Manchester City vs Bournemouth prediction 20.05.2025 | Premier League

Kick off:

Date:

1

1.53

X

4.89

2

5.96

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Tuesday, 20th May 2025
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Etihad Stadium (Manchester)

Manchester City was unexpectedly bad this season. They are currently sixth on the table, but with a possible win on Tuesday against Bournemouth, Pep Guardiola's team can jump into the Champions League zone. Manchester City were excellent lately, as they were in ten games in a row without defeat. The positive run broke on Saturday when Guardiola's team surprisingly lost 1-0 in the FA Cup final against Crystal Palace. Manchester City finished the match with an xG of 2.30, while the opponent had only 0.74, so Guardiola's team surely deserved more. 

No matter what happens in the season's final two rounds, Bournemouth will be satisfied with their mid-table position. They can't move significantly in the final week, so we should expect Bournemouth with their minds on vacation already. Bournemouth have been on a good run lately, having had five games in a row without defeat. However, in the previous match, Bournemouth lost 1-0 at home against Aston Villa. 

Manchester City vs Bournemouth pick: Under 3.5 goals

Both teams have problems with scoring. Manchester City scored only three goals in the last four matches. On the other hand, Bournemouth scored four in the previous five games. We shouldn't expect more than three goals on Tuesday night at Etihad Stadium. 

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. AFC Bournemouth

    1 : 2

    Manchester City

    FA Cup

  2. AFC Bournemouth

    2 : 1

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  3. AFC Bournemouth

    0 : 1

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  4. Manchester City

    6 : 1

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

  5. AFC Bournemouth

    1 : 4

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  6. Manchester City

    4 : 0

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

Manchester City team news

Manchester City have some problems with missing players. Nathan Ake, John Stones, and Oscar Bobb are all out for Tuesday. Rodri is close to returning after missing all matches since September. There are reports that Rodri is questionable for the upcoming tie, but it is hard to expect Guardiola to field him after missing almost the whole season due to a knee injury.

Last matches of

  1. Crystal Palace

    1 : 0

    Manchester City

    FA Cup

  2. Southampton

    0 : 0

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  3. Manchester City

    1 : 0

    Wolverhampton Wanderers

    Premier League

  4. Nottingham Forest

    0 : 2

    Manchester City

    FA Cup

  5. Everton

    0 : 2

    Manchester City

    Premier League

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 31

    Ederson

Defenders

  • 25

    Manuel Akanji

  • 3

    Ruben Dias

  • 24

    Josko Gvardiol

  • 75

    Nico O'Reilly

Midfielders

  • 20

    Bernardo Silva

  • 7

    Omar Marmoush

  • 17

    Kevin De Bruyne

Forwards

  • 26

    Savinho

  • 9

    Erling Haaland

  • 11

    Jeremy Doku

Bournemouth team news

Bournemouth are not without problems, either. Luis Sinisterra, Dango Ouattara, Ryan Christie, Alex Scott, and Enes Unal are all out. Neither of them will appear in the final two rounds. 

Last matches of

  1. AFC Bournemouth

    0 : 1

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

  2. AFC Bournemouth

    1 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  3. Crystal Palace

    0 : 0

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

  4. AFC Bournemouth

    1 : 0

    Fulham

    Premier League

  5. West Ham United

    2 : 2

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Kepa Arrizabalaga

Defenders

  • 15

    Adam Smith

  • 27

    Illia Zabarnyi

  • 2

    Dean Huijsen

  • 3

    Milos Kerkez

Midfielders

  • 12

    Tyler Adams

  • 19

    Justin Kluivert

  • 4

    Lewis Cook

Forwards

  • 24

    Antoine Semenyo

  • 9

    Evanilson

  • 16

    Marcus Tavernier

5 Reasons why we shouldn't see more than three goals in this match

  1. Manchester City scored three goals in the last four matches
  2. There were three or fewer goals in each of the previous six Manchester City games
  3. Bournemouth scored four goals in the last five matches
  4. There were three or fewer goals in each of the previous five Bournemouth games
  5. Manchester City and Bournemouth went under 3.5 goals in both h2h matches this season

Main prediction -

Under 3.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

6 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

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1.7

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& current standing in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Liverpool 36 25 8 3 83 - 37 +46 83
2 Arsenal 37 19 14 4 67 - 33 +34 71
3 Newcastle United 37 20 6 11 68 - 46 +22 66
4 Chelsea 37 19 9 9 63 - 43 +20 66
5 Aston Villa 37 19 9 9 58 - 49 +9 66
6 Manchester City 36 19 8 9 67 - 43 +24 65
7 Nottingham Forest 37 19 8 10 58 - 45 +13 65
8 Brentford 37 16 7 14 65 - 56 +9 55
9 Brighton & Hove Albion 36 14 13 9 59 - 56 +3 55
10 Fulham 37 15 9 13 54 - 52 +2 54
11 AFC Bournemouth 36 14 11 11 55 - 43 +12 53
12 Crystal Palace 36 12 13 11 46 - 48 -2 49
13 Everton 37 10 15 12 41 - 44 -3 45
14 Wolverhampton Wanderers 36 12 5 19 51 - 64 -13 41
15 West Ham United 37 10 10 17 43 - 61 -18 40
16 Manchester United 37 10 9 18 42 - 54 -12 39
17 Tottenham Hotspur 37 11 5 21 63 - 61 +2 38
18 Leicester City 37 6 7 24 33 - 78 -45 25
19 Ipswich Town 37 4 10 23 35 - 79 -44 22
20 Southampton 37 2 6 29 25 - 84 -59 12

Manchester City vs Bournemouth - FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Manchester City this season?

The average xG for Manchester City in the Premier League this season is 1.89.

? How much is the average xG for Bournemouth this season?

The average xG for Bournemouth in the Premier League this season is 1.71.