Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal prediction 13.09.2025 | La Liga

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Kick off:

Date:

Villarreal

Villarreal

1

1.88

X

3.81

2

4.56

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: Saturday, 13th September, 2025
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid)

On Saturday evening, Atletico Madrid will welcome Villarreal in the fourth round of La Liga at Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid. While Colchoneros look for their first win of the season, Villarreal will try to extend their unbeaten run to four. 

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Atletico Madrid

    1 : 1

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  2. Villarreal

    2 : 2

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  3. Villarreal

    1 : 2

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  4. Atletico Madrid

    3 : 1

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  5. Villarreal

    2 : 2

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  6. Atletico Madrid

    0 : 2

    Villarreal

    La Liga

The last two h2h games ended with draws (1:1 and 2:2). Looking further back, in the previous ten h2h games, Atletico Madrid won three, while Villarreal won once, and six games ended as draws.

Regarding the number of goals, six of the last ten games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored on seven occasions. 

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid team overview

Since winning the title in 2020/21, Atletico Madrid have been Spain's third or fourth-best team in the following seasons. However, this year, despite a pretty active transfer window, Colchoneros have had a terrible start, winning just two points in the first three games. And if we take a look at their first three games, we can definitely say they haven't had a challenging schedule - Espanyol, Elche, and Alaves! 

After a 1:1 draw with Alaves, coach Diego Simeone spoke to the media. He said he is focusing on the performances, not only on the number of points they have won thus far. The coach acknowledged they should have won more points but noted he trusted the players and that they had to continue working hard, and the results would soon come. 

Last matches of Atletico Madrid

  1. Alaves

    1 : 1

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  2. Atletico Madrid

    1 : 1

    Elche

    La Liga

  3. Newcastle United

    0 : 2

    Atletico Madrid

    Club Friendlies 1

  4. Porto

    1 : 0

    Atletico Madrid

    Club Friendlies 1

  5. Atletico Madrid

    1 : 0

    Botafogo

    FIFA Club World Cup

Atletico Madrid lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Jan Oblak

Defenders

  • 14

    Marcos Llorente

  • 24

    Robin Le Normand

  • 15

    Clément Lenglet

  • 17

    Dávid Hancko

Midfielders

  • 20

    Giuliano Simeone

  • 8

    Pablo Barrios

  • 5

    Johnny Cardoso

  • 11

    Thiago Almada

Forwards

  • 9

    Alexander Sørloth

  • 19

    Julián Alvarez

Villarreal

Villarreal team overview

With the exception of the 2018/19 season, Villarreal have been between fourth and eighth place in La Liga and have constantly secured Europe. They even had some deep runs in the Champions League and secured the Europa League title in 2020/21. However, securing a top-four spot in La Liga hasn't happened since the 2015/16 season, which is something they definitely will look to achieve. And indeed, they started the season great, with seven points in the first three rounds, and are sitting in 3rd place - just two points away from the top spot. 

After a 1:1 draw with Celta Vigo, coach Marcelino spoke to the media. He said it was a shame they only won one point because they had three points in their hands as they conceded a goal in the stoppage time. The coach eventually praised his players for the effort but noted some mistakes in the passing, which they will have to fix as soon as possible. 

Last matches of Villarreal

  1. Celta Vigo

    1 : 1

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  2. Villarreal

    5 : 0

    Girona

    La Liga

  3. Villarreal

    2 : 0

    Real Oviedo

    La Liga

  4. Arsenal

    2 : 3

    Villarreal

    Club Friendlies 1

  5. Leeds United

    1 : 1

    Villarreal

    Club Friendlies 3

Villarreal lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Luiz Junior

Defenders

  • 15

    Santiago Mouriño

  • 8

    Juan Foyth

  • 4

    Rafa Marin

  • 23

    Sergi Cardona

Midfielders

  • 17

    Tajon Buchanan

  • 18

    Pepe Gueye

  • 14

    Santi Comesana

  • 20

    Alberto Moleiro

Forwards

  • 19

    Nicolas Pepe

  • 9

    Georges Mikautadze

Prediction

This season, Atletico Madrid went under 2.5 goals in two of the three games, and if we include the friendlies, they went under 2.5 goals in four of the last five matches. Also, last year, they were the second-best defensive team in the league with only 30 conceded goals in 38 rounds, and I expect them to start getting some clean sheets soon. 

Villarreal were also under 2.5 goals in two out of three games this season. They had some excellent offensive performances, but we doubt they can repeat that against Atletico Madrid. Meanwhile, defensively, they have been awesome, allowing only one goal in the first three matches vs R. Oviedo, Girona, and Celta Vigo. They were close to keeping a third clean sheet in a row, but allowed a goal in the 94th minute vs Celta Vigo. 

We expect a really close, competitive game that could go either way. Therefore, considering all the above, we believe that an under 2.5 goals is the best possible bet for this La Liga tie. 

3 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. Both teams went under 2.5 goals in two out of three games this season
  2. Villarreal had two clean sheets in the first three games
  3. The last h2h game ended as a 1:1 draw

Main prediction Atletico Madrid - Villarreal

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

0% winrate

wins

0 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal standings in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 3 3 0 0 6 - 1 +5 9
2 Athletic Club 3 3 0 0 6 - 3 +3 9
3 Villarreal 3 2 1 0 8 - 1 +7 7
4 FC Barcelona 3 2 1 0 7 - 3 +4 7
5 Espanyol 3 2 1 0 5 - 3 +2 7
6 Getafe 3 2 0 1 4 - 4 0 6
7 Elche 4 1 3 0 6 - 4 +2 6
8 Real Betis 4 1 2 1 4 - 4 0 5
9 Valencia 3 1 1 1 4 - 2 +2 4
10 Rayo Vallecano 3 1 1 1 4 - 3 +1 4
11 Deportivo Alavés 3 1 1 1 3 - 3 0 4
12 Sevilla 4 1 1 2 7 - 7 0 4
13 Osasuna 3 1 0 2 1 - 2 -1 3
14 Real Oviedo 3 1 0 2 1 - 5 -4 3
15 Celta de Vigo 4 0 3 1 3 - 5 -2 3
16 Real Sociedad 3 0 2 1 3 - 4 -1 2
17 Atlético Madrid 3 0 2 1 3 - 4 -1 2
18 Mallorca 3 0 1 2 2 - 6 -4 1
19 Levante 3 0 0 3 3 - 7 -4 0
20 Girona 3 0 0 3 1 - 10 -9 0

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Atletico Madrid this season?

The average xG for Atletico Madrid in La Liga this season is 1.74.

? How much is the average xG for Villarreal this season?

The average xG for Villarreal in La Liga this season is 1.97.