Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction 11.01.2026 | Supercopa de España

Barcelona’s road to the 2026 Supercopa de España final has been emphatic. In their semi-final match, Barcelona dispatched Athletic Club with a 5-0 scoreline, illustrating both clinical attacking play and defensive solidity, which they had been harshly criticised for not such a long time ago. Raphinha notably scored twice, demonstrating his importance in the final third as Barcelona seek to maintain scoring momentum. Across their last five matches in all competitions, Barcelona have scored multiple goals in each contest, averaging at least 2.5 goals per match, with their offensive output driven by incisive wide play and creative transitions. 

On top of that, Hans-Dieter Flick’s men have made monumental improvements to fix their shambolic backline - five successive clean sheets across all competitions are clearly a signal to their rivals that the early-season goal leaking Barcelona side no longer exists.

Goalkeeping news is positive for Barcelona: Marc-André ter Stegen has been cleared of a recent knee concern and rejoined the squad in Saudi Arabia, though he is not expected to start, leaving Joan García likely between the posts. Barcelona’s tactical structure under Hansi Flick emphasizes possession and vertical progression, and the return of available personnel adds depth as they hunt a record-extending Supercopa title.

Real Madrid reached the final after a 2-1 win over Atlético Madrid in their Supercopa semi-final, with Federico Valverde’s early free kick and a second-half Rodrygo goal sealing victory despite Atlético’s dominance in expected goals and possession. This result continues a positive run of form, with Los Blancos displaying resilience, tactical flexibility, and contributions from key attackers, despite inconsistency earlier in the season. Since Real’s 2-1 defeat to Manchester City in the Champions League, Xabi Alonso’s men have picked up some impressive form, winning five games in a row across all competitions.

However, defensive availability is a concern. Veteran center-back Antonio Rüdiger is questionable due to knee soreness, which could force Real Madrid into a reshaped back line with Raúl Asencio or Dean Huijsen entering the XI. Real’s midfield balance, led by Valverde and supported by Jude Bellingham’s transitional influence, remains a strength, but injuries and squad depth questions could prove decisive against a Barcelona side currently flying with confidence.