Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid prediction 08.01.2026 | Supercopa de España

Atletico Madrid have carried momentum into 2026 with a mix of results but remain competitive across competitions. In their latest LaLiga match, Atletico played to a 1-1 draw away to Real Sociedad, with Alexander Sørloth scoring before the hosts equalised, demonstrating Atletico’s continued ability to create chances but also expose defensive vulnerabilities. Jan Oblak produced seven key saves, highlighting his continued importance between the posts. 

Atletico currently sit 4th in LaLiga, with a record of approximately 11 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, and average 2.06 points per game - statistics that underline their consistency at the top end of the table. Simeone’s men will feel confident heading into this game given Atletico’s recent stretch of five unbeaten games across all competitions. Their top scorers include Julián Álvarez (7 league goals) and Antoine Griezmann (6), who remain key offensive outlets. 

In terms of squad availability, there are no high-profile injuries reported for Atletico ahead of the Supercopa semifinal beyond routine matchday decisions.

Real Madrid arrive in strong attacking form, having secured a convincing 5-1 LaLiga victory over Real Betis in their final league game before the Supercopa. Gonzalo García scored a hat-trick, signalling a potential shift in the focal point of their attack in the absence of injured star Kylian Mbappé, and the team have now registered multiple consecutive wins across competitions - four in a row to be precise. García’s emergence as a key scorer - he delivered his first LaLiga goals in that match - bolsters Real’s goal threat at a crucial period in the season.

However, Mbappé is expected to miss the Supercopa semifinal due to a knee injury sustained in training, leaving Real without their top scorer and requiring tactical adjustments up front. Additionally, rotational and fitness considerations could influence the selection of defenders such as Trent Alexander-Arnold and Éder Militão, who have recurring injury concerns.