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Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ahli SC prediction 13.03.2026 | Saudi Professional League

Kick off:

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1

2.55

X

3.25

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2.70

  • Competition: Saudi Professional League
  • Date: Friday, 13th March, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:00 UK / 20:00 CET
  • Venue: Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium (Dammam)

On Friday evening, two in-form teams, Al Qadsiah and Al Ahli SC, will face off against each other in the 26th round of the Saudi top-flight division. Al Qadsiah hopes they can move into the top 3 spots, while Al Ahli SC are trying to take the top spot from Al Nassr, which are only two points above. 

Let's break down the match and find the best possible bet for this Saudi Professional League tie. 

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Al Ahli

    5 : 4

    Al-Qadsiah

    Kings Cup

  2. Al Ahli

    2 : 1

    Al-Qadsiah

    Pro League

  3. Al-Qadsiah

    1 : 5

    Al Ahli

    Super Cup

  4. Al-Qadsiah

    1 : 0

    Al Ahli

    Pro League

  5. Al Ahli

    1 : 0

    Al-Qadsiah

    Division 1

  6. Al-Qadsiah

    1 : 1

    Al Ahli

    Division 1

These teams met three times this season - once in the league, once in the King Cup, and once in the Super Cup. Al Ahli SC won each time, but the one in the King's Cup was after penalties. Looking further back, in the past ten H2H games, Al Qadsiah won twice, and Al Ahli SC have won six. 

Regarding the number of goals, six of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals, and both teams scored in seven of them. 

Al-Qadsiah team overview

Last year, Al Qadsiah were amazing, finishing 4th but missing the AFC Champions League spots by a few points. This year, they are doing great once again and are in 4th place, only four points away from the top three teams. So, this match against another contender for the top 3 is crucial because it could easily decide the fate of their season. Still, they can undoubtedly be happy with their form, considering they won 12 of the past 15, with the remaining three ending in draws. 

After a 4:1 win over Al Kholood, coach Brendan Rodgers spoke to the media. He was happy with the performance and the result, praising the team for their commitment throughout the game. The coach stressed the importance of continuing to improve and staying focused for the upcoming matches.

Last matches of

  1. Al Kholood

    1 : 4

    Al-Qadsiah

    Pro League

  2. Al-Qadsiah

    1 : 1

    Al Taawoun

    Pro League

  3. Al-Qadsiah

    4 : 0

    Al Ettifaq

    Pro League

  4. Al Akhdoud

    2 : 4

    Al-Qadsiah

    Pro League

  5. Al-Qadsiah

    1 : 0

    NEOM SC

    Pro League

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 28

    Ahmed Al-Kassar

Defenders

  • 2

    Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat

  • 6

    Nacho Fernández

  • 4

    Jehad Thakri

  • 17

    Gastón Álvarez

Midfielders

  • 8

    Nahitan Nández

  • 5

    Julian Weigl

  • 25

    Otávio

Forwards

  • 22

    Christopher Bonsu Baah

  • 33

    Julián Quiñones

  • 32

    Mateo Retegui

Al Ahli SC team overview

Al Ahli SC won the AFC Champions League title last year but weren't as strong in the domestic competitions. This year, they are doing great across competitions. The Royals easily reached the AFC Champions League knockout phase and the King Cup Semi-Finals, and are only two points away from the top spot in the domestic league. It will be interesting to see just how well they will do playing on multiple fronts. At the moment, they are in a fantastic form, keeping their unbeaten run over the last 17 games, while winning 15 of those.

After a 3:1 win over Al Ittihad in the Jeddah Derby, coach Matthias Jaissle spoke to the media. He was very satisfied and praised the players for executing the game plan well. The coach added that they have to keep playing well and keep the same mentality to compete for the trophies. 

Last matches of

  1. Al Ahli

    3 : 1

    Al Ittihad

    Pro League

  2. Al Riyadh

    0 : 1

    Al Ahli

    Pro League

  3. Damac FC

    0 : 1

    Al Ahli

    Pro League

  4. Al Ahli

    4 : 1

    Al Najma

    Pro League

  5. Al Ahli

    4 : 3

    Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

    AFC Champions League Elite

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Edouard Mendy

Defenders

  • 27

    Ali Majrashi

  • 46

    Rayan Hamed

  • 3

    Roger Ibañez

  • 2

    Zakaria Hawsawi

Midfielders

  • 79

    Franck Kessié

  • 30

    Ziyad Al-Johani

  • 6

    Valentin Atangana

Forwards

  • 7

    Riyad Mahrez

  • 17

    Ivan Toney

  • 13

    Galeno

Prediction

Al Qadsiah have been playing well for over three months, but they seem to have found their offensive rhythm lately, scoring four goals in three of the past four games. Moreover, with 17 games over 2.5 goals in 25 league games, Al Qadsiah are the best team in the league for this type of bet. 

Meanwhile, Al Ahli SC are doing a fantastic job offensively as well, scoring three or more goals in four of the past six games. To be fair, they have been really good defensively throughout the season, and because of it, they weren't as often over 2.5 goals as expected given their offensive performances. Still, in all three H2H games, these teams went over 2.5 goals with an average of 5.0 goals. 

Considering all the above, we expect another high-scoring game, most likely with both teams scoring.

4 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Al Qadisiah scored four goals in three of the past four games
  2. Al Qadisiah went over 2.5 goals in 17 out of 25 league games
  3. Al Ahli SC scored three or more goals in four of the past six games
  4. All three H2H games ended with three or more goals

Main prediction -

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

8 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Melbet

1.73

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vs standings in Saudi Professional League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Al Nassr 25 21 1 3 66 - 19 +47 64
2 Al Ahli 25 19 5 1 49 - 16 +33 62
3 Al Hilal 25 18 7 0 66 - 23 +43 61
4 Al-Qadsiah 25 17 6 2 59 - 23 +36 57
5 Al Taawoun 25 13 5 7 45 - 31 +14 44
6 Al Ittihad 25 12 6 7 40 - 31 +9 42
7 Al Ettifaq 25 11 6 8 36 - 43 -7 39
8 NEOM SC 25 9 5 11 29 - 34 -5 32
9 Al Khaleej 25 8 6 11 44 - 39 +5 30
10 Al-Fayha 25 8 6 11 33 - 41 -8 30
11 Al Fateh 25 7 7 11 34 - 46 -12 28
12 Al Hazm 25 7 7 11 27 - 46 -19 28
13 Al Shabab 25 6 8 11 31 - 39 -8 26
14 Al Kholood 25 8 1 16 33 - 46 -13 25
15 Damac FC 25 3 10 12 21 - 41 -20 19
16 Al Riyadh 25 3 7 15 22 - 48 -26 16
17 Al Akhdoud 25 3 4 18 22 - 55 -33 13
18 Al Najma 25 1 5 19 22 - 58 -36 8

Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ahli SC – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on FOX One (Usa).

? How much is the average xG for Al Qadisiah this season?

The average xG for Al Qadisiah in the Saudi Professional League this season is 1.66.

? How much is the average xG for Al Ahli SC this season?

The average xG for Al Ahli SC in the Saudi Professional League this season is 1.63.