Inter vs Lecce prediction 14.01.2026 | Serie A
Kick off:
Date:
1
1.16
X
8.65
2
24.00
Contents
- Competition: Serie A
- Date: Wednesday, 14th January, 2026
- Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
- Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)
The Italian top flight returns to action in midweek, and one of the most interesting fixtures sees league leaders Inter host relegation candidates Lecce. The two sides arrive in very different form: Inter have collected 10 points from their last four matches, while Lecce have lost their previous two games and taken just one point from the same period. Now, they will have to look at the points against the best team in the league at the moment.
Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Serie A tie.
vs Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Lecce
0 : 4
Inter Milan
Serie A
-
Inter Milan
2 : 0
Lecce
Serie A
-
Lecce
0 : 4
Inter Milan
Serie A
-
Inter Milan
2 : 0
Lecce
Serie A
-
Inter Milan
2 : 0
Lecce
Serie A
-
Lecce
1 : 2
Inter Milan
Serie A
Last season, these teams met twice, with Inter dominating the duels, winning 2:0 at home at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza and 4:0 at Stadio Via del Mare in Lecce. Looking further back, we can see that Inter have totally dominated, winning seven of the previous eight games, with the remaining match ending in a draw. The last time Lecce won was 13 years ago!
Regarding the number of goals, four of the past seven games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in two out of those seven matches.
Inter team overview
Inter finished the last season trophyless, but haven't had a bad season considering they were one point away from another Scudetto and reached the Champions League Finals. That big loss to PSG in the CL Finals led to the coach being changed. This season, under coach Chivu, Nerazzurri are doing a fine job, sitting in the top spot in Serie A with a three-point advantage over second-placed AC Milan. At the moment, the bookies see them as a massive favorite for the title, with the odds of only 1.4. Also, besides their good Serie A campaign, the Nerazzurri have secured a spot in the Champions League 1/8 Finals.
After a 2:2 draw with Napoli, coach Cristian Chivu spoke to the media. He showed some regret because they had the lead twice, but also said the result was fair from what the teams showed on the pitch. The coach also praised his team's mentality and determination to play their style of football.
Last matches of
-
Inter Milan
2 : 2
Napoli
Serie A
-
Parma
0 : 2
Inter Milan
Serie A
-
Inter Milan
3 : 1
Bologna
Serie A
-
Atalanta
0 : 1
Inter Milan
Serie A
-
Bologna
3 : 2
Inter Milan
Super Cup
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Yann Sommer
Defenders
-
95
Alessandro Bastoni
-
25
Manuel Akanji
-
31
Yann Bisseck
Midfielders
-
11
Luis Henrique
-
7
Piotr Zieliński
-
23
Nicolò Barella
-
20
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
-
32
Federico Dimarco
Forwards
-
10
Lautaro Martínez
-
9
Marcus Thuram
Lecce team overview
Since returning to Serie A after promotion from Serie B in the 2021/22 season, Lecce have been among the worst teams but managed to survive each time. This season, the popular Wolves found themselves back around the danger zone, and it will be interesting to see whether they can survive. At the moment, they are in 16th place with 17 points - only three away from the danger zone. However, they are in a terrible form and will have to start winning points as soon as possible.
After a 2:1 loss vs Parma, coach Eusebio Di Francesco spoke to the media. He was frustrated with a win, saying the defeat was self-inflicted. The coach said they dominated for 55 minutes, but two red cards and an own goal swung the momentum of the match.
Now, due to those red cards, Lameck Banda and Kialonda Gaspar will be suspended. Those two absences will be massive, especially because Ylber Ramadani will serve his one-game suspension, and up to six players will be out due to injuries.
Last matches of
-
Lecce
1 : 2
Parma
Serie A
-
Lecce
0 : 2
AS Roma
Serie A
-
Juventus
1 : 1
Lecce
Serie A
-
Lecce
0 : 3
Como
Serie A
-
Lecce
1 : 0
Pisa
Serie A
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
30
Wladimiro Falcone
Defenders
-
17
Danilo Veiga
-
44
Tiago Gabriel
-
5
Jamil Siebert
-
3
Corrie Ndaba
Midfielders
-
93
Youssef Maleh
-
29
Lassana Coulibaly
-
77
Mohamed Kaba
Forwards
-
50
Santiago Pierotti
-
9
Nikola Stulic
-
23
Riccardo Sottil
Prediction
Inter won three in a row before their draw in the previous game against Napoli. Now they could have some extra motive to return to winning ways, and a game against struggling Lecce should be the perfect opportunity. Also, at home, they won ten out of 14 games, while winning by three or more goals on six occasions!
Lecce won just one point in the last four games while scoring just two goals - 0.5 per game. Also, against the top eight teams in Serie A, they played seven games and lost six, often being completely dominated.
Inter won the previous six h2h games, while winning by two or more goals on five occasions! Considering the trend in the previous h2h games, the difference in form, and all the above, we expect a dominant win for the hosts.
4 Reasons why Inter should win and cover the -2 AH spread
- Inter won ten points in the last four games
- Inter won ten out of 14 home games
- Lecce won one point in the last four games
- Inter won the last six h2h games while covering the -1.5 AH spread on five occasions
Main prediction -
AH1 (-2)
Best Odds:
Paripesa
1.72
vs standings in Serie A
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 42 - 17 | +25 | 43 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 30 - 15 | +15 | 40 |
| 3 | Napoli | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 30 - 17 | +13 | 39 |
| 4 | Juventus | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 32 - 16 | +16 | 39 |
| 5 | Roma | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 24 - 12 | +12 | 39 |
| 6 | Como | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 27 - 13 | +14 | 34 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 25 - 19 | +6 | 31 |
| 8 | Lazio | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 21 - 16 | +5 | 28 |
| 9 | Bologna | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26 - 20 | +6 | 27 |
| 10 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22 - 32 | -10 | 26 |
| 11 | Torino | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 21 - 32 | -11 | 23 |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 - 27 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Cremonese | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 - 28 | -8 | 22 |
| 14 | Parma | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 - 22 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Genoa | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 - 29 | -7 | 19 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 21 - 30 | -9 | 19 |
| 17 | Lecce | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 13 - 27 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 21 - 31 | -10 | 14 |
| 19 | Pisa | 20 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 15 - 30 | -15 | 13 |
| 20 | Hellas Verona | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 - 31 | -16 | 13 |