Contents
- Competition: World Cup Qualifiers
- Date: 6th June 2025
- Kick-off: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
- Venue: Ullevaal Stadion
Italy will be looking to secure their first victory in Group I of the European World Cup qualifiers on Friday, when they play Norway away.
Norway have been in great form over the last few months. The Lions began their Group I 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign with two consecutive victories, defeating Moldova 5-0 and Israel 4-2 in March. Prior to that, Haaland and his teammates defeated Slovenia and Kazakhstan in the Nations League, and they will be aiming to maintain their momentum on Friday.
Meanwhile, Italy have struggled in recent years, with Gli Azzurri being eliminated by Switzerland in the round of 16 at Euro 2024 and subsequently failing to go beyond the quarter-finals of the Nations League. Luciano Spalletti’s side are currently without a win in three matches, but having won each of their last two meetings with Norway, they will be confident of ending their winless run this week.
Norway vs Italy Betting Tips: Over 2.5 goals
Led by Erling Haaland, Norway’s attack line has been in excellent form recently, and I expect them to score more than once this week. The Lions boast 24 goals from their last seven encounters with 18 of these coming in the last four games alone.
Aside from Norway’s attacking prowess, Italy are currently struggling defensively, with the Azzurri boasting just one clean sheet in their last 12 games across all competitions. The last three games all produced three or more goals, and I expect a similar outcome on Friday at Vålerenga IF's home ground.
- Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals
- Norway vs Italy prediction: 2-2
Norway vs Italy Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Italy
2 : 1
Norway
Euro Qualification
-
Norway
0 : 2
Italy
Euro Qualification
-
Norway
0 : 0
Italy
WC Qualification Europe
-
Italy
2 : 1
Norway
WC Qualification Europe
Norway team news
Erling Haaland has scored two goals in the two qualifiers so far, and the Manchester City forward is expected to lead the line for Norway this week.
The 24-year-old will be supported up front by Alexander Sørloth, who also has two goals to his name in this competition. Meanwhile, Arsenal's Martin Ødegaard will be the man to watch in midfield.
Last matches of Norway
-
Israel
2 : 4
Norway
WC Qualification Europe
-
Moldova
0 : 5
Norway
WC Qualification Europe
-
Norway
5 : 0
Kazakhstan
UEFA Nations League
-
Slovenia
1 : 4
Norway
UEFA Nations League
-
Austria
5 : 1
Norway
UEFA Nations League
Norway lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Ørjan Nyland
Defenders
-
5
David Møller Wolfe
-
17
Torbjørn Heggem
-
3
Kristoffer Ajer
-
14
Julian Ryerson
Midfielders
-
20
Andreas Schjelderup
-
6
Patrick Berg
-
8
Sander Berge
-
10
Martin Ødegaard
Forwards
-
9
Erling Haaland
-
7
Alexander Sørloth
Italy team news
Italy will be without Inter's Alessandro Buongiorno, who dropped out of the national team squad following his side’s defeat in the Champions League final.
Buongiorno lasted only 64 minutes against Paris Saint-Germain, and reports suggest he suffered an adductor injury again. Head coach Luciano Spalletti has replaced him with Fiorentina centre-back Luca Ranieri.
Last matches of Italy
-
Germany
3 : 3
Italy
UEFA Nations League
-
Italy
1 : 2
Germany
UEFA Nations League
-
Italy
1 : 3
France
UEFA Nations League
-
Belgium
0 : 1
Italy
UEFA Nations League
-
Italy
4 : 1
Israel
UEFA Nations League
Italy lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Defenders
-
21
Alessandro Bastoni
-
3
Pietro Comuzzo
-
5
Federico Gatti
Midfielders
-
19
Destiny Udogie
-
8
Sandro Tonali
-
6
Samuele Ricci
-
18
Nicolò Barella
-
22
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
Forwards
-
11
Daniel Maldini
-
9
Moise Kean
Three reasons we expect over 2.5 goals in this game
- All the last seven games of Norway produced at least three goals.
- Three of the last four meetings between Norway and Italy produced 3+ goals.
- Seven of the last eight games of Italy ended with over 2.5 goals.
Main prediction Norway - Italy
Over 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
Additional predictions
Norway & Italy current standing in WC Qualification Europe
Group I | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Norway | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 - 2 | +7 | 6 |
2 | Estonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 - 4 | 0 | 3 |
3 | Israel | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 - 5 | -1 | 3 |
4 | Italy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Moldova | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 - 8 | -6 | 0 |