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Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction 14.01.2026 | Carabao Cup

Chelsea

Chelsea

Kick off:

Date:

Arsenal

Arsenal

1

3.38

X

3.46

2

2.33

  • Competition: Carabao Cup - Semi-Finals 1st Leg
  • Date: Wednesday, 14th, January 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge (London)

A place in the Carabao Cup final is the tantalising prize on offer as West London collides with North London when Chelsea welcome fierce rivals Arsenal to Stamford Bridge on Wednesday evening.

This highly anticipated semi-final first-leg clash pits two of the Premier League's heavyweights against one another in a knockout setting, where local pride and a significant step towards silverware are both at stake.

Chelsea vs Arsenal Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Chelsea

    1 : 1

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  2. Arsenal

    1 : 0

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  3. Chelsea

    1 : 1

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  4. Arsenal

    5 : 0

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  5. Chelsea

    2 : 2

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  6. Arsenal

    3 : 1

    Chelsea

    Premier League

Arsenal will take encouragement from the fact that they have remained unbeaten against Chelsea across eight consecutive Premier League meetings, winning four of those encounters while the other four ended in draws.

Chelsea

Chelsea team overview

The appointment of Liam Rosenior as head coach may have raised eyebrows at first, but his arrival has injected a renewed sense of optimism around Stamford Bridge, with his reign getting off to a flying start following a thumping 5-1 demolition of Charlton Athletic in the FA Cup first round.

Before the new manager can fully turn his attention to Premier League duties, however, he faces another cup challenge — one of far greater magnitude. Chelsea are set to lock horns with city rivals Arsenal in the Carabao Cup semi-finals, as Rosenior looks to guide the Blues back to Wembley for the first time in two years.

Despite that encouraging cup performance, Chelsea’s league form has been frustratingly inconsistent. Just one victory from seven Premier League fixtures in December has seen them slip out of the top four, with the gap to the Champions League places now stretching to four points.

Compounding the challenge for the new boss are several immediate selection dilemmas. Key figures such as Malo Gusto, Reece James, and Cole Palmer all remain major doubts, having been rested as a precaution during the recent FA Cup win over Charlton, leaving Rosenior with crucial decisions to make ahead of this demanding run of fixtures.

Last matches of Chelsea

  1. Charlton Athletic

    1 : 5

    Chelsea

    FA Cup

  2. Fulham

    2 : 1

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  3. Manchester City

    1 : 1

    Chelsea

    Premier League

  4. Chelsea

    2 : 2

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

  5. Chelsea

    1 : 2

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

Chelsea lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Filip Jørgensen

Defenders

  • 3

    Marc Cucurella

  • 29

    Wesley Fofana

  • 23

    Trevoh Chalobah

  • 27

    Malo Gusto

Midfielders

  • 8

    Enzo Fernández

  • 24

    Reece James

  • 7

    Pedro Neto

  • 10

    Cole Palmer

  • 41

    Estêvão

Forwards

  • 9

    Liam Delap

Arsenal

Arsenal team overview

Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal arrive in formidable form, riding a wave of confidence built on an impressive nine-game unbeaten streak across all competitions. The Gunners have navigated a tough fixture list with poise and resilience, sending a clear message that they are serious contenders this season.

The 22-year wait for a Premier League crown has never seemed closer. Arsenal currently sit atop the table with a comfortable six-point lead over Manchester City, holding the league firmly in their grasp and looking increasingly like title favorites.

Their dominance extends beyond the league as well. The Gunners booked their spot in the EFL Cup semi-finals after a dramatic penalty shootout victory over Crystal Palace following a 1-1 draw, while their FA Cup fourth-round clash saw them dismantle Portsmouth 4-1, even with a heavily rotated squad — a testament to the depth and quality Arteta has built.

Yet challenges remain. Defensive injuries continue to test the squad, with Riccardo Calafiori and Cristhian Mosquera sidelined with ankle issues, and Piero Hincapié a doubt following a muscular problem against Liverpool. Still, Arsenal’s blend of talent, momentum, and sheer determination makes them a daunting prospect for any opponent, and fans can sense that a historic title run is well within reach.

Last matches of Arsenal

  1. Portsmouth

    1 : 4

    Arsenal

    FA Cup

  2. Arsenal

    0 : 0

    Liverpool

    Premier League

  3. AFC Bournemouth

    2 : 3

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  4. Arsenal

    4 : 1

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

  5. Arsenal

    2 : 1

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

Arsenal lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Kepa Arrizabalaga

Defenders

  • 49

    Myles Lewis-Skelly

  • 6

    Gabriel Magalhães

  • 2

    William Saliba

  • 12

    Jurriën Timber

Midfielders

  • 41

    Declan Rice

  • 36

    Martín Zubimendi

  • 8

    Martin Ødegaard

Forwards

  • 11

    Gabriel Martinelli

  • 14

    Viktor Gyökeres

  • 7

    Bukayo Saka

Prediction

Despite Chelsea's recent FA Cup fillip and a potential "new manager bounce", the chasm in consistency between the two sides this season is vast. Arsenal travel across London as the superior tactical unit, sitting top of the Premier League and carrying potent attacking threat. While the Blues will push hard for a crucial home advantage, we expect Mikel Arteta's formidable side to edge a tightly-contested affair at Stamford Bridge, securing a vital aggregate lead heading into the return leg.

Three Reasons we expect Arsenal to Win

  1. Chelsea have managed just one victory in their last six matches.
  2. Arsenal remain unbeaten in nine consecutive games (W8 D1).
  3. Arsenal have claimed four wins and as many draws in their last eight head-to-head encounters with Chelsea.

Main prediction Chelsea - Arsenal

Arsenal to win

Updated

clock
winrate

57% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

don_andres is the professional football and basketball tipster who can give you deep analytic for each match 

Best Odds:

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2.33

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Chelsea vs Arsenal – FAQ

? Who is Chelsea's player to watch?

Enzo Fernandez is in excellent scoring form, netting three goals in his last four appearances.

? Who is Arsenal's player to watch?

Leandro Trossard has been involved in 13 of Arsenal’s goals, the highest in the squad, scoring seven and providing six assists.