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Aston Villa vs Leeds prediction 21.02.2026 | Premier League

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Kick off:

Date:

Leeds United

Leeds United

1

1.91

X

3.74

2

4.46

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Saturday, 21st February 2026
  • Kickoff: 15:00 UK / 16:00 CET
  • Venue: Villa Park (Birmingham)

Two teams from different parts of the Premier League standings, Aston Villa and Leeds, will meet on Saturday afternoon in another important clash. The hosts will look to secure another victory to stabilize their position, but can Leeds resist and avoid defeat? Let's break down the match and find the betting option. 

Aston Villa vs Leeds United Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Leeds United

    1 : 2

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

  2. Aston Villa

    2 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  3. Leeds United

    0 : 0

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

  4. Aston Villa

    1 : 0

    Leeds United

    Queensland Champions Cup

  5. Leeds United

    0 : 3

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

  6. Aston Villa

    3 : 3

    Leeds United

    Premier League

Aston Villa won four of the last six H2H matches against Leeds, with two draws. In the only meeting this season, Unai Emery's team won 2-1 at Elland Road. Also, it is worth noting that four of the previous five H2H games between these two teams went over 2.5 goals. 

Aston Villa

Aston Villa team overview

Under the manager Unai Emery, Aston Villa became one of the best teams in the Premier League. It is still hard to imagine them in contention for the most important trophy in domestic football, but another top-four finish seems realistic. However, Aston Villa's form recently slowed down, as they won only one of the last four matches. Last weekend, Emery's team lost 3-1 at home in the FA Cup against Newcastle. The hosts had the lead, but after Marco Bizot's red card late in the first half, Aston Villa completely fell apart.

Aston Villa's head coach, Unai Emery, was disappointed after a defeat in the previous match. He said, "We tried, but it was not enough. Newcastle is a really fantastic team, and they're contenders in this competition. After we lost, with the circumstances we had with the red card, I think we must analyse this match and this competition and feel like we're improving."

Boubacar Kamara, Youri Tielemans, John McGinn, Marco Bizot, and Andreas Garcia are injured and will not play on Saturday against Leeds. Also, Matty Cash is questionable, and his status will be clearer closer to the kickoff.

Last matches of Aston Villa

  1. Aston Villa

    1 : 3

    Newcastle United

    FA Cup

  2. Aston Villa

    1 : 0

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

  3. AFC Bournemouth

    1 : 1

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

  4. Aston Villa

    0 : 1

    Brentford

    Premier League

  5. Aston Villa

    3 : 2

    Red Bull Salzburg

    Europa League

Aston Villa lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 23

    Emiliano Martinez

Defenders

  • 26

    Lamare Bogarde

  • 4

    Ezri Konsa

  • 5

    Tyrone Mings

  • 22

    Ian Maatsen

Midfielders

  • 24

    Amadou Onana

  • 27

    Morgan Rogers

  • 21

    Douglas Luiz

Forwards

  • 19

    Jadon Sancho

  • 11

    Ollie Watkins

  • 10

    Emiliano Buendia

Leeds United

Leeds team overview

Leeds are on the course to fulfill their primary goal this season - to avoid relegation. However, they are only six points ahead of the drop zone, and every bad streak could prove costly. Leeds are playing well lately, with only one defeat in the last seven matches across all competitions. In the most recent outing, Aston Villa won after penalties on the road in the FA Cup against Birmingham. After a close encounter in which neither team showed too much, the visitors kept their cool and secured victory in the penalty shootout.

Leeds didn't impress against Birmingham, but manager Daniel Farke feels that a win like that could help. He said, "This will be great for the spirit within our group and the whole unity and togetherness. Each game you win, even the scruffy games, is good for the confidence."

Anton Stach, Pascal Struijk, Daniel James, and Noah Okafor are all questionable to play on Saturday afternoon at Villa Park.

Last matches of Leeds United

  1. Birmingham City

    2 : 4

    Leeds United

    FA Cup

  2. Chelsea

    2 : 2

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  3. Leeds United

    3 : 1

    Nottingham Forest

    Premier League

  4. Leeds United

    0 : 4

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  5. Everton

    1 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

Leeds United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 26

    Karl Darlow

Defenders

  • 24

    James Justin

  • 15

    Jaka Bijol

  • 6

    Joe Rodon

  • 23

    Sebastiaan Bornauw

  • 3

    Gabriel Gudmundsson

Midfielders

  • 2

    Jayden Bogle

  • 44

    Ilia Gruev

  • 4

    Ethan Ampadu

  • 11

    Brenden Aaronson

Forwards

  • 14

    Lukas Nmecha

Prediction

Both these teams are scoring goals pretty regularly. Aston Villa scored at least one goal in six of the last seven matches, while Leeds scored in eight of the previous nine games. We should expect goals on both sides in the upcoming clash.

4 Reasons why we should expect both teams to score in this match

  1. Aston Villa scored at least one goal in six of the last seven matches
  2. Aston Villa conceded at least one goal in four of the previous five games
  3. Leeds scored at least one goal in eight of the last nine matches
  4. Aston Villa won 2-1 in the previous H2H game against Leeds

Main prediction Aston Villa - Leeds United

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

1xBet

1.75

Bet here

Aston Villa vs Leeds United standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 27 17 7 3 52 - 20 +32 58
2 Manchester City 26 16 5 5 54 - 24 +30 53
3 Aston Villa 26 15 5 6 37 - 27 +10 50
4 Manchester United 26 12 9 5 47 - 37 +10 45
5 Chelsea 26 12 8 6 47 - 30 +17 44
6 Liverpool 26 12 6 8 41 - 35 +6 42
7 Brentford 26 12 4 10 40 - 35 +5 40
8 Everton 26 10 7 9 29 - 30 -1 37
9 AFC Bournemouth 26 9 10 7 43 - 45 -2 37
10 Newcastle United 26 10 6 10 37 - 37 0 36
11 Sunderland 26 9 9 8 27 - 30 -3 36
12 Fulham 26 10 4 12 35 - 40 -5 34
13 Crystal Palace 26 8 8 10 28 - 32 -4 32
14 Brighton & Hove Albion 26 7 10 9 34 - 34 0 31
15 Leeds United 26 7 9 10 36 - 45 -9 30
16 Tottenham Hotspur 26 7 8 11 36 - 37 -1 29
17 Nottingham Forest 26 7 6 13 25 - 38 -13 27
18 West Ham United 26 6 6 14 32 - 49 -17 24
19 Burnley 26 4 6 16 28 - 51 -23 18
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 27 1 7 19 18 - 50 -32 10

Aston Villa vs Leeds – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Aston Villa this season?

The average xG for Aston Villa in the Premier League this season is 1.46.

? How much is the average xG for Leeds this season?

The average xG for Leeds in the Premier League this season is 1.36.