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Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel prediction 23.01.2026 | 2. Bundesliga

Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld

Kick off:

Date:

Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel

1

2.16

X

3.40

2

3.10

  • Competition: 2. Bundesliga
  • Date: Friday, 23rd January, 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:30 UK / 18:30 CET
  • Venue: Schüco Arena (Bielefeld)

On Friday evening, 2. Bundesliga teams are back in action. One of the most interesting duels will be between Arminia Bielefeld and Holstein Kiel. These two teams arrive with different momentum: Arminia lost 1:0 to Düsseldorf in the first round after the winter break and are now enduring a six-game winless streak. In contrast, Holstein Kiel claimed a 2:0 victory over one of the league's top teams, Paderborn, and remains unbeaten in their last five matches.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this 2. Bundesliga tie.

Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Holstein Kiel

    0 : 2

    Arminia Bielefeld

    2. Bundesliga

  2. Holstein Kiel

    2 : 3

    Arminia Bielefeld

    2. Bundesliga

  3. Arminia Bielefeld

    4 : 2

    Holstein Kiel

    2. Bundesliga

  4. Holstein Kiel

    1 : 2

    Arminia Bielefeld

    2. Bundesliga

  5. Arminia Bielefeld

    2 : 1

    Holstein Kiel

    2. Bundesliga

  6. Arminia Bielefeld

    1 : 0

    Holstein Kiel

    2. Bundesliga

These teams met early in the current season, in the second round. That time, Arminia Bielefeld won 2:0 on the road despite having a player less for more than 20 minutes. Looking further back, Arminia Bielefeld dominated their meetings, winning the past eight games! 

Regarding the number of goals, six of the last eight h2h games ended with more than three goals, while both teams scored in the same number of games (six). 

Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld team overview

Arminia Bielefeld had a rough period behind them, suffering two consecutive relegations and coming close to their third one in the 2023/24 season. Luckily, they bounced back with a great last season, winning the 3. Liga. Their goal for this season is only to survive. However, after a strong start, the popular Blues significantly slowed down and are now in 16th place with 19 points from 18 rounds. They are currently in the relegation play-off spot and are only one point away from the safe zone. However, considering what we have seen from them in the recent games, they have every reason to be concerned.

After a 1:0 loss to Düsseldorf, coach Mitch Kniat spoke to the media. He said they made some wrong decisions in key moments, especially in the midfield. He eventually said it was a close game and that the goal they conceded was avoidable. However, he wasn't too unhappy, saying the effort was there. 

Last matches of Arminia Bielefeld

  1. Fortuna Dusseldorf

    1 : 0

    Arminia Bielefeld

    2. Bundesliga

  2. Hansa Rostock

    1 : 0

    Arminia Bielefeld

    Club Friendlies 3

  3. Hertha Berlin

    1 : 1

    Arminia Bielefeld

    2. Bundesliga

  4. Arminia Bielefeld

    0 : 0

    Kaiserslautern

    2. Bundesliga

  5. Bochum

    1 : 0

    Arminia Bielefeld

    2. Bundesliga

Arminia Bielefeld lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Jonas Kersken

Defenders

  • 19

    Maximilian Großer

  • 5

    Maximilian Bauer

  • 3

    Joel Felix

Midfielders

  • 14

    Monju Momuluh

  • 6

    Mael Corboz

  • 21

    Stefano Russo

  • 17

    Arne Sicker

Forwards

  • 11

    Joel Grodowski

  • 7

    Semir Telalovic

  • 38

    Marius Wörl

Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel team overview

Holstein Kiel were relegated from the Bundesliga last season and were among the teams considered to be in the promotion battle. However, they failed to deliver and are currently in tenth place with 23 points from 18 rounds. To be fair, they are getting better and are undoubtedly on the rise as the season progresses. Still, reaching the top three spots seems pretty impossible as they are 11 points behind. However, they have proven they are a good team in the DFB-Pokal, already eliminating two Bundesliga teams (Wolfsburg and HSV) and reaching the quarter-finals. There, they will face the reigning cup champs, Stuttgart, in early February. 

After a 2:0 win over Paderborn, coach Rapp spoke to the media. He said it was a balanced match that could have gone either way. "I'm proud of how the team stayed focused and took our chances when it mattered. That efficiency made the difference," the coach added.

Last matches of Holstein Kiel

  1. Holstein Kiel

    2 : 0

    SC Paderborn

    2. Bundesliga

  2. Ferencvarosi TC

    0 : 2

    Holstein Kiel

    Club Friendlies 3

  3. Holstein Kiel

    1 : 1

    Servette FC

    Club Friendlies 3

  4. Holstein Kiel

    2 : 1

    Dynamo Dresden

    2. Bundesliga

  5. Magdeburg

    3 : 3

    Holstein Kiel

    2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 21

    Jonas Krumrey

Defenders

  • 26

    David Zec

  • 6

    Marko Ivezic

  • 13

    Ivan Nekic

Midfielders

  • 29

    Niklas Niehoff

  • 8

    Umut Tohumcu

  • 28

    Jonas Meffert

  • 47

    John Tolkin

Forwards

  • 7

    Steven Skrzybski

  • 10

    Jonas Therkelsen

  • 19

    Phil Harres

Prediction

Arminia Bielefeld are in pretty bad form, failing to win in the last six official games. They looked pretty bad offensively, scoring only two goals during that time - 0.33 per game. So, suddenly expecting a great offensive display seems pretty unreal. Also, mainly due to poor offense, Arminia went under 2.5 goals in five of those last six games.

Meanwhile, Holstein Kiel are among the best teams in the league for this type of bet. 11 of their 18 games ended with fewer than three goals, with only Hertha having more (12). Also, recently they had very good defensive performances, allowing only one goal in three games vs Paderborn, Ferencvaros, and Servette. Yes, two of those were friendlies, but it is still a pretty good record against good teams, and we expect them to continue.

Moreover, the first h2h game this season finished under 2.5 goals (2:0 win for Arminia Bielefeld). Considering all the above, an under 2.5 goals bet seems like the best option for the upcoming tie.

4 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. Arminia Bielefeld went under 2.5 goals in the last four league games
  2. Arminia Bielefeld scored one goal in the past four league games
  3. Holstein Kiel went under 2.5 goals in 11 out of 18 2. Bundesliga rounds
  4. The first game ended as a 2:0 win for Arminia Bielefeld

Main prediction Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

7 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel standings in 2. Bundesliga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Schalke 04 18 12 2 4 22 - 10 +12 38
2 Elversberg 18 10 4 4 33 - 18 +15 34
3 Darmstadt 98 18 9 7 2 32 - 20 +12 34
4 Paderborn 18 10 3 5 28 - 20 +8 33
5 Kaiserslautern 18 9 3 6 32 - 22 +10 30
6 Hannover 96 18 8 5 5 31 - 25 +6 29
7 Hertha BSC 18 8 5 5 21 - 16 +5 29
8 Nürnberg 18 7 4 7 22 - 25 -3 25
9 Karlsruher SC 18 7 4 7 27 - 33 -6 25
10 Holstein Kiel 18 6 5 7 22 - 22 0 23
11 VfL Bochum 1848 18 6 4 8 26 - 25 +1 22
12 Magdeburg 18 6 2 10 24 - 29 -5 20
13 Preußen Münster 18 5 5 8 22 - 28 -6 20
14 Fortuna Düsseldorf 18 6 2 10 16 - 27 -11 20
15 Eintracht Braunschweig 18 6 2 10 20 - 32 -12 20
16 DSC Arminia Bielefeld 18 5 4 9 27 - 25 +2 19
17 Dynamo Dresden 18 4 4 10 26 - 34 -8 16
18 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 18 4 3 11 26 - 46 -20 15

Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Arminia Bielefeld this season?

The average xG for Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga this season is 1.47.

? How much is the average xG for Holstein Kiel this season?

The average xG for Holstein Kiel in the 2. Bundesliga this season is 1.33