Madagascar vs Central Africa prediction 13.08.2028 | African Nations Championship

Interestingly, these teams met in the World Cup Qualifiers only about half a year ago when Madagascar outclased Central Africa, winning 4:1 on a neutral pitch in Casablanca (Morocco). However, that was a different circumstance because in the African Nations Championship, the eligible players are those playing only in the domestic clubs. 

Looking further back, these teams met a total of seven times. Madagascar won twice and Central Africa three times. 

In the first two games in the ANC, Madagascar scored just one goal! They struggled to create goalscoring chances in the first two games against Mauritania and Tanzania. According to xG stats, they created only 0.45 goals on average in those two matches. Looking further back, we could see that Madagascar are in terrible form, failing to win in the last six games across the competition while scoring one or zero goals in all matches.

Meanwhile, Central Africa did a bit better offensively in this tournament, scoring two goals and generally creating more goalscoring chances. Still, we believe they lack the talent up front. In their last 14 games, they scored just eight goals - 0.57 goals per game.

In four (combined) games at the African Nations Championship, these teams were under 2.5 goals twice (50%). However, considering both teams' poor form and generally poor offensive displays in recent matches, we believe that an under 2.5 goals bet is the safest option for this African Nations Championship tie.

1. Madagascar scored one goal in the first two games at the tournament
2. Madagascar scored one or zero goals in the last six games across the competitions
3. Central Africa went under 2.5 goals in three of the previous four matches in all competitions
4. Central Africa scored just two goals in the first two games at the tournament