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Lens vs Le Havre prediction 30.01.2026 | Ligue 1

RC Lens

RC Lens

Kick off:

Date:

Le Havre

Le Havre

1

1.45

X

4.97

2

7.90

  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: Friday, 30th January, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens)

On Friday evening, two French sides with very different seasonal objectives will go head-to-head as Lens hosts Le Havre. While the hosts are trying to surprise everyone and win the title this season, Le Havre are fighting for survival and, for now, doing a solid job of staying clear of the relegation zone.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Ligue 1 tie.

RC Lens vs Le Havre Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Le Havre

    1 : 2

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  2. Le Havre

    1 : 2

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  3. RC Lens

    1 : 1

    Le Havre

    Ligue 1

  4. Le Havre

    0 : 0

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  5. RC Lens

    2 : 2

    Le Havre

    Club Friendlies 1

  6. RC Lens

    1 : 3

    Le Havre

    Club Friendlies 1

In the first h2h game this season, Lens won 2:1 at Stade Océane in Le Havre in a very close match, which could have easily resulted in a draw. Looking further back, in the past five h2h games, Lens won twice, while Le Havre won once.

When it comes to the number of goals, three out of the five h2h games ended with two or more goals, while both teams scored on four occasions.

RC Lens

Lens team overview

After finishing second in the 2022/23 season, Lens had two similar finishes (7th and 8th) and even missed Europe last season. This season, the Blood and Gold are focused only on the domestic competition and are doing a magnificent job. Before the last game, when they lost 3:1 against Marseille, Lens were on a magnificent streak and were at the top of the league. Now, after losing that game, PSG overtook that top spot and are two points behind them. Lens are under pressure to win all three points because PSG will have a difficult road game against Strasbourg, and this could be the opportunity to get back to the top.

After a 3:1 loss vs Marseille, coach Pierre Sage spoke to the media. He said they didn't apply their usual defensive principles, which left them vulnerable on the first two goals. When asked about ending their eight-game Ligue 1 streak, the coach wasn't too unhappy, saying it has to end eventually. 

Last matches of RC Lens

  1. Marseille

    3 : 1

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  2. RC Lens

    1 : 0

    Auxerre

    Ligue 1

  3. Sochaux

    0 : 3

    RC Lens

    Coupe de France

  4. Toulouse

    0 : 3

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  5. RC Lens

    3 : 1

    Feignies-Aulnoye

    Coupe de France

RC Lens lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 40

    Robin Risser

Defenders

  • 14

    Matthieu Udol

  • 25

    Ismaëlo Ganiou

  • 20

    Malang Sarr

Midfielders

  • 23

    Saud Abdulhamid

  • 8

    Mamadou Sangaré

  • 28

    Adrien Thomasson

  • 2

    Ruben Aguilar

Forwards

  • 22

    Wesley Saïd

  • 10

    Florian Thauvin

  • 11

    Odsonne Édouard

Le Havre

Le Havre team overview

After promotion in the 2022/23 season, Le Havre had two challenging seasons, barely securing survival. They finished 15th in both and won only 32 and 34 points. This season, the team from Normandy is around their usual point-per-game and are again in 15th place. However, luckily for them, the bottom three teams have been simply atrocious, and Le Havre are a comfortable six points away from the danger zone. 

After a goalless draw with Monaco, coach Didier Digard spoke to the media. He said there is satisfaction in winning one point, which is valuable to their league objective of survival. However, he said they could have taken more from the game and probably should have been more ambitious. 

Last matches of Le Havre

  1. Le Havre

    0 : 0

    Monaco

    Ligue 1

  2. Rennes

    1 : 1

    Le Havre

    Ligue 1

  3. Le Havre

    2 : 1

    Angers

    Ligue 1

  4. Le Havre

    0 : 2

    Amiens SC

    Coupe de France

  5. Lyon

    1 : 0

    Le Havre

    Ligue 1

Le Havre lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 77

    Lionel Mpasi-Nzau

Defenders

  • 7

    Loïc Nego

  • 15

    Ayumu Seko

  • 93

    Arouna Sangante

  • 18

    Yanis Zouaoui

Midfielders

  • 14

    Rassoul Ndiaye

  • 19

    Lucas Gourna-Douath

  • 26

    Simon Ebonog

Forwards

  • 10

    Felix Mambimbi

  • 34

    Kenny Quetant

  • 25

    Ally Samatta

Prediction

Lens lost the last game 3:1. However, that is only one game, on the road, against a very strong opponent. Before that loss, they were on a magnificent ten-game winning streak (two of those in the Cup). Also, the Blood and Gold won nine of ten home games while covering the -1.5 AH spread on five occasions.

Le Havre are playing solid football by their standards and are currently on a three-game unbeaten run. However, most of their good performances came at home. On the road, they won just two points in the past four games and scored just two goals. They have generally struggled on the road, winning just one out of nine Ligue 1 games.

Additionally, Lens have already won the first h2h game this season. Considering all the above, we believe Lens are simply a better team and should secure a comfortable home win. 

4 Reasons why Lens should win and cover the -1 AH spread

  1. Lens won 10 of the last 11 games
  2. Lens won eight out of nine home Ligue 1 games
  3. Le Havre lost five out of nine road Ligue matches
  4. Lens won the first h2h game this season 2:1

Main prediction RC Lens - Le Havre

AH1 (-1)

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Melbet

1.65

Bet here

RC Lens vs Le Havre standings in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 19 14 3 2 41 - 15 +26 45
2 Lens 19 14 1 4 33 - 16 +17 43
3 Olympique Marseille 19 12 2 5 44 - 20 +24 38
4 Olympique Lyonnais 19 11 3 5 32 - 20 +12 36
5 LOSC Lille 19 10 2 7 34 - 29 +5 32
6 Rennes 19 8 7 4 30 - 27 +3 31
7 Strasbourg 19 9 3 7 32 - 23 +9 30
8 Toulouse 19 8 5 6 31 - 23 +8 29
9 Lorient 19 6 7 6 25 - 30 -5 25
10 Monaco 19 7 3 9 28 - 33 -5 24
11 Angers SCO 19 6 5 8 20 - 25 -5 23
12 Brest 19 6 4 9 24 - 31 -7 22
13 Nice 19 6 3 10 25 - 36 -11 21
14 Paris 19 5 5 9 24 - 32 -8 20
15 Le Havre 19 4 8 7 16 - 24 -8 20
16 Nantes 19 3 5 11 18 - 34 -16 14
17 Auxerre 19 3 3 13 14 - 29 -15 12
18 Metz 19 3 3 13 21 - 45 -24 12

Lens vs Le Havre – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Lens this season?

The average xG for Lens in the Ligue 1 this season is 1.56.

? How much is the average xG for Le Havre this season?

The average xG for Le Havre in the Ligue 1 this season is 1.28.