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Casa Pia vs Porto prediction 02.02.2026 | Liga Portugal

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Kick off:

Date:

Porto

Porto

1

13.00

X

5.00

2

1.27

  • Competition: Liga Portugal
  • Date: Monday, 2nd February 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:45 UK / 21:45 CET
  • Venue: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior (Rio Maior)

On Monday night, Casa Pia and Porto will meet in another important Liga Portugal tie. Two teams are on opposite sides of the standings and, for their own reasons, need points. Can Porto stun Casa Pia and take at least one point? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Casa Pia vs Porto Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Porto

    4 : 0

    Casa Pia

    Liga Portugal

  2. Casa Pia

    0 : 1

    Porto

    Liga Portugal

  3. Porto

    2 : 0

    Casa Pia

    Liga Portugal

  4. Casa Pia

    1 : 2

    Porto

    Liga Portugal

  5. Porto

    3 : 1

    Casa Pia

    Liga Portugal

  6. Porto

    2 : 1

    Casa Pia

    Liga Portugal

Porto are dominant against Casa Pia, having won seven of eight H2H matches, with one draw. In the only meeting this season, Francesco Farioli's team won 4-0. Also, it is worth noting that Casa Pia didn't score in the last three H2H games against Porto. 

Casa Pia

Casa Pia team overview

The 2025/26 season is the fourth consecutive Casa Pia season in the Portuguese top competition. However, the team from Rio Maior is currently in the relegation playoff position and is desperately struggling to survive. Casa Pia didn't play well recently, with only two collected points in the previous four matches. In the last league round, Alvaro Pacheco's team played 3-3 at home against AFS. The hosts had a big 3-0 lead, but that was not enough against marvelous guests who dominated throughout the second half. Eventually, Casa Pia picked up one point, yet the draw felt more like a defeat after letting such a comfortable advantage slip away.

A few days ago, Casa Pia added Joao Marques on loan from Braga. The left-winger played only 11 minutes across all competitions this season and will surely need some time to return to the best possible form. Last season, Marques appeared in 11 Liga Portugal matches for Gil Vicente. 

Casa Pia have some problems with missing players. Kaique Rocha and Kiki are unavailable for Monday's game against Porto. Also, Jose Fonte and Duplexe Tchamba are questionable. 

Last matches of Casa Pia

  1. Casa Pia

    3 : 3

    AVS

    Liga Portugal

  2. Sporting CP

    3 : 0

    Casa Pia

    Liga Portugal

  3. Rio Ave

    3 : 1

    Casa Pia

    Liga Portugal

  4. Casa Pia

    0 : 0

    Vitoria Guimaraes

    Liga Portugal

  5. Tondela

    1 : 2

    Casa Pia

    Liga Portugal

Casa Pia lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Patrick Sequeira

Defenders

  • 43

    David Sousa

  • 3

    Kaly

  • 4

    Joao Goulart

Midfielders

  • 72

    Gaizka Larazzabal

  • 74

    Renato Nhaga

  • 8

    Rafael Brito

  • 5

    Abdu Conte

Forwards

  • 21

    Tiago Morais

  • 90

    Cassiano

  • 29

    Jeremy Livolant

Porto

Porto team overview

After three seasons without the most important trophy in domestic football, Porto are on course for their 31st Liga Portugal title. Francesco Farioli's team has 18 wins in 19 league matches and is seven points ahead of the next team on the table, Sporting CP. Porto are in impressive form with 11 wins in the last 12 matches across all competitions. In the most recent outing, Farioli's team won 3-1 at home against Rangers. The guests opened the scoring in the sixth minute, but the hosts dominated the rest of the game and sealed another victory. 

Porto added Terem Moffi on loan on Friday. The Nigerian forward scored only two goals in ten Ligue 1 matches for Nice this season. Moffi should have more opportunities in Porto. 

Luuk de Jong and Nehuen Perez are injured and will not travel to Rio Maior. 

Last matches of Porto

  1. Porto

    3 : 1

    Rangers FC

    Europa League

  2. Porto

    3 : 0

    Gil Vicente

    Liga Portugal

  3. Viktoria Plzen

    1 : 1

    Porto

    Europa League

  4. Vitoria Guimaraes

    0 : 1

    Porto

    Liga Portugal

  5. Porto

    1 : 0

    Benfica

    Taça De Portugal

Porto lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 99

    Diogo Costa

Defenders

  • 20

    Alberto Costa

  • 5

    Jan Bednarek

  • 4

    Jakub Kiwior

  • 74

    Francisco Moura

Midfielders

  • 8

    Victor Froholdt

  • 22

    Alan Varela

  • 86

    Rodrigo Mora

Forwards

  • 7

    William Gomes

  • 9

    Samu Aghehowa

  • 11

    Pepe

Prediction

The two teams are in completely different moments. Casa Pia are without a victory in the last four matches with a 4:9 goal difference. On the other hand, Porto won 11 of the previous 12 matches with a couple of impressive wins lately. Also, Francesco Farioli's team won 4-0 in the only H2H match against Casa Pia this season. We should expect Porto to dominate on Monday again. Our prediction: Porto to win and cover AH -1.5 spread. 

4 Reasons why Porto should win and cover AH -1.5 spread in this match

  1. Casa Pia have not won in the last four matches
  2. Casa Pia conceded nine goals in the previous three games
  3. Porto won 11 of the last 12 matches
  4. Porto won 4-0 in the previous H2H game against Casa Pia

Main prediction Casa Pia - Porto

AH2 (-1.5)

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

6 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.88

Bet here

Casa Pia vs Porto standings in Liga Portugal

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Porto 19 18 1 0 40 - 4 +36 55
2 Sporting CP 19 15 3 1 52 - 10 +42 48
3 Benfica 19 13 6 0 42 - 11 +31 45
4 Sporting Braga 19 9 6 4 37 - 18 +19 33
5 Gil Vicente 19 8 7 4 24 - 16 +8 31
6 Moreirense 20 9 3 8 26 - 27 -1 30
7 Famalicão 19 8 5 6 24 - 14 +10 29
8 Estoril 20 8 5 7 41 - 33 +8 29
9 Vitória Guimarães 20 8 4 8 21 - 27 -6 28
10 Alverca 20 7 3 10 20 - 34 -14 24
11 Nacional 19 5 5 9 26 - 28 -2 20
12 Estrela Amadora 20 4 8 8 24 - 37 -13 20
13 Rio Ave 20 4 8 8 22 - 38 -16 20
14 Arouca 20 5 5 10 23 - 44 -21 20
15 Santa Clara 20 4 5 11 16 - 25 -9 17
16 Casa Pia 19 3 6 10 20 - 38 -18 15
17 Tondela 19 3 3 13 12 - 33 -21 12
18 AVS 19 0 5 14 14 - 47 -33 5

Casa Pia vs Porto – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Casa Pia this season?

The average xG for Casa Pia in Liga Portugal this season is 0.98.

? How much is the average xG for Porto this season?

The average xG for Porto in Liga Portugal this season is 1.66.