saka

  • 14

    Viktor Gyokeres

  • 11

    Gabriel Martinelli

Prediction

Bayer Leverkusen didn't play well lately, winning only one of the last five matches. On the other hand, Arsenal triumphed in nine of the previous 11 games. We should expect Mikel Arteta's team to win and cover AH -1 spread on Wednesday at BayArena. 

3 Reasons why Arsenal should win and cover AH -1 spread

  1. Bayer Leverkusen won in only one of the last five matches
  2. Arsenal won in nine of the previous 11 games
  3. Arsenal scored 15 goals in the last six matches

Main prediction Bayer Leverkusen - Arsenal

AH2 (-1)

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Melbet

1.95

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Bayer Leverkusen vs Arsenal standings in Champions League

League Stage P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 8 8 0 0 23 - 4 +19 24
2 FC Bayern München 8 7 0 1 22 - 8 +14 21
3 Liverpool 8 6 0 2 20 - 8 +12 18
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8 5 2 1 17 - 7 +10 17
5 FC Barcelona 8 5 1 2 22 - 14 +8 16
6 Chelsea 8 5 1 2 17 - 10 +7 16
7 Sporting CP 8 5 1 2 17 - 11 +6 16
8 Manchester City 8 5 1 2 15 - 9 +6 16
9 Real Madrid 8 5 0 3 21 - 12 +9 15
10 Inter 8 5 0 3 15 - 7 +8 15
11 Paris Saint Germain 8 4 2 2 21 - 11 +10 14
12 Newcastle United 8 4 2 2 17 - 7 +10 14
13 Juventus 8 3 4 1 14 - 10 +4 13
14 Atlético Madrid 8 4 1 3 17 - 15 +2 13
15 Atalanta 8 4 1 3 10 - 10 0 13
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 3 3 2 13 - 14 -1 12
17 Borussia Dortmund 8 3 2 3 19 - 17 +2 11
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8 3 2 3 10 - 14 -4 11
19 Club Brugge 8 3 1 4 15 - 17 -2 10
20 Galatasaray 8 3 1 4 9 - 11 -2 10
21 Monaco 8 2 4 2 8 - 14 -6 10
22 Qarabağ 8 3 1 4 13 - 21 -8 10
23 Bodø / Glimt 8 2 3 3 14 - 15 -1 9
24 Benfica 8 3 0 5 10 - 12 -2 9
25 Olympique Marseille 8 3 0 5 11 - 14 -3 9
26 Pafos FC 8 2 3 3 8 - 11 -3 9
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8 3 0 5 8 - 17 -9 9
28 PSV 8 2 2 4 16 - 16 0 8
29 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 9 - 14 -5 8
30 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9 - 15 -6 8
31 FC København 8 2 2 4 12 - 21 -9 8
32 Ajax 8 2 0 6 8 - 21 -13 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10 - 21 -11 4
34 Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 5 - 19 -14 3
35 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5 - 18 -13 1
36 Kairat 8 0 1 7 7 - 22 -15 1

Bayer Leverkusen vs Arsenal – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the DAZN channel.

? How much is the average xG for Bayer Leverkusen this season?

The average xG for Bayer Leverkusen in the Champions League this season is 1.30.

? How much is the average xG for Arsenal this season?

The average xG for Arsenal in the Champions League this season is 2.00.