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Arsenal vs Brighton prediction 27.12.2025 | Premier League

Arsenal

Arsenal

Kick off:

Date:

Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton & Hove Albion

1

1.43

X

5.08

2

8.20

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Saturday, 27th December, 2025
  • Kickoff: 15:00 UK / 16:00 CET
  • Venue: Emirates Stadium (London)

On Saturday afternoon, the league's leader, Arsenal, will welcome Brighton in the English top-flight division. The Gunners are coming off a four-game winning streak, although the last win was after penalties in an EFL Cup over Crystal Palace. Meanwhile, Brighton are trying to end their four-game winless streak. However, judging by their road record thus far, that won't be an easy task.

Let's break down the match and find the best possible bet for this Premier League tie.

Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Arsenal

    2 : 0

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Carabao Cup

  2. Brighton & Hove Albion

    1 : 1

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  3. Arsenal

    1 : 1

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

  4. Brighton & Hove Albion

    0 : 3

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  5. Arsenal

    2 : 0

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

  6. Arsenal

    0 : 3

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

These teams have already met this season, in the EFL Cup 1/8 Finals, with Arsenal winning 2:0. However, it wasn't as easy a win as the result might suggest, considering the Seagulls had their chances. Looking further back, in the past ten h2h games, Arsenal won four and Brighton three times. 

Regarding the number of goals, we saw three or more goals in five out of the last ten h2h games, while both teams scored in the same number of games (five).

Arsenal

Arsenal team overview

After three similar seasons in which they started strong but finished second, the Gunners are again at the top after (almost) the first half of the season. However, the second-placed Manchester City are just two points away. But unlike last season, the bookies trust the Gunners, with odds around 1.7 on them winning the title, while the odds on the Citizens are around 2.8. A big reason for that trust is Arsenal's performance in the Champions League, where they won all six games in the league (group) phase, finishing the phase as the only team with a 100% win rate.

For the Cup game against Crystal Palace, coach Mikel Arteta rested some of his key players. After the match, the coach spoke to the media. He praised his players, saying they kept their calm during the penalty shootout and praised Kepa Arrizabalaga's decisive save. However, the coach said they deserved to win by a bigger margin before the penalties and avoid the shootout. 

For the upcoming game, the team should have no new injuries, but the players who missed the previous games should remain sidelined - Cristhian Mosquera, Ben White, Gabriel, and Kai Havertz.

Last matches of Arsenal

  1. Arsenal

    8 : 7

    Crystal Palace

    Carabao Cup

  2. Everton

    0 : 1

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  3. Arsenal

    2 : 1

    Wolverhampton Wanderers

    Premier League

  4. Club Brugge

    0 : 3

    Arsenal

    Champions League

  5. Aston Villa

    2 : 1

    Arsenal

    Premier League

Arsenal lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    David Raya

Defenders

  • 12

    Jurrien Timber

  • 2

    William Saliba

  • 33

    Riccardo Calafiori

  • 49

    Myles Lewis-Skelly

Midfielders

  • 41

    Declan Rice

  • 8

    Martin Ødegaard

  • 36

    Martín Zubimendi

  • 10

    Eberechi Eze

Forwards

  • 19

    Leandro Trossard

  • 14

    Viktor Gyökeres

Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton team overview

Brighton are playing their ninth consecutive season in the Premier League, where they have become a stable mid-table team. This season, the popular Seagulls did well for the most part, but after winning just two points in the last four games, they dropped to 9th place. However, they are only five points away from the Champions League spots and are probably satisfied with their season thus far. 

For the Arsenal game, the team will be without Carlos Baleba, who is on the ongoing AFCON with Cameroon. Stefanos Tzimas, Adam Webster, and Solomon March will remain sidelined with injuries, while Jan Paul van Hecke, Mats Wieffer, and Danny Welbeck should recover from their injuries/illnesses. 

Moreover, Lewis Dunk and Diego Gomez Amarilla served their one-game suspensions and should be back in the starting lineup. 

Last matches of Brighton & Hove Albion

  1. Brighton & Hove Albion

    0 : 0

    Sunderland

    Premier League

  2. Liverpool

    2 : 0

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

  3. Brighton & Hove Albion

    1 : 1

    West Ham United

    Premier League

  4. Brighton & Hove Albion

    3 : 4

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

  5. Nottingham Forest

    0 : 2

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Bart Verbruggen

Defenders

  • 27

    Mats Wieffer

  • 5

    Lewis Dunk

  • 6

    Jan Paul van Hecke

  • 24

    Ferdi Kadıoğlu

Midfielders

  • 13

    Jack Hinshelwood

  • 25

    Diego Gómez

  • 26

    Yasin Ayari

Forwards

  • 11

    Yankuba Minteh

  • 10

    Georginio Rutter

  • 18

    Danny Welbeck

Prediction

Arsenal have allowed only ten goals in 17 rounds, which is by far the best in the league - 0.59 per game. And at home, they were even better, allowing only three goals in eight rounds - 0.375 per game! So, it is pretty fair to expect they will keep a clean sheet in this game. But besides their excellent defensive performance, they have had some issues scoring "only" one goal per game vs Everton and Crystal Palace in back-to-back games.

Brighton failed to score in the last two games vs Sunderland and Liverpool. The Seagulls have also been fantastic for this type of bet on the road, as at least one of the teams failed to score in four consecutive matches.

Considering all the above, we believe at least one of the teams will fail to score in this Premier League duel.

3 Reasons why at least one of the teams should fail to score

  1. Arsenal kept a clean sheet in eight out of 13 home games across the competitions
  2. At least one of the teams failed to score in four consecutive Brighton road games
  3. Arsenal won the previous h2h game 2:0

Main prediction Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion

Both Teams to Score - NO

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 17 12 3 2 31 - 10 +21 39
2 Manchester City 17 12 1 4 41 - 16 +25 37
3 Aston Villa 17 11 3 3 27 - 18 +9 36
4 Chelsea 17 8 5 4 29 - 17 +12 29
5 Liverpool 17 9 2 6 28 - 25 +3 29
6 Sunderland 17 7 6 4 19 - 17 +2 27
7 Manchester United 17 7 5 5 31 - 28 +3 26
8 Crystal Palace 17 7 5 5 21 - 19 +2 26
9 Brighton & Hove Albion 17 6 6 5 25 - 23 +2 24
10 Everton 17 7 3 7 18 - 20 -2 24
11 Newcastle United 17 6 5 6 23 - 22 +1 23
12 Brentford 17 7 2 8 24 - 25 -1 23
13 Fulham 17 7 2 8 24 - 26 -2 23
14 Tottenham Hotspur 17 6 4 7 26 - 23 +3 22
15 AFC Bournemouth 17 5 7 5 26 - 29 -3 22
16 Leeds United 17 5 4 8 24 - 31 -7 19
17 Nottingham Forest 17 5 3 9 17 - 26 -9 18
18 West Ham United 17 3 4 10 19 - 35 -16 13
19 Burnley 17 3 2 12 19 - 34 -15 11
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 17 0 2 15 9 - 37 -28 2

Arsenal vs Brighton – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Arsenal this season?

The average xG for Arsenal in the Premier League this season is 1.70.

? How much is the average xG for Brighton this season?

The average xG for Brighton in the Premier League this season is 1.58.