Norway vs Italy prediction 06.06.2025 | World Cup Qualifiers

Norway

Norway

Kick off:

Date:

Italy

Italy

1

2.90

X

3.40

2

2.45

  • Competition: World Cup Qualifiers
  • Date: 6th June 2025
  • Kick-off: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Ullevaal Stadion

Italy will be looking to secure their first victory in Group I of the European World Cup qualifiers on Friday, when they play Norway away.

Norway have been in great form over the last few months. The Lions began their Group I 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign with two consecutive victories, defeating Moldova 5-0 and Israel 4-2 in March. Prior to that, Haaland and his teammates defeated Slovenia and Kazakhstan in the Nations League, and they will be aiming to maintain their momentum on Friday.

Meanwhile, Italy have struggled in recent years, with Gli Azzurri being eliminated by Switzerland in the round of 16 at Euro 2024 and subsequently failing to go beyond the quarter-finals of the Nations League. Luciano Spalletti’s side are currently without a win in three matches, but having won each of their last two meetings with Norway, they will be confident of ending their winless run this week.

Norway vs Italy Betting Tips: Over 2.5 goals

Led by Erling Haaland, Norway’s attack line has been in excellent form recently, and I expect them to score more than once this week. The Lions boast 24 goals from their last seven encounters with 18 of these coming in the last four games alone.

Aside from Norway’s attacking prowess, Italy are currently struggling defensively, with the Azzurri boasting just one clean sheet in their last 12 games across all competitions. The last three games all produced three or more goals, and I expect a similar outcome on Friday at Vålerenga IF's home ground.

  • Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals
  • Norway vs Italy prediction: 2-2

Norway vs Italy Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Italy

    2 : 1

    Norway

    Euro Qualification

  2. Norway

    0 : 2

    Italy

    Euro Qualification

  3. Norway

    0 : 0

    Italy

    WC Qualification Europe

  4. Italy

    2 : 1

    Norway

    WC Qualification Europe

Norway

Norway team news

Erling Haaland has scored two goals in the two qualifiers so far, and the Manchester City forward is expected to lead the line for Norway this week.

The 24-year-old will be supported up front by Alexander Sørloth, who also has two goals to his name in this competition. Meanwhile, Arsenal's Martin Ødegaard will be the man to watch in midfield.

Last matches of Norway

  1. Israel

    2 : 4

    Norway

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. Moldova

    0 : 5

    Norway

    WC Qualification Europe

  3. Norway

    5 : 0

    Kazakhstan

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Slovenia

    1 : 4

    Norway

    UEFA Nations League

  5. Austria

    5 : 1

    Norway

    UEFA Nations League

Norway lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Ørjan Nyland

Defenders

  • 5

    David Møller Wolfe

  • 17

    Torbjørn Heggem

  • 3

    Kristoffer Ajer

  • 14

    Julian Ryerson

Midfielders

  • 20

    Andreas Schjelderup

  • 6

    Patrick Berg

  • 8

    Sander Berge

  • 10

    Martin Ødegaard

Forwards

  • 9

    Erling Haaland

  • 7

    Alexander Sørloth

Italy

Italy team news

Italy will be without Inter's Alessandro Buongiorno, who dropped out of the national team squad following his side’s defeat in the Champions League final.

Buongiorno lasted only 64 minutes against Paris Saint-Germain, and reports suggest he suffered an adductor injury again. Head coach Luciano Spalletti has replaced him with Fiorentina centre-back Luca Ranieri.

Last matches of Italy

  1. Germany

    3 : 3

    Italy

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Italy

    1 : 2

    Germany

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Italy

    1 : 3

    France

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Belgium

    0 : 1

    Italy

    UEFA Nations League

  5. Italy

    4 : 1

    Israel

    UEFA Nations League

Italy lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Gianluigi Donnarumma

Defenders

  • 21

    Alessandro Bastoni

  • 3

    Pietro Comuzzo

  • 5

    Federico Gatti

Midfielders

  • 19

    Destiny Udogie

  • 8

    Sandro Tonali

  • 6

    Samuele Ricci

  • 18

    Nicolò Barella

  • 22

    Giovanni Di Lorenzo

Forwards

  • 11

    Daniel Maldini

  • 9

    Moise Kean

Three reasons we expect over 2.5 goals in this game

  1. All the last seven games of Norway produced at least three goals.
  2. Three of the last four meetings between Norway and Italy produced 3+ goals.
  3. Seven of the last eight games of Italy ended with over 2.5 goals.

Main prediction Norway - Italy

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

58% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

Strategic Betting Analyst: Expert in Developing and Implementing Data-Driven, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies.

Best Odds:

22Bet

1.9

Bet here

Norway & Italy current standing in WC Qualification Europe

Group I P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Norway 2 2 0 0 9 - 2 +7 6
2 Estonia 2 1 0 1 4 - 4 0 3
3 Israel 2 1 0 1 4 - 5 -1 3
4 Italy 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0
5 Moldova 2 0 0 2 2 - 8 -6 0

Norway vs Italy - FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Friday’s World Cup qualifier between Norway and Italy on Sofascore.

? What’s the average number of corner kicks Norway won over their last four home matches?

5.75

? What’s the average number of yellow cards Italy received over their last four away games?

2.00