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Alaves vs Real Sociedad prediction 04.02.2026 | Copa del Rey

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3.06

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3.06

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2.64

  • Competition: Copa del Rey, Quarter Finals
  • Date: Wednesday, 4th February, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

On Wednesday evening, two Basque La Liga sides, Alaves and Real Sociedad, will face off in the Copa del Rey quarter-finals. The hosts come into the tie on the back of consecutive wins over Real Betis and Espanyol, while the visitors are unbeaten in their last eight matches across all competitions. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Copa del Rey tie.

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Alaves

    1 : 0

    Real Sociedad

    La Liga

  2. Real Sociedad

    1 : 2

    Alaves

    La Liga

  3. Alaves

    6 : 5

    Real Sociedad

    Club Friendlies 3

  4. Alaves

    0 : 1

    Real Sociedad

    La Liga

  5. Real Sociedad

    1 : 1

    Alaves

    La Liga

  6. Real Sociedad

    1 : 0

    Alaves

    La Liga

These teams have already met once in La Liga in early December, with Alaves winning 1:0. However, it was a close game, and Real Sociedad definitely had their chances to score as they eventually had 1.17 xG. Looking further back, in the past ten h2h games, Alaves won three and Real Sociedad won four times. 

Regarding the number of goals, four of the past ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in five of those games. 

Alaves team overview

Last season, Alaves barely secured survival with a good stint in the final few games. This season, they had ups and downs, spending some time in the top eight and also in the relegation zone. At the moment, after two wins in a row, the "Babazorros" are in 10th place with 25 points. Yet, that 10th place seems a lot better than it actually is since they are only four points away from dropping down into the danger zone. But, we have to be real and say that this Alaves team definitely deserves to be around the middle of the table, at least judging by their recent performances. 

After a 2:1 win over Espanyol, coach Eduardo Coudet spoke to the media. He was satisfied with the win and the way his team played, noting that they hadn't won in Barcelona since 2002! The coach also spoke about the upcoming game against Real Sociedad and hinted he might rotate the squad a bit due to a challenging schedule.

Last matches of

  1. Espanyol

    1 : 2

    Alaves

    La Liga

  2. Alaves

    2 : 1

    Real Betis

    La Liga

  3. Atletico Madrid

    1 : 0

    Alaves

    La Liga

  4. Alaves

    2 : 0

    Rayo Vallecano

    Copa Del Rey

  5. Villarreal

    3 : 1

    Alaves

    La Liga

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Antonio Sivera

Defenders

  • 17

    Jonny Otto

  • 2

    Facundo Garcés

  • 5

    Jon Pacheco

  • 3

    Youssef Enríquez

Midfielders

  • 20

    Calebe

  • 8

    Antonio Blanco

  • 18

    Jon Guridi

  • 10

    Carles Aleñá

Forwards

  • 15

    Lucas Boyé

  • 11

    Toni Martínez

Real Sociedad team overview

Real Sociedad were a top-six team from 2019 to 2024 but had a terrible previous season, finishing 11th. This year, they continued to struggle and spent most of their time in the lower half of the league table. However, after a coaching change, the team started playing well and went on a seven-game unbeaten run. During that time, they beat Barcelona and drew against Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid. So, a great improvement since the arrival of Pellegrino Matarazzo, and therefore it is no surprise that he has been named the best La Liga coach in January. 

After a 1:1 draw with Athletic Bilbao, coach Pellegrino Matarazzo spoke to the media. He said they deserved to win, saying the victory was up for grabs until around the 80th minute, when they received a red card. But in general, the coach was satisfied with the performance and said they were competitive even with a player less. 

Last matches of

  1. Athletic Bilbao

    1 : 1

    Real Sociedad

    La Liga

  2. Real Sociedad

    3 : 1

    Celta Vigo

    La Liga

  3. Real Sociedad

    2 : 1

    FC Barcelona

    La Liga

  4. Real Sociedad

    4 : 3

    Osasuna

    Copa Del Rey

  5. Getafe

    1 : 2

    Real Sociedad

    La Liga

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Álex Remiro

Defenders

  • 2

    Jon Aramburu

  • 31

    Jon Martín

  • 5

    Igor Zubeldia

  • 17

    Sergio Gómez

Midfielders

  • 18

    Carlos Soler

  • 4

    Jon Gorrotxategi

  • 24

    Luka Sucic

Forwards

  • 11

    Gonçalo Guedes

  • 10

    Mikel Oyarzabal

  • 15

    Pablo Marín

Prediction

Alaves have been really good offensively in recent matches, scoring two goals per game in three of the past four matches against solid competition. They have also scored at least one goal in five of the past six matches across competitions. Additionally, at home, they have scored in 11 of 15 games - 73% 

Meanwhile, Real Sociedad have been amazing for this type of bet, as we saw both teams scoring in nine consecutive games. The White and Blues have also been very good offensively, both in recent games and on the road. Away from home, they scored in 12 of 14 games across competitions - 86%. 

Considering both teams' good form and all the above, we believe both teams will score at least one goal. 

4 Reasons why both teams should score

  1. Alaves scored two goals per game in three of the past four games
  2. Alaves scored in 73% home games
  3. We saw both teams scoring in Real Sociedad's last nine games across competitions
  4. Real Sociedad scored in 12 of 14 road games

Main prediction -

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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Alaves vs Real Sociedad – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Alaves this season?

The average xG for Alaves in the league this season is 1.31.

? How much is the average xG for Real Sociedad this season?

The average xG for Real Sociedad in the league this season is 1.52.