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Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna prediction 24.01.2026 | La Liga

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

Kick off:

Date:

Osasuna

Osasuna

1

2.25

X

3.21

2

3.86

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: Saturday, 24th January, 2026
  • Kickoff: 13:00 UK / 14:00 CET
  • Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid)

On Saturday afternoon, Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna will go head-to-head in Spain's top flight. Both sides are eager to create some breathing room from the relegation zone while keeping an eye on a potential push toward the European places. Rayo Vallecano comes to the game after a big 3:0 loss to Celta Vigo, while Osasuna bounced back with a 3:2 win over Real Oviedo, snapping a three-game winless run. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this La Liga tie.

Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Osasuna

    2 : 0

    Rayo Vallecano

    La Liga

  2. Osasuna

    1 : 1

    Rayo Vallecano

    La Liga

  3. Rayo Vallecano

    3 : 1

    Osasuna

    La Liga

  4. Rayo Vallecano

    2 : 1

    Osasuna

    La Liga

  5. Osasuna

    1 : 0

    Rayo Vallecano

    La Liga

  6. Rayo Vallecano

    2 : 1

    Osasuna

    La Liga

In the first h2h game this season, Osasuna won 2:0 at home in Pamplona. However, it was a lot closer game than the scoreline suggests. Looking further back, in the past ten h2h games, Rayo Vallecano won three times, while Osasuna won five times. 

Regarding the number of goals, five of the past 10 h2h games ended with three or more goals, and both teams scored in six of them. 

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano team overview

Rayo Vallecano had an amazing last season, finishing 8th and securing the Conference League. That is only the second time they secured Europe. The popular Los Franjirrojos did well in the league phase, easily securing a spot in the 1/8 Finals. However, in La Liga, they have struggled massively and have won just 22 points in 20 rounds - only three points away from the danger zone. They have massive offensive problems and will have to fix them as soon as possible if they want to avoid a relegation battle. 

In the previous game against Celta Vigo, central defender Nobel Mendy received a straight red card and will be unavailable. That is a massive problem for coach Iñigo Pérez, who will have up to seven players out with injuries. They have mostly problems at the back, as four defenders are among the injured - Abdul Mumin, Luiz Felipe, Andrei Ratiu, and Ivan Balliu. On the positive side, the team's captain, Oscar Valentin, will be back after serving his one-game suspension.

Last matches of Rayo Vallecano

  1. Celta Vigo

    3 : 0

    Rayo Vallecano

    La Liga

  2. Alaves

    2 : 0

    Rayo Vallecano

    Copa Del Rey

  3. Rayo Vallecano

    2 : 1

    Mallorca

    La Liga

  4. Granada

    1 : 3

    Rayo Vallecano

    Copa Del Rey

  5. Rayo Vallecano

    1 : 1

    Getafe

    La Liga

Rayo Vallecano lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Augusto Batalla

Defenders

  • 22

    Alfonso Espino

  • 24

    Florian Lejeune

  • 33

    Jozhua Vertrouwd

  • 3

    Pep Chavarría

Midfielders

  • 23

    Óscar Valentín

  • 7

    Isi Palazón

  • 4

    Pedro Díaz

Forwards

  • 14

    Carlos Martín

  • 19

    Jorge de Frutos

  • 18

    Álvaro García

Osasuna

Osasuna team overview

Osasuna have been a mid-table La Liga team over the past six seasons, finishing between 7th and 11th. This season, despite being around their usual spot, the team from Pamplona doesn't look as good. Compared to the last year, they average around 0.27 points per game less. The main issue is their absolutely terrible road record - just points in ten rounds away from home. Right now, Osasuna are by far the worst road La Liga team.

In the previous game against Real Oviedo, Osasuna won 3:2. Unfortunately, in the stoppage time, they lost two important players. Central defender Alejandro Catena received a straight red card, and midfielder Aimar Oroz suffered an injury. Both players have been an important part of the starting eleven, especially in recent matches. 

Last matches of Osasuna

  1. Osasuna

    3 : 2

    Real Oviedo

    La Liga

  2. Real Sociedad

    4 : 3

    Osasuna

    Copa Del Rey

  3. Girona

    1 : 0

    Osasuna

    La Liga

  4. Osasuna

    1 : 1

    Athletic Bilbao

    La Liga

  5. Osasuna

    3 : 0

    Alaves

    La Liga

Osasuna lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Sergio Herrera

Defenders

  • 19

    Valentin Rosier

  • 5

    Jorge Herrando

  • 22

    Enzo Boyomo

  • 20

    Javi Galán

Midfielders

  • 16

    Moi Gomez

  • 6

    Lucas Torró

  • 24

    Asier Osambela

Forwards

  • 14

    Rubén García

  • 17

    Ante Budimir

  • 21

    Víctor Muñoz

Prediction

With 16 scored goals in 20 La Liga rounds, Rayo Vallecano are tied for the third-worst offense in the league. They have also been really bad in back-to-back games vs Alaves and Celta Vigo, failing to score against those mediocre teams.

Osasuna have had some good games lately, but most of them were at home. On the road, in ten La Liga rounds, Osasuna managed to score just three goals - 0.3 per game! So, expecting a great offensive display against anyone seems unreal. 

Additionally, both teams have been under 2.5 goals in 65% of their La Liga games. Only Celta Vigo and Real Oviedo have a better percentage thus far (70%). 

Considering all the above, an under 2.5 goals bet seems like the best option for this La Liga tie.

3 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. Rayo Vallecano failed to score in back-to-back games vs Celta Vigo and Alaves
  2. Osasuna scored three goals in ten La Liga road games
  3. The first h2h game ended with fewer than three goals (2:0 win for Osasuna)

Main prediction Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

6 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.65

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Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna standings in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 20 16 1 3 54 - 22 +32 49
2 Real Madrid 20 15 3 2 43 - 17 +26 48
3 Atlético Madrid 20 12 5 3 35 - 17 +18 41
4 Villarreal 19 13 2 4 37 - 19 +18 41
5 Espanyol 20 10 4 6 23 - 22 +1 34
6 Real Betis 20 8 8 4 33 - 25 +8 32
7 Celta de Vigo 20 8 8 4 28 - 20 +8 32
8 Elche 20 5 9 6 27 - 26 +1 24
9 Real Sociedad 20 6 6 8 26 - 28 -2 24
10 Athletic Club 20 7 3 10 19 - 28 -9 24
11 Girona 20 6 6 8 20 - 34 -14 24
12 Osasuna 20 6 4 10 21 - 24 -3 22
13 Rayo Vallecano 20 5 7 8 16 - 25 -9 22
14 Sevilla 20 6 3 11 26 - 32 -6 21
15 Mallorca 20 5 6 9 24 - 30 -6 21
16 Getafe 20 6 3 11 15 - 26 -11 21
17 Valencia 20 4 8 8 19 - 31 -12 20
18 Deportivo Alavés 20 5 4 11 16 - 25 -9 19
19 Levante 19 3 5 11 21 - 32 -11 14
20 Real Oviedo 20 2 7 11 11 - 31 -20 13

Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Rayo Vallecano this season?

The average xG for Rayo Vallecano in La Liga this season is 1.50.

? How much is the average xG for Osasuna this season?

The average xG for Osasuna in the La Liga this season is 1.23.