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Ajax vs Benfica prediction 25.11.2025 | Champions League

Ajax

Ajax

Kick off:

Date:

Benfica

Benfica

1

4.10

X

3.75

2

1.83

  • Competition: Champions League 
  • Date: Tuesday, 25th November 2025
  • Kickoff: 17:45 UK / 18:45 CET
  • Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam)

The next Champions League round opens with the game from Amsterdam, where Ajax will host Benfica in another important clash. Both teams are terrible so far in the most elite continental competition, and the upcoming match could be crucial in reviving their chances of reaching the knockout phase. Let's break down the game and find the best betting option. 

Ajax vs Benfica Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Ajax

    0 : 1

    Benfica

    Champions League

  2. Benfica

    2 : 2

    Ajax

    Champions League

  3. Benfica

    1 : 1

    Ajax

    Champions League

  4. Ajax

    1 : 0

    Benfica

    Champions League

There is no dominant side in the matches between Ajax and Benfica, as three of the six H2H games ended in draws. The last encounter was in 2022, when Benfica won 1-0 at Johan Cruijff Arena. Another interesting fact about matches between these two teams is that five of the six H2H matches finished with two or fewer goals. 

Ajax

Ajax team overview

Ajax are disappointing this season. They are only fourth in the Eredivisie, 14 points behind the league leader, PSV, while in the Champions League, Ajax are without points after four rounds. The last few months have been terrible for the team from Johan Cruijff Arena, as they have won only one of their previous nine matches. In the most recent outing, Ajax lost 2-1 at home against Excelsior. The home side finished with xG of 1.30, while the guests had only 0.43, but Ajax's defense again let them down. 

After a series of terrible results, Ajax sacked John Heitinga almost three weeks ago and appointed Fred Grim as caretaker head coach. However, that change didn't bring much as Ajax lost the next two matches against Utrecht and Excelsior. After the first defeat in the club's history at home against Excelsior, Grim admitted that the team's confidence is not high at the moment. 

Steven Berghuis and Branco van den Boomen are injured and will not play on Tuesday against Benfica. Also, Anton Gaaei, Lucas Rosa, and Owen Wijndal are questionable, and their status will be clearer closer to the kickoff. 

Last matches of Ajax

  1. Ajax

    1 : 2

    Excelsior

    Eredivisie

  2. Utrecht

    2 : 1

    Ajax

    Eredivisie

  3. Ajax

    0 : 3

    Galatasaray

    Champions League

  4. Ajax

    1 : 1

    Heerenveen

    Eredivisie

  5. Twente

    2 : 3

    Ajax

    Eredivisie

Ajax lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 22

    Remko Pasveer

Defenders

  • 2

    Lucas Rosa

  • 37

    Josip Sutalo

  • 15

    Youri Baas

  • 41

    Gerald Alders

Midfielders

  • 8

    Kenneth Taylor

  • 10

    Oscar Gloukh

  • 6

    Youri Regeer

Forwards

  • 17

    Oliver Edvardsen

  • 25

    Wout Weghorst

  • 11

    Mika Godts

Benfica

Benfica team overview

Benfica have also fallen short of expectations this season. They are six points behind Porto in the Portuguese league, while in the Champions League, like Ajax, they are without points after four rounds. Benfica had not won in two consecutive matches until Friday, when they beat Atletico CP 2-0 in the cup. Supporters were likely expecting a more convincing result against a third-tier opponent. Yet, the key takeaway is that Benfica managed to stop their negative run and get back on track after a series of underwhelming performances.

Benfica's head coach, Jose Mourinho, was disappointed with the first half of the game against Atletico CP. He said, "There were a lot of players who weren't serious, who didn't approach the game properly. At half-time, I made four substitutions, but I would have liked to have made nine. I didn't make five substitutions because I couldn't play 45 minutes without any players on the bench. But I made four, and I think they changed the game thanks to their intensity and seriousness."

Benfica have some problems with injuries. Dodi Lukebakio, Manu, Alexander Bah, Nuno Felix, and Bruma are unavailable for the trip to Johan Cruijff Arena.

Last matches of Benfica

  1. Atlético CP

    0 : 2

    Benfica

    Taça De Portugal

  2. Benfica

    2 : 2

    Casa Pia

    Liga Portugal

  3. Benfica

    0 : 1

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Champions League

  4. Vitoria Guimaraes

    0 : 3

    Benfica

    Liga Portugal

  5. Benfica

    3 : 0

    Tondela

    Taça da Liga

Benfica lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Anatoliy Trubin

Defenders

  • 8

    Fredrik Aursnes

  • 30

    Nicolas Otamendi

  • 44

    Tomas Araujo

  • 26

    Samuel Dahl

Midfielders

  • 20

    Richard Rios

  • 18

    Leandro Barreiro

  • 5

    Enzo Barrenechea

Forwards

  • 25

    Gianluca Prestianni

  • 14

    Vangelos Pavlidis

  • 10

    Georgiy Sudakov

Prediction

Both teams have some problems with scoring goals. Ajax scored only three goals in the last four matches, while Benfica scored four goals in the previous three games. With those trends, it seems unlikely that we will see more than two goals on Tuesday night in Amsterdam. Our prediction: Under 2.5 goals.

3 Reasons why we shouldn't expect more than two goals in this match

  1. Ajax scored three goals in the last four matches
  2. Benfica scored four goals in the previous four games
  3. Ajax and Benfica went under 2.5 goals in five of six H2H matches

Main prediction Ajax - Benfica

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

52% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

22bet

2.18

Bet here

Ajax vs Benfica standings in Champions League

League Stage P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 4 4 0 0 14 - 3 +11 12
2 Arsenal 4 4 0 0 11 - 0 +11 12
3 Inter 4 4 0 0 11 - 1 +10 12
4 Manchester City 4 3 1 0 10 - 3 +7 10
5 Paris Saint Germain 4 3 0 1 14 - 5 +9 9
6 Newcastle United 4 3 0 1 10 - 2 +8 9
7 Real Madrid 4 3 0 1 8 - 2 +6 9
8 Liverpool 4 3 0 1 9 - 4 +5 9
9 Galatasaray 4 3 0 1 8 - 6 +2 9
10 Tottenham Hotspur 4 2 2 0 7 - 2 +5 8
11 FC Barcelona 4 2 1 1 12 - 7 +5 7
12 Chelsea 4 2 1 1 9 - 6 +3 7
13 Sporting CP 4 2 1 1 8 - 5 +3 7
14 Borussia Dortmund 4 2 1 1 13 - 11 +2 7
15 Qarabağ 4 2 1 1 8 - 7 +1 7
16 Atalanta 4 2 1 1 3 - 5 -2 7
17 Atlético Madrid 4 2 0 2 10 - 9 +1 6
18 PSV 4 1 2 1 9 - 7 +2 5
19 Monaco 4 1 2 1 4 - 6 -2 5
20 Pafos FC 4 1 2 1 2 - 5 -3 5
21 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 1 2 1 6 - 10 -4 5
22 Club Brugge 4 1 1 2 8 - 10 -2 4
23 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 1 1 2 7 - 11 -4 4
24 Napoli 4 1 1 2 4 - 9 -5 4
25 Olympique Marseille 4 1 0 3 6 - 5 +1 3
26 Juventus 4 0 3 1 7 - 8 -1 3
27 Athletic Club 4 1 0 3 4 - 9 -5 3
28 Union Saint-Gilloise 4 1 0 3 4 - 12 -8 3
29 Bodø / Glimt 4 0 2 2 5 - 8 -3 2
30 Slavia Praha 4 0 2 2 2 - 8 -6 2
31 Olympiacos F.C. 4 0 2 2 2 - 9 -7 2
32 Villarreal 4 0 1 3 2 - 6 -4 1
33 FC København 4 0 1 3 4 - 12 -8 1
34 Kairat 4 0 1 3 2 - 11 -9 1
35 Benfica 4 0 0 4 2 - 8 -6 0
36 Ajax 4 0 0 4 1 - 14 -13 0

Ajax vs Benfica – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Ajax this season?

The average xG for Ajax in the Champions League this season is 1.00.

? How much is the average xG for Benfica this season?

The average xG for Benfica in the Champions League this season is 1.00.