Finland vs Poland prediction 10.06.2025 | World Cup Qualifiers

• Competition: World Cup Qualifiers
• Date: Tuesday, 10th June, 2025
• Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
• Venue: Helsinki Olympic Stadium (Helsinki)

Finland are still chasing their first-ever World Cup appearance. They have never qualified for the tournament, and in the EURO, they've made just one appearance - in 2020, where they were eliminated in the group stage. Before this qualifying cycle, "Huuhkajat" played in UEFA Nations League B and were terrible, losing all six games, and it was obvious they did not belong in that company. In the WC Qualifiers, they are in 2nd place with four points in three games, but only because the Netherlands played only one match. Securing a top-two finish will be tough, and the upcoming match against Poland could be crucial to keeping their qualification hopes alive.

Poland, on the other hand, are regulars at major tournaments. They played in the last two World Cups and in the last five EUROS. Unfortunately, the Poles had a terrible UEFA Nations League (A) campaign before these Qualifiers, as they finished last and were relegated to League B. When it comes to WC Qualifiers, they opened with two wins over Malta and Lithuania and sit at the top spot. Still, most football pundits weren't impressed by their performances in those matches, and this game against Finland is probably their first "real" test.

Finland vs Poland pick: Under 2.5 goals

Finland are not among the best offensive teams, far from it. In the first three games, they scored three goals, but all of them were against bad teams - Malta and Lithuania. In the match against the Netherlands, they failed to score (2:0 loss) while creating very few scoring chances. In the end, they had only 0.13xG! We could see them struggle to score in the UEFA Nations League against solid teams, considering they only managed to do so twice in six games against England, Ireland, and Greece. So, scoring against Poland seems like a massive challenge.

Poland were under 2.5 goals in the last three games (two WC Qualifiers and one Friendly match). They won those games without conceding a goal, but their offensive performance wasn't up to the expected level, considering they faced relatively weak teams - Moldova, Malta, and Lithuania.

We firmly believe that Poland are a better team overall. However, we are reluctant to bet on them winning due to their poor road record. Considering all the above, an under 2.5 goals bet seems like the best option for this World Cup Qualifiers match.