Alaves vs Atletico Madrid prediction 03.05.2025 | La Liga

• Competition: La Liga
• Date: Saturday, 3rd May 2025
• Kickoff: 13:00 UK / 14:00 CEST
• Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Alaves are in the crucial part of the season. They are only two points ahead of the drop zone, and with five more La Liga games left, every point matters. Alaves are playing well in the last two months, as they have lost only two of the previous eight matches. Last week, the team from Estadio Mendizorrotza, in one of the best performances lately, won 1-0 at home against Real Sociedad. After a victory like that, Alaves will welcome Atletico Madrid with a lot of confidence on Saturday afternoon. 

For most of the 2024/25 season, Atletico Madrid was in the title race with Barcelona and Real Madrid, but with five rounds left and ten points behind the Catalan team, Atletico's chances seem slim. Diego Simeone's team won three of the last four matches. In the previous game, they won 3-0 at home against Rayo Vallecano. The home side finished that match with an xG of 2.53, while the guests had 0.58, so Atletico Madrid didn't have any problems securing another win. 

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid pick: Alaves to win or draw

Atletico Madrid didn't play well on the road lately. They won only one of the last six games away from home. We should expect Alaves to have a solid chance to pick up some points on Saturday against Diego Simeone's side.