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St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig prediction 27.01.2026 | Bundesliga

St Pauli

St Pauli

Kick off:

Date:

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

1

4.36

X

3.90

2

1.89

  • Competition: Bundesliga
  • Date: Tuesday, 27th January 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:30 UK / 20:30 CET
  • Venue: Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)

The Bundesliga continues its busy January schedule with a midweek clash tomorrow. St. Pauli had a difficult start to the new year and remains deep in the relegation battle. Can the team from the Millerntor Stadium cause an upset this Tuesday against one of the league's heavyweights, RB Leipzig? Let's dive into the best betting options for this rescheduled fixture.

St Pauli vs RB Leipzig Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. RB Leipzig

    2 : 0

    St Pauli

    Bundesliga

  2. RB Leipzig

    4 : 2

    St Pauli

    DFB Pokal

  3. St Pauli

    0 : 0

    RB Leipzig

    Bundesliga

  4. St Pauli

    1 : 0

    RB Leipzig

    2. Bundesliga

  5. RB Leipzig

    0 : 1

    St Pauli

    2. Bundesliga

  6. St Pauli

    1 : 0

    RB Leipzig

    2. Bundesliga

St. Pauli and RB Leipzig haven't met too often in the past. Both teams won three of seven H2H matches, with one draw. However, RB Leipzig won the previous two encounters, including a 2-0 victory this season. Also, it is worth noting that at least one of the two teams didn't score in six of the seven H2H games. 

St Pauli

St. Pauli team overview

After a tough winter period, St. Pauli’s goal remains unchanged: survival in the Bundesliga. It has been a grueling campaign for Alexander Blessin's side, as they have collected only 13 points in the first 18 league rounds. While they showed some resilience in December, the restart in January has been challenging, and they need to find their scoring boots quickly to avoid being cut adrift.

St. Pauli has been proactive in the winter transfer window, officially bringing in defender Tomoya Ando from Avispa Fukuoka. The Japanese center-back has already joined the squad and could be an option for the bench on Tuesday.

Regarding injuries, St. Pauli's medical room is still relatively busy. David Nemeth, Simon Spari, and Andreas Hountondji are definitely out. Connor Metcalfe is also unavailable, while the status of top scorer Martijn Kaars is being monitored closely; though he has been playing through some discomfort, he remains the team's primary hope in attack.

Last matches of St Pauli

  1. St Pauli

    0 : 0

    Hamburger SV

    Bundesliga

  2. Borussia Dortmund

    3 : 2

    St Pauli

    Bundesliga

  3. VfL Wolfsburg

    2 : 1

    St Pauli

    Bundesliga

  4. St Pauli

    0 : 0

    Werder Bremen

    Club Friendlies 3

  5. FSV Mainz

    0 : 0

    St Pauli

    Bundesliga

St Pauli lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 22

    Nikola Vasilj

Defenders

  • 3

    Karol Mets

  • 8

    Eric Smith

  • 5

    Hauke Wahl

Midfielders

  • 11

    Arkadiusz Pyrka

  • 7

    Jackson Irvine

  • 16

    Joel Chima Fujita

  • 6

    James Sands

  • 23

    Louis Oppie

Forwards

  • 28

    Mathias Pereira Lage

  • 26

    Ricky-Jade Jones

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig team overview

RB Leipzig has solidified its position in the top five and is firmly in the hunt for a Champions League spot. After a shaky end to December, Ole Werner’s team found their rhythm again in their last outing, securing a dominant 3-0 away win against Heidenheim on January 24. That victory provided a much-needed boost after a heavy defeat to Bayern earlier in the month.

The major talking point in Leipzig remains the future of Yan Diomande. The 19-year-old sensation, who has already contributed six goals this season, is the subject of intense transfer rumors involving Manchester United and PSG. Unlike earlier this month, Diomande is now back in Germany following Ivory Coast's exit from the Africa Cup of Nations and is available to lead the line in Hamburg.

However, Ole Werner still has some selection headaches. Castello Lukeba is a major doubt with a knee capsule injury and will face a late fitness test. Assan Ouedraogo, Viggo Gebel, and Johan Bakayoko are also sidelined, though Antonio Nusa has returned to full training and could feature.

Last matches of RB Leipzig

  1. Heidenheim

    0 : 3

    RB Leipzig

    Bundesliga

  2. RB Leipzig

    1 : 5

    Bayern Munich

    Bundesliga

  3. RB Leipzig

    2 : 0

    SC Freiburg

    Bundesliga

  4. RB Leipzig

    1 : 3

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Bundesliga

  5. FC Union Berlin

    3 : 1

    RB Leipzig

    Bundesliga

RB Leipzig lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Peter Gulacsi

Defenders

  • 19

    Kosta Nedeljkovic

  • 4

    Willi Orban

  • 5

    Chadaille Bitshiabu

  • 22

    David Raum

Midfielders

  • 24

    Xaver Schlager

  • 13

    Nicolas Seiwald

  • 14

    Christoph Baumgartner

Forwards

  • 11

    Conrad Harder

  • 40

    Romulo

  • 27

    Tidiam Gomis

Prediction

St. Pauli remains the least productive side in the final third, having managed only 16 goals in 18 matches. RB Leipzig, meanwhile, boasts one of the league's most disciplined defensive units, especially in away games against bottom-half sides. Historically, matches between these two often see at least one side fail to score. With St. Pauli struggling for creativity and Leipzig regaining their defensive composure, we expect a low-scoring affair for the hosts.

Our prediction: BTTS - No

4 Reasons why we shouldn't expect goals on both sides in this match

  1. St. Pauli's drought: The hosts have averaged only 0.5 goals per game in their recent stretch.

  2. Leipzig's away discipline: Under Ole Werner, all four of Leipzig’s away wins this season have come with a clean sheet.

  3. H2H Trends: At least one team failed to score in five of the last six meetings between these clubs.

  4. Recent Encounter: RB Leipzig already proved their superiority earlier this season with a professional 2-0 victory.

Main prediction St Pauli - RB Leipzig

Both Teams to Score - NO

Updated

clock
winrate

38% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

My name's Adam, and I'm known as a 'football nerd' by most of my friends. That is one of the best things I have ever been called.

Best Odds:

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2.16

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St Pauli vs RB Leipzig standings in Bundesliga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 19 16 2 1 72 - 16 +56 50
2 Borussia Dortmund 19 12 6 1 38 - 17 +21 42
3 TSG Hoffenheim 18 11 3 4 38 - 22 +16 36
4 VfB Stuttgart 19 11 3 5 36 - 26 +10 36
5 RB Leipzig 18 11 2 5 36 - 24 +12 35
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 18 10 2 6 35 - 25 +10 32
7 SC Freiburg 19 7 6 6 31 - 32 -1 27
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 19 7 6 6 39 - 42 -3 27
9 FC Union Berlin 19 6 6 7 24 - 30 -6 24
10 FC Köln 19 5 5 9 28 - 32 -4 20
11 Borussia Mönchengladbach 19 5 5 9 23 - 32 -9 20
12 VfL Wolfsburg 19 5 4 10 28 - 41 -13 19
13 FC Augsburg 19 5 4 10 22 - 36 -14 19
14 Hamburger SV 18 4 6 8 17 - 27 -10 18
15 Werder Bremen 18 4 6 8 21 - 35 -14 18
16 FSV Mainz 05 19 3 6 10 21 - 32 -11 15
17 St. Pauli 18 3 4 11 16 - 31 -15 13
18 Heidenheim 19 3 4 12 17 - 42 -25 13

St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for St. Pauli this season?

The average xG for St. Pauli in the Bundesliga this season is 1.24.

? How much is the average xG for RB Leipzig this season?

The average xG for RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga this season is 1.75.