Aston Villa vs Brighton prediction 11.02.2026 | Premier League

Villa’s season briefly looked like it might run away from everyone. That stretch of 12 straight wins across competitions was startling, almost unreal. Then came the 4-1 defeat at the Emirates, which snapped the spell sharply. Since then, form has been uneven.

Unai Emery’s side have four wins from the last ten and have struggled to build rhythm, failing to win back-to-back league games more than once in just over a month.

However, Villa Park remains a stronghold. Just two defeats in the last 14 home games tell you why confidence stays high here. Ollie Watkins continues to lead the line and does it reliably, with eight league goals so far.

Morgan Rogers, also on eight, offers energy and directness in support. Injuries are beginning to stack up, though. Boubacar Kamara, John McGinn, and Alysson are all sidelined with knee problems, while Andrés García and Youri Tielemans remain out with thigh and ankle issues.

Brighton turn up with a few worries humming in the background. You might not spot them straight away, but the numbers keep nudging you.

Four league games without a win has taken the edge off their season, and the only away trip in that run ended in defeat. That loss pushed the Seagulls to five without a win on the road, which helps explain why the table suddenly feels tight beneath them.

Fabian Hürzeler’s side have managed just three clean sheets in the last 15. Too often, a loose pass or a missed clearance flips a decent spell on its head.

There is a small positive, though. No fresh injuries came out of the Crystal Palace defeat, which gives Hürzeler some freedom.

Danny Welbeck is likely to return up front, and his eight goals matter less than how he drags defenders around. At Villa Park, that movement can buy seconds. Sometimes that is all you get.