Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction 10.05.2025 | La Liga

• Competition: La Liga
• Date: Saturday, 10th May, 2025
• Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
• Venue: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid)

For the 13th season in a row, Atletico Madrid will (most likely) secure a top-four finish in La Liga and another Champions League appearance. This year, Colchoneros did very well in all competitions in the first part of the season. Unfortunately, in March and the start of April, they had a rough time as they suffered elimination in the Cup, Champions League, and dropped many points in La Liga. Right now, four rounds before the end of the season, Colchoneros are sitting in third place with a comfortable ten points from dropping out of the CL spots.

Real Sociedad secured Europe in the last five years. However, this season, they are having a terrible time compared to the previous few years. Their best performances this year came in the Cup, where they were super close to beating Real Madrid and advancing to the Finals. In La Liga, the Basque team has a massive motive in the remaining games, considering they are in 11th place with 43 points. They are one point away from the European spots, but will have a really tough schedule - Atletico Madrid, Celta Vigo, Girona, and Real Madrid.

Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad pick: Under 2.5 goals

With 27 conceded goals, Atletico Madrid are the second-best defensive team in the league, allowing six goals less than the first two teams (Barcelona and Real Madrid). However, unlike those two teams, Colchoneros are not even remotely close offensively, scoring 13 and 35 goals less! Due to a fantastic offense and an OK offense, they are one of the best teams in La Liga for this type of bet.

Real Sociedad are in terrible form, winning only two points in the last four rounds. Their offense really struggled, scoring two goals during that period - 0.5 per game. That is a massive drop-off from their already underwhelming season average of 0.94 goals per game.

In the previous h2h game, we saw a 1:1 draw. Moreover, there were under 2.5 goals in three of the last four h2h games. Considering the trend in the previous h2h games and all the above, an under 2.5 goals seems like the best option for this La Liga tie.