Atalanta vs Bayern Munich prediction 10.03.2026 | Champions League
Atalanta
Kick off:
Date:
Bayern Munich
1
5.10
X
4.50
2
1.58
Contents
- Competition: Champions League, 1/8 Finals, 1st Leg
- Date: Tuesday, 10th March, 2026
- Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
- Venue: New Balance Arena (Bergamo)
After eliminating Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League 1/16 Finals, Atalanta will face another German giant - Bayern Munich in their first-ever h2h game. However, La Dea are coming to the match in pretty poor form, having won just two points in the last three games. Meanwhile, the Bavarians are coming to the match on a six-game winning streak.
Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Champions League tie.
Atalanta team overview
Atalanta became one of the best and most stable teams in Italy. This year, the popular La Dea had some uncharacteristic ups and downs, especially in the first part of the season. However, after a coaching change, they started playing much better. At the moment, they are in 7th place with 46 points from 28 rounds, five points behind the desired fourth place. However, recently, they have had some bad games again, winning two points against Udinese, Sassuolo, and Lazio (in the Cup). If we consider that these teams are not among the best in Italy this season, we can safely say they are in a bad moment.
Central defender Giorgio Scalvini received a red card in the previous Champions League game and will serve his suspension. However, the 22-year-old would not be able to play anyone since he has a knee injury. Besides Salavini, the players who missed the previous games should remain sidelined - Charles De Ketelaere, Ederson, and Giacomo Raspadori.
Last matches of Atalanta
-
Atalanta
2 : 2
Udinese
Serie A
-
Lazio
2 : 2
Atalanta
Coppa Italia
-
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Atalanta
Serie A
-
Atalanta
4 : 1
Borussia Dortmund
Champions League
-
Atalanta
2 : 1
Napoli
Serie A
Atalanta lineup
Goalkeeper
-
29
Marco Carnesecchi
Defenders
-
4
Isak Hien
-
19
Berat Djimsiti
-
23
Sead Kolasinac
Midfielders
-
77
Davide Zappacosta
-
15
Marten de Roon
-
8
Mario Pašalić
-
59
Nicola Zalewski
-
47
Lorenzo Bernasconi
Forwards
-
9
Gianluca Scamacca
-
90
Nikola Krstović
Bayern Munich team overview
Bayern Munich are having a fantastic season. With an 11-point advantage over second-placed Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga, another title seems inevitable. They reached the DFB Pokal Semi-Finals and were one of the best teams in the Champions League (league phase). However, the Bavarians are desperately looking for success in the Champions League, as they have mostly been eliminated in the Quarter-finals in recent years since winning the competition in 2019/20.
Even though the season was a success, these decisive CL matches could be without their star, Harry Kane. The 32-year-old was in magnificent form but missed the last game against Borussia M'Gladbach due to a calf injury. While most football pundits claimed he was simply given a rest, there is some news that he won't be ready for the Atalanta match. Additionally, Manuel Neuer suffered another injury in the previous game and will also miss the match. Moreover, Alphonso Davies and Hiroki Ito should also remain sidelined with their injuries.
Last matches of Bayern Munich
-
Bayern Munich
4 : 1
Borussia M`gladbach
Bundesliga
-
Borussia Dortmund
2 : 3
Bayern Munich
Bundesliga
-
Bayern Munich
3 : 2
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bundesliga
-
Werder Bremen
0 : 3
Bayern Munich
Bundesliga
-
Bayern Munich
2 : 0
RB Leipzig
DFB Pokal
Bayern Munich lineup
Goalkeeper
-
40
Jonas Urbig
Defenders
-
44
Josip Stanisic
-
2
Dayot Upamecano
-
4
Jonathan Tah
-
27
Konrad Laimer
Midfielders
-
10
Jamal Musiala
-
45
Aleksandar Pavlovic
-
6
Joshua Kimmich
Forwards
-
14
Luis Díaz
-
11
Nicolas Jackson
-
17
Michael Olise
Prediction
Atalanta have uncharacteristically struggled defensively in recent matches, allowing two goals per game in the past three matches. So, it is unreal to expect a good defensive performance against Bayern. Due to a worse defensive performance, they went over 2.5 goals in five consecutive games and over 3.5 goals on three occasions.
Meanwhile, Bayern Munich have gone over 3.5 goals in the past three games against solid competition, while scoring 10 goals. They have generally been amazing offensively, scoring two or more goals in the past eight games. For this game, they could be without Harry Kane, but they proved they are capable of scoring without him after scoring four goals against Borussia M'Gladbach.
Considering the trend in their previous games and all the above, an over 3.5 goals bet seems like the best option for this Champions League tie.
4 Reasons why we should see four or more goals
- Atalanta's last two games finished as 2:2 draws
- Atalanta scored two or more goals in four of the past five games
- Bayern Munich scored three or more goals in four consecutive games
- Bayern Munich went over 3.5 goals in the past three games
Main prediction Atalanta - Bayern Munich
Over 3.5 goals
Best Odds:
Megapari
2.18
Atalanta vs Bayern Munich standings in Champions League
| League Stage | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23 - 4 | +19 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 - 8 | +14 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 - 8 | +12 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 - 7 | +10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 - 14 | +8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 - 10 | +7 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 - 11 | +6 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 - 9 | +6 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 - 12 | +9 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 - 7 | +8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint Germain | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21 - 11 | +10 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 - 7 | +10 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 - 10 | +4 | 13 |
| 14 | Atlético Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 - 15 | +2 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 - 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 - 14 | -1 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 - 17 | +2 | 11 |
| 18 | Olympiacos F.C. | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 - 14 | -4 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 - 17 | -2 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 - 11 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 | Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 - 14 | -6 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabağ | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 - 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 23 | Bodø / Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 - 15 | -1 | 9 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 - 12 | -2 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 - 14 | -3 | 9 |
| 26 | Pafos FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 - 11 | -3 | 9 |
| 27 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 - 17 | -9 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 - 16 | 0 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 - 14 | -5 | 8 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 - 15 | -6 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 - 21 | -9 | 8 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 - 21 | -13 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 - 21 | -11 | 4 |
| 34 | Slavia Praha | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 - 19 | -14 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 - 18 | -13 | 1 |
| 36 | Kairat | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 - 22 | -15 | 1 |