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Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction 07.03.2026 | La Liga

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Kick off:

Date:

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

1

1.68

X

4.26

2

5.43

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: Saturday, 7th March, 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:30 UK / 18:30 CET
  • Venue: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid)

After both teams secured their spots in the Copa del Rey Finals, Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad will face off in the 27th round of La Liga. Atletico Madrid eliminated Barcelona on a 4:3 aggregate and advanced despite losing the second leg 3:0. Meanwhile, Real Sociedad eliminated a fellow Basque side, Athletic Bilbao, on a 2:0 aggregate.

Let's break down this La Liga duel between these Cup finalists and find the best possible bet. 

Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Real Sociedad

    1 : 1

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  2. Atletico Madrid

    4 : 0

    Real Sociedad

    La Liga

  3. Real Sociedad

    1 : 1

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  4. Real Sociedad

    0 : 2

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  5. Atletico Madrid

    2 : 1

    Real Sociedad

    La Liga

  6. Atletico Madrid

    0 : 0

    Real Sociedad

    Club Friendlies 1

In the first h2h game this season, we saw a 1:1 draw. It was a close match in which a draw was probably the fairest result, but the impression was that Real Sociedad were a slightly better team. Looking further back, over the past ten H2H games, Atletico Madrid were much better, securing five wins, while Real Sociedad won once. 

Regarding the number of goals, four of the past ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in six of them.

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid team overview

Atletico Madrid are again around their usual place in La Liga, currently sitting in 3rd place with 51 points, a comfortable eight points dropping out of the top four. However, the 1st-placed Barcelona are 13 points away, and we can safely say they aren't in the title race. Their best chance of winning the trophy will be in the Cup, where they will face Real Sociedad in the final. 

Besides their good La Liga and Cup campaigns, Colchoneros are doing more than OK in the Champions League, where they will face Tottenham in the 1/8 Finals. Since the Spurs have struggled this season, the Colchoneros have a really good chance of reaching the top 8 in the CL. After the Real Sociedad game, they will have a first leg against Tottenham in Spain. It will be interesting to see just how well Colchoneros can handle playing this many matches and whether they will rest some of their players in the upcoming match.

In the 3:0 loss against Barcelona, Giuliano Simeone had to leave the field with an injury and will probably miss the Sociedad game. Meanwhile, Pablo Barrios is questionable due to a muscle injury. 

Last matches of Atletico Madrid

  1. FC Barcelona

    3 : 0

    Atletico Madrid

    Copa Del Rey

  2. Real Oviedo

    0 : 1

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  3. Atletico Madrid

    4 : 1

    Club Brugge

    Champions League

  4. Atletico Madrid

    4 : 2

    Espanyol

    La Liga

  5. Club Brugge

    3 : 3

    Atletico Madrid

    Champions League

Atletico Madrid lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Jan Oblak

Defenders

  • 14

    Marcos Llorente

  • 17

    Dávid Hancko

  • 24

    Robin Le Normand

  • 3

    Matteo Ruggeri

Midfielders

  • 10

    Álex Baena

  • 5

    Johnny Cardoso

  • 6

    Koke

Forwards

  • 22

    Ademola Lookman

  • 7

    Antoine Griezmann

  • 19

    Julián Alvarez

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad team overview

After a pretty bad last season, Real Sociedad continued with poor performances at the start of the current one. However, as the season progressed, they only looked better. That was especially true since they appointed Matarazzo as the new head coach. Under the American coach, the Basque team really impressed and deservedly found their spot in the Copa del Rey Finals. 

Meanwhile, in La Liga, the Basque team are in 8th place with 35 points. At the moment, they are only one point away from European spots, and looking at their remaining schedule, we are convinced they are more than capable of moving up one or two spots. 

For the upcoming game, they should have no new injuries, but Alvaro Odriozola and Takefusa Kubo should remain sidelined. 

Last matches of Real Sociedad

  1. Real Sociedad

    1 : 0

    Athletic Bilbao

    Copa Del Rey

  2. Mallorca

    0 : 1

    Real Sociedad

    La Liga

  3. Real Sociedad

    3 : 3

    Real Oviedo

    La Liga

  4. Real Madrid

    4 : 1

    Real Sociedad

    La Liga

  5. Athletic Bilbao

    0 : 1

    Real Sociedad

    Copa Del Rey

Real Sociedad lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Álex Remiro

Defenders

  • 2

    Jon Aramburu

  • 16

    Duje Caleta-Car

  • 5

    Igor Zubeldia

  • 17

    Sergio Gómez

Midfielders

  • 18

    Carlos Soler

  • 4

    Jon Gorrotxategi

  • 8

    Beñat Turrientes

Forwards

  • 11

    Gonçalo Guedes

  • 10

    Mikel Oyarzabal

  • 21

    Arsen Zakharyan

Prediction

Atletico Madrid just suffered a big 3:0 loss against Barcelona. Still, that was on the road when they already had a 4:0 from the first leg and were surely a bit complacent. That big loss could, in fact, help them take upcoming games more seriously. Also, that loss was on the road, where Colchoneros had some poor games. At home, they have been amazing, winning 16 out of 19 games across competitions - an incredible 84% win rate. 

Real Sociedad have been really good under the new head coach, no doubt about that. Still, we do not believe they are capable of securing a positive result on the road against Atletico Madrid, which have been amazing at home. Also, with 14 points in 13 La Liga road games, we can safely say Real Sociedad had their problems on the road.

Moreover, Atletico won their last three official H2H games at home against Real Sociedad. Considering all the above, we expect a super competitive game but also a win for the hosts.

3 Reasons why Atletico Madrid should win

  1. Atletico won 16 of 19 home games across competitions
  2. Real Sociedad won just 14 points in 13 road La Liga games
  3. Atletico won the last three H2H (official) games at Metropolitano Stadium

Main prediction Atletico Madrid - Real Sociedad

Atletico Madrid to win

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.68

Bet here

Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad standings in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 26 21 1 4 71 - 26 +45 64
2 Real Madrid 26 19 3 4 54 - 22 +32 60
3 Atlético Madrid 26 15 6 5 43 - 23 +20 51
4 Villarreal 26 16 3 7 48 - 31 +17 51
5 Real Betis 26 11 10 5 42 - 32 +10 43
6 Celta de Vigo 26 10 10 6 36 - 28 +8 40
7 Espanyol 26 10 6 10 33 - 39 -6 36
8 Real Sociedad 26 9 8 9 38 - 38 0 35
9 Athletic Club 26 10 5 11 30 - 36 -6 35
10 Osasuna 26 9 6 11 30 - 30 0 33
11 Getafe 26 9 5 12 21 - 29 -8 32
12 Rayo Vallecano 26 7 9 10 26 - 32 -6 30
13 Sevilla 26 8 6 12 34 - 41 -7 30
14 Girona 26 7 9 10 27 - 42 -15 30
15 Valencia 26 7 8 11 27 - 39 -12 29
16 Deportivo Alavés 26 7 6 13 23 - 34 -11 27
17 Elche 26 5 11 10 34 - 39 -5 26
18 Mallorca 26 6 6 14 29 - 42 -13 24
19 Levante 26 5 6 15 28 - 44 -16 21
20 Real Oviedo 26 3 8 15 16 - 43 -27 17

Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Atletico Madrid this season?

The average xG for Atletico Madrid in La Liga this season is 1.61.

? How much is the average xG for Real Sociedad this season?

The average xG for Real Sociedad in the La Liga this season is 1.50.