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Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction 25.02.2026 | UEFA Champions League

Atalanta

Atalanta

Kick off:

Date:

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

1

2.15

X

3.92

2

3.38

  • Competition: UEFA Champions League - intermediate stage 2nd leg
  • Date: Wednesday, 25th, February 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:45 UK / 18.45 CET
  • Venue: New Balance Arena (Bergamo)

A place in the Champions League round of 16 is on the line at the Gewiss Stadium on Wednesday night as Atalanta BC attempt to overturn a first-leg deficit against an in-form Borussia Dortmund.

Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Borussia Dortmund

    2 : 0

    Atalanta

    Champions League

  2. Atalanta

    1 : 1

    Borussia Dortmund

    Europa League

  3. Borussia Dortmund

    3 : 2

    Atalanta

    Europa League

  4. Borussia Dortmund

    0 : 1

    Atalanta

    Club Friendlies 1

The two sides previously met in the Round of 32 of the UEFA Europa League in 2018, when Borussia Dortmund edged past Atalanta with a 4-3 aggregate victory. The German outfit now appear poised to assert their dominance once again, having secured a comfortable 2-0 advantage over the Serie A side in the first leg.

Atalanta

Atalanta team overview

Despite facing a daunting two-goal deficit after a disappointing night in Dortmund last week, Atalanta head into the return leg looking like a transformed force under Raffaele Palladino, whose arrival in November has sparked a remarkable domestic resurgence.

La Dea have turned the Gewiss Stadium into a fearsome gladiatorial arena, racking up eight victories from their last nine home outings while showcasing a newfound tactical versatility that has seen them outmaneuver elite opposition such as Juventus, AS Roma, and Napoli in recent weeks.

Having already produced memorable European comebacks in their recent history, the Bergamo side will look to draw on their continental pedigree as they attempt to unsettle a youthful Borussia Dortmund outfit, with a blistering start expected to be central to their approach.

However, uncertainty looms over their attacking line, with the devastating loss of Charles De Ketelaere to a meniscus injury depriving Palladino of his primary creative catalyst at arguably the most crucial stage of the season — a setback that could significantly shape the outcome of this high-stakes encounter.

Last matches of Atalanta

  1. Atalanta

    2 : 1

    Napoli

    Serie A

  2. Borussia Dortmund

    2 : 0

    Atalanta

    Champions League

  3. Lazio

    0 : 2

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  4. Atalanta

    2 : 1

    Cremonese

    Serie A

  5. Atalanta

    3 : 0

    Juventus

    Coppa Italia

Atalanta lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 29

    Marco Carnesecchi

Defenders

  • 23

    Sead Kolasinac

  • 19

    Berat Djimsiti

  • 3

    Odilon Kossounou

Midfielders

  • 57

    Lorenzo Bernasconi

  • 13

    Éderson

  • 15

    Marten de Roon

  • 77

    Davide Zappacosta

Forwards

  • 10

    Lazar Samardžić

  • 8

    Mario Pašalić

  • 9

    Gianluca Scamacca

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund team overview

Holding a commanding advantage, Borussia Dortmund travel to Italy as one of Europe’s most in-form sides, having navigated the opening months of 2026 with an almost flawless record under the guidance of Niko Kovac.

Currently breathing down the neck of Bayern Munich at the summit of the Bundesliga standings, BVB’s clinical 2-0 victory in the first leg was nothing short of a masterclass, further strengthening their credentials as serious dark horses for this season’s UEFA Champions League crown.

However, Kovac’s tactical blueprint for the return leg has been complicated by a growing crisis at the heart of his defense. Nico Schlotterbeck and Emre Can are both unavailable through injury and suspension respectively, leaving the Croatian coach with difficult decisions as he reshuffles his back line.

That defensive vulnerability was briefly exposed in their thrilling 2-2 draw away to RB Leipzig last weekend — a result that halted Dortmund’s four-match winning streak. With a makeshift defense now tasked with silencing the intimidating atmosphere at Gewiss Stadium, Kovač knows his side must deliver another composed and disciplined display to avoid a tense and unpredictable night in Bergamo.

Last matches of Borussia Dortmund

  1. RB Leipzig

    2 : 2

    Borussia Dortmund

    Bundesliga

  2. Borussia Dortmund

    2 : 0

    Atalanta

    Champions League

  3. Borussia Dortmund

    4 : 0

    FSV Mainz

    Bundesliga

  4. VfL Wolfsburg

    1 : 2

    Borussia Dortmund

    Bundesliga

  5. Borussia Dortmund

    3 : 2

    Heidenheim

    Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Gregor Kobel

Defenders

  • 5

    Ramy Bensebaini

  • 3

    Waldemar Anton

  • 49

    Luca Reggiani

Midfielders

  • 24

    Daniel Svensson

  • 8

    Felix Nmecha

  • 7

    Jobe Bellingham

  • 26

    Julian Ryerson

Forwards

  • 10

    Julian Brandt

  • 14

    Maximilian Beier

  • 9

    Serhou Guirassy

Prediction

Expectations are sky-high for a night of high-octane drama at the Gewiss Stadium, as two of the continent's most progressive tactical units lock horns in a high-stakes continental chess match. Atalanta have built their identity on the ability to overwhelm visitors with their relentless verticality and the deafening support of the Bergamo faithful, and we anticipate Raffaele Palladino’s side will throw caution to the wind from the opening whistle in pursuit of an early lifeline."

Kovač's men have demonstrated a newfound 'mentality monster' streak in 2026, and despite a shaky defensive display under immense pressure, their two-goal cushion from the first leg should prove just enough to see them across the finish line. It will be a night of frayed nerves for the Yellow Wall, but we predict a narrow defeat for BVB that nonetheless secures their safe passage into the Champions League quarter-finals.

Three Reasons we expect Atalanta to Win

  1. Atalanta BC have collected 10 wins from their last 12 matches at Gewiss Stadium.
  2. Atalanta have scored 2+ goals in six consecutive home games.
  3. Borussia Dortmund have managed only two wins from their last six away matches in all competitions.

Main prediction Atalanta - Borussia Dortmund

Atalanta to win

Updated

clock
winrate

57% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

don_andres is the professional football and basketball tipster who can give you deep analytic for each match 

Best Odds:

22bet

2.15

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Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund standings in Champions League

League Stage P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 8 8 0 0 23 - 4 +19 24
2 FC Bayern München 8 7 0 1 22 - 8 +14 21
3 Liverpool 8 6 0 2 20 - 8 +12 18
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8 5 2 1 17 - 7 +10 17
5 FC Barcelona 8 5 1 2 22 - 14 +8 16
6 Chelsea 8 5 1 2 17 - 10 +7 16
7 Sporting CP 8 5 1 2 17 - 11 +6 16
8 Manchester City 8 5 1 2 15 - 9 +6 16
9 Real Madrid 8 5 0 3 21 - 12 +9 15
10 Inter 8 5 0 3 15 - 7 +8 15
11 Paris Saint Germain 8 4 2 2 21 - 11 +10 14
12 Newcastle United 8 4 2 2 17 - 7 +10 14
13 Juventus 8 3 4 1 14 - 10 +4 13
14 Atlético Madrid 8 4 1 3 17 - 15 +2 13
15 Atalanta 8 4 1 3 10 - 10 0 13
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 3 3 2 13 - 14 -1 12
17 Borussia Dortmund 8 3 2 3 19 - 17 +2 11
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8 3 2 3 10 - 14 -4 11
19 Club Brugge 8 3 1 4 15 - 17 -2 10
20 Galatasaray 8 3 1 4 9 - 11 -2 10
21 Monaco 8 2 4 2 8 - 14 -6 10
22 Qarabağ 8 3 1 4 13 - 21 -8 10
23 Bodø / Glimt 8 2 3 3 14 - 15 -1 9
24 Benfica 8 3 0 5 10 - 12 -2 9
25 Olympique Marseille 8 3 0 5 11 - 14 -3 9
26 Pafos FC 8 2 3 3 8 - 11 -3 9
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8 3 0 5 8 - 17 -9 9
28 PSV 8 2 2 4 16 - 16 0 8
29 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 9 - 14 -5 8
30 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9 - 15 -6 8
31 FC København 8 2 2 4 12 - 21 -9 8
32 Ajax 8 2 0 6 8 - 21 -13 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10 - 21 -11 4
34 Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 5 - 19 -14 3
35 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5 - 18 -13 1
36 Kairat 8 0 1 7 7 - 22 -15 1

Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund – FAQ

? Who is Atalanta's player to watch?

With nine goals and three assists, Gianluca Scamacca is Atalanta’s top scorer in the current 2025–26 season.

? Who is Dortmund's player to watch?

Dortmund’s most dangerous attacking weapon is Serhou Guirassy, who has scored 16 goals across all competitions so far.